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متتبع أزمة إيران-الخليج 2026
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strikeAug 26, 2026

Iran continues firing missiles, drones at neighboring states, with ...

Summary

Iran launches a new wave of attacks targeting Israel, U.S. bases and countries in the region as it continues to retaliate against Operation Epic Fury.

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strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
1 source

Iran and Oman still working on Hormuz accord: reports Iran and Oman are still working on the details of an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, a senior Iranian source says after Iran's Revolutionary Guards said the two countries had agreed how to share the waterway and its revenues.

The elite force's spokesman also said the strait would not open unless the US met Iranian conditions under an interim ceasefire agreement that was struck in June before unravelling. Those conditions include an end to the US blockade on Iranian ports, compensation and removal of sanctions.

Iran and Oman have held on-and-off talks for weeks about controlling traffic through the strait, which handled one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments before the war began in February. Most shipping has since been shut down, driving global energy prices higher, as Iran and the US have tried to assert control over the channel, imposing separate blockades.

"An agreement with Oman over the Strait of Hormuz has not been finalised," the senior Iranian source told Reuters, adding that the talks were continuing on the details of an accord. A spokesman for Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had said Iran and Oman had reached an agreement on their shares of the territory and revenues.

"The Strait of Hormuz belongs to Iran and the country of Oman ... We have been in negotiations with Oman for about a month, and we have reached results that are acceptable to both sides," Hossein Mohebbi said in comments published by Iranian state media.

"In these negotiations, agreements have been reached regarding the share of each country in the waters of the strait and the share of Iran and Oman in its revenues," he added. It was not immediately clear at what stage of the negotiations the agreements had been reached.

Iran had said earlier this month that a deal on the strait was close. Following talks on Tuesday between Iran and Oman, Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi said he was "hopeful we will soon announce a temporary corridor for the Strait of Hormuz and practical arrangements to restore safe navigation".

The IRGC accused the United States of seeking to obstruct Iran's negotiations with Oman and said this had caused an agreement to be delayed. "If the United States stops obstructing and returns to the agreement, we can open the Strait of Hormuz within the framework of the agreement reached ...

If the United States does not accept our conditions, the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened under any circumstances," Mohebbi said. Although active hostilities between the US and Iran have largely subsided in recent weeks, diplomatic efforts to reach a peace deal have stalled, and continuing attacks on ships mean passage through the Strait of Hormuz remains perilous.

Iran announced a blacklist on Sunday of 45 ships in an apparent effort to stop ship-to-ship transfers used by Gulf energy producers to evade the Iranian blockade. Some companies plan to stop using vessels added to the blacklist, sources said. In an effort to tighten pressure on Iran's economy, the United States has threatened to punish countries that continue to do business with Iran, but said it would not impose penalties immediately.

The sanctions did not feature Chinese financial institutions suspected of facilitating oil exports from Iran that the US blockade has cut. Iran denounced the US effort to isolate its economy as an act of "gross lawlessness," expressing confidence that many countries would not join the pressure campaign.

Oil prices fell for a third day, dropping more than 1.5 per cent, following signs of renewed efforts to seek a mediated end to the war that began on February 28 with US and Israeli strikes on Iran. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told allies that the US did not expect to launch new strikes against Iran for now and would instead focus on other means of pressure, Axios reported on Tuesday.

strikeUnverifiedUSIran
1 source

State media reported that U.S. strikes near Tehran and in Semnan province, where ballistic missile and space programs are located, were carried out early Thursday. These incidents followed daylight attacks on Wednesday, indicating a reported increase in the frequency of strikes.

Location: Iran
strikeUnverifiedUSIranRussiaUkraine
1 source

WTI Rises After Big Product Draws, Tiny Crude Build, SPR Nears 'Tank Bottoms'

Oil prices extended their declines for a third straight day after the US plan to ramp up economic pressure on Iran spared the country’s trading partners from harsher measures for now, while mediators said they were continuing efforts to end the conflict.

“There was a lot of buildup around the announcement but what we got was more a warning about where policy is heading than an immediate shock to physical supply,” said Haris Khurshid, chief investment officer at Chicago-based Karobaar Capital LP. “Until secondary sanctions start changing who can buy, ship or even finance Iranian crude, I don’t think traders have much reason to add another geopolitical premium.”

Oman and Iran said the countries' foreign ministers discussed an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under a temporary framework.

Negotiations between the two countries will continue "with a view to agreeing on a permanent navigational corridor and future administration of the strait," the joint statement said.

While positive, an agreement between Oman and Iran wouldn't result in oil flows through the strait returning to prewar levels, ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey said.

"We would likely need to see the U.S. lift its blockade on Iranian ports and ease sanctions on Iran before we see any move towards normalization."

All eyes on domestic supply (and demand) for the next tactical leg...

API

Crude +4.2mm

Cushing +1.0mm

Gasoline -3.2mm

Distillates -459k

DOE

Crude +95k (+500k exp)

Cushing +1.18mm

Gasoline -2.54mm

Distillates -2.23mm

Crude stocks rose for the 4th straight week (but it was a tiny 95k increase) while Cushing saw a modest build off tank bottoms. Product inventories saw large drawdowns..

The Trump admin drained another 3.6mm barrels from the SPR to 289.7 million barrels (1983 lows), approaching the minimum operational level for storage facilities, which ranges between 250 and 300 million barrels.

The combination of a tiny commercial crude build and sizable SPR drain created the biggest net crude drawdown in over a month...

Cushing stocks remain very near 'tank bottoms'

Distillates stocks fell back near 25 year lows and the lowest seasonally on record...

US crude imports from Saudi Arabia picked up recently (but remain well below peak war levels). Crude exports fell below 4 million barrels a day, a threshold closely watched by the market to gauge demand.

US Crude production remains near record highs and while the rig count dipped last week, it is still trending higher overall...

Refining utilization rates are at the highest seasonal level since 1998. That is, in part, due to a shrinking US refining fleet in recent years. But it’s also evidence of how hard fuel-makers are running their plants right now to capture wide margins. They plan to keep that up into the fall, with some companies even deferring maintenance.

WTI was hovering around $81.50 (off the overnight lows) ahead of the official data (down from almost $88 last week)...

Crude is still up about 50% this year as the war - now in its sixth month - continues to disrupt the shipping of crude and refined fuels out of the Middle East.

The impact has been particularly acute in fuel markets, which have also faced a hit from Ukrainian attacks on Russian refiners. That’s helped push premiums over crude to stratospheric levels (but the crack spread is starting to decline)...

At the same time, large volumes of crude supplies continue to transit Hormuz with their satellite signals turned off.

Those volumes are in millions of barrels a day and have helped generally keep a lid on prices that had been expected to soar at the outset of the conflict.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/26/2026 - 10:40

Location: Strait of Hormuz