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متتبع أزمة إيران-الخليج 2026
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strikeApr 11, 2026

Daily Briefing: High-stakes diplomacy in Islamabad amid Trump warning

Summary

Good morning! Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has emerged as a fearless new-age batter for the Rajasthan Royals, with his instinctive, attack-first approach making him a favourite in the dressing room. As Sandeep Dwivedi writes, his clarity of thought, playing the ball rather than the bowler, sets him apart and allows him to take on any attack without hesitation. Opening alongside Yashasvi Jaiswal, he provides explosive starts while enjoying the full backing of the team management to play his natural game. His rise reflects the modern T20 template of controlled aggression, where confidence, intent and quick decision-making outweigh caution, and hints at a future where fearlessness may matter more than experience. With that, let’s move on to the top five stories from today’s edition: 🚨 Big Story Talks in Islamabad have taken centre stage as senior Iranian officials arrive for high-stakes negotiations that could test a fragile ceasefire and wider regional stability. Iran has sent a 71-member delegation led by parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, signalling readiness for talks while also setting conditions, including a ceasefire in Lebanon before formal negotiations begin. The delegation includes key figures such as central bank governor Abdolnaser Hemmati, Supreme National Defence Council secretary Ali Akbar Ahmadian, deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi, and foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei. High stakes: Even as talks in Islamabad are underway, Donald Trump has warned of possible military strikes if diplomacy fails, indicating that clarity could emerge within 24 hours. The US side is being led by JD Vance, while the negotiations are taking place amid a fragile ceasefire and sharp disagreements, particularly over conditions linked to Lebanon. The Strait of Hormuz remains a key flashpoint, with tensions around shipping adding to the stakes. With both sides holding firm positions, the talks reflect a narrow window where diplomacy is racing against the threat of escalation. ⚡ Only in Express “What’s really happening with conversions in Punjab?” The answer isn’t simple. Independent churches are drawing crowds with music, sermons and promises of healing, but many followers don’t formally convert. They still identify as Hindu or Sikh while also believing in Jesus, blending faiths rather than replacing them. These spaces offer something deeper, hope, dignity and belonging, especially for marginalised communities, while adapting to familiar local practices. The lack of formal conversion also complicates the political debate around “forced conversions”. So the real question isn’t who is changing religion, but why so many are turning to these spaces, and what this quiet shift might reveal about what they were missing all along. 💡 Express Explained Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of Iran’s parliament and widely seen as a “pragmatic hardliner”, has emerged as a key yet constrained figure leading high-stakes negotiations with the United States. As C Raja Mohan explains, he is tasked with the risky mandate of pursuing peace with a long-time adversary Iran has historically labelled the “Great Satan”, he faces a deeply sensitive political challenge shaped by decades of hostility and recent military damage. The talks are unfolding in a fragile environment marked by tensions over Israeli strikes in Lebanon, confusion around the negotiation framework, and last-minute uncertainty over Tehran’s participation, underscoring the volatility and limited room for manoeuvre in his role. ✍️ Express Opinion In today’s opinion, Arun Prakash underscores the high-stakes interplay of law, leverage and power in the Strait of Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy chokepoint. He argues that while international maritime law guarantees freedom of navigation, its enforcement ultimately depends on geopolitical power, with countries like Iran using the strait as strategic leverage despite being constrained by their own dependence on it. Prakash highlights that any disruption risks rapid military escalation and potential intervention by the United States and its allies, making a sustained blockade unlikely but brinkmanship inevitable. He also points to the significant vulnerability of India, whose energy security is closely tied to the strait, concluding that stability in the region will hinge less on legal norms and more on deterrence, restraint and coordinated global response. 🎥 Movie Review Wondering what to watch this weekend? We’ve got you covered! Toh Ti Ani Fuji offers a fresh, grown-up take on relationships, following two former lovers who reunite in Tokyo and are forced to confront unresolved emotions, love, and resentment. As Shubhra Gupta writes, the film stands out for its mature storytelling and honest portrayal of intimacy, capturing how complex adult relationships can be. With a reflective, conversation-driven narrative that moves between past and present, strong performances and an emotional core that feels real and relatable, the film may have its slow moments but ultimately delivers a poignant and engaging watch. That’s it for today! Have a lovely weekend! Until next time, Anupama

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  • Anupama Yadav; AnupamayadavBy Anupama Yadav; Anupamayadav

    Good morning! Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has emerged as a fearless new-age batter for the Rajasthan Royals, with his instinctive, attack-first approach making him a favourite in the dressing room. As Sandeep Dwivedi writes, his clarity of thought, playing the ball rather than the bowle

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The White House is now apparently using Russian tactics to convince the American public that the war in Iran is not, in fact, a war. When asked by reporters at the White House on Thursday whether the most intense sustained air campaign by American forces since the invasion of Iraq would be over by the midterms, Vice President JD Vance replied: “I wouldn’t call it a war.

” Vladimir Putin said much the same thing when he invaded Ukraine. Russia was not fighting a war either, the Kremlin insisted; it was merely conducting a “special military operation.” If that comparison strikes you as shocking, consider the contours of the two conflicts.

A vastly more powerful military launched a punishing offensive against a smaller, less well-equipped adversary, inflicted enormous damage without achieving a decisive resolution, and then found itself drawn into a longer, grinding conflict with no clear way out.

The motivations behind the wars may be different, and they’re playing out in different theaters, but the pattern is eerily similar. Now, so too is the attempt by those in power to control how the public understands, and even what it is allowed to call, the obvious war unfolding in front of them.

If This Isn’t a War, What Is? Let us take a moment to assess what exactly has happened since February 28, when the U.S. launched Operation Epic Fury. The opening U.S.-Israeli attack killed Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, along with the commander of the Revolutionary Guard, the defense minister and various other senior officials.

According to the U.S. military’s own accounting, the first 38 days of major combat operations involved more than 10,200 sorties and 13,500 strikes. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) says those attacks damaged or destroyed more than 85 percent of Iran’s ballistic missile, drone and naval defense industrial base, while knocking out 82 percent of its air-defense missile systems.

The U.S. sent carrier strike groups and warships into the region, later imposing a military blockade on Iranian ports. Meanwhile, American and allied air defenses intercepted more than 6,000 Iranian attack drones and 1,500 ballistic missiles fired at U.

S. forces, Israel and American partners across the Middle East. More than 50,000 U.S. service members remain deployed across the region. The fighting has killed 18 U.S. service members and at least 8,000 people across Iran, Lebanon, Israel and the Gulf states.

More than 750 U.S. service members have been wounded. Last month, during a lull in the fighting, the U.S. Treasury unveiled a sanctions package likened to an “economic D-day” that is designed to make Iran an “economic outcast” and cut the adversary off from all available forms of economic support.

In the announcement, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent openly declared that Iran had been “at war against America” for 47 years. This week, the shooting resumed; the U.S. hit targets in and around the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran blasted missiles at targets in Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan and Iraq.

All this from an administration that almost exactly a year ago launched a rapid rebrand of the Defense Department into the “Department of War”. No boots on the ground, though, so it’s not a war, right? Tell It Kind of Like It Is Even the very best snake-oil salesman would have a hard time convincing people that the war in Iran isn’t a war.

So why is JD Vance even trying? Well, if there’s one thing politicians understand better than anyone, it’s the importance of language and rhetoric. Words have immense power; a well-written speech can unite millions of people, and a catchy slogan like Make America Great Again can come to represent an entire political philosophy.

But war is a pesky word. For one, it implies there will eventually be a winner and a loser. It also brings with it certain expectations—and some very difficult questions. What is the objective? How many people will die? When will it end? And, perhaps most dangerously of all: was it worth it?

Those are not questions the White House wants Americans to be asking. Trump built a substantial part of his political identity around ending, rather than beginning, America’s “endless wars.” When Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding in June, the White House presented it as proof that Trump’s America First approach could deliver peace without another prolonged Middle Eastern conflict.

Then the hostilities started again. Earlier this week, Trump shared a Truth Social graphic declaring that “Hormuz Oil Volumes are BACK!”, saying 18 million barrels a day were once again leaving the Strait, compared with 20 million before the war. No independent commodity tracking company or energy analyst appeared to verify Trump’s claims.

But most Americans won’t be checking tanker-tracking dashboards. What they’ll care about is the cold, hard fact that diesel hit a new record price this morning, soaring to an average of $5.85 a gallon for the first time ever. Gasoline is $4.15 a gallon on average, compared with $3.

20 at this time last year, according to AAA. The numbers on the sign at the gas station and the price on the grocery receipt aren’t affected by Trump’s tall tales, but they’ll surely affect how Americans vote at the midterms. When viewed in this light, Vance’s attempt to discourage reporters from “call[ing] it a war” begins to make sense.

A war is something that we want to end. It tends to result in a winner and a loser. And its worth is up for debate at all times. A different kind of engagement that doesn’t quite meet the threshold of war—say, a special military operation—is not exposed to the same kind of scrutiny.

Vance effectively made that case himself. “When you ask, ‘When will this end?’ You’re asking me a question like, ‘When will the Iranians stop shooting at ships?’” he said. By that logic, there is no American war—only recurring Iranian provocations that require American military responses.

That’s exactly the logic applied by Putin to Ukraine and supposed expansion of NATO. Putting the Toothpaste Back in the Tube U.S. lawmakers have repeatedly invoked the War Powers Resolution to challenge Trump’s authority to keep fighting Iran without specific congressional authorization.

The law generally gives a president 60 days after U.S. forces enter “hostilities” to secure congressional approval or bring those hostilities to an end. That makes the pauses in fighting hugely important. When the original 60-day deadline arrived in May, Trump told Congress that the temporary ceasefire reached in April meant the hostilities that began on February 28 had ended.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth argued that the War Powers clock could “pause, or stop” when the shooting did. That position is disputed by legal experts, but its political utility is obvious. If every new outbreak of fighting can be treated as a separate skirmish, rather than part of one continuous war, the administration can argue that a fresh 60-day clock starts each time.

Vance’s insistence that there is no continuing “war” fits neatly for an administration that has already tried to divide six months of conflict into separate periods of hostilities, interrupted by ceasefires and pauses. This brings us back to Moscow.

The Kremlin’s own linguistic trick was also about making one sprawling war sound smaller, more limited and more manageable than it really was. From the very beginning of the invasion, Putin described the war as a special military operation. Only after two years of grinding warfare did Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov openly declare Russia to be in a “state of war”—and even then, he said the transformation had occurred because the “collective West” had joined the fight against Russia.

Vance is playing a similar game, but in reverse. Only now—with soaring fuel prices, mounting casualties, concerns over the military’s munitions stockpiles, and midterm elections on the horizon—is the conflict no longer a war. You can’t put the genie back in the bottle, though, and the American people aren’t stupid.

Vance and the White House may discover in November that voters are perfectly capable of recognizing a war, even when the vice president doesn’t want to call it one.

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