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strikeApr 16, 2026

Press review: Pakistan advances US-Iran ceasefire as Russia joins Hormuz talks

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MOSCOW, April 16. /TASS/. Pakistan steps up efforts toward a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, and Russia joins negotiations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Gaza destiny may await Lebanon amid continued Israeli attacks. These stories topped Thursday’s newspaper headlines across Russia. Nezavisimaya Gazeta: Pakistan steps up efforts toward US-Iran ceasefire Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is looking to intensify the negotiation process between the United States and Iran as he is trying to secure support from all players in close vicinity to Iran which are interested in peace. Sharif has departed for a tour of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey. According to a statement from the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Saudi Arabia and Qatar will host bilateral talks involving the Pakistani PM, and in Turkey he will attend the Antalya Diplomacy Forum on the sidelines of which he will hold a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In an interview with Nezavisimaya Gazeta, Alexey Portansky, Professor at the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at the Higher School of Economics, noted: "There is a hope that talks will yield results. Experts have to take the unpredictability of the US side into account. Many representatives of the American elite acknowledge that [US President Donald] Trump is a little crazy. And yet there is a chance of success." Commenting on why Pakistan is playing the role of a mediator, the expert explained that the country takes an even-handed approach toward the conflicting sides and that it suits both Tehran and Washington. Asked if China, a patron and almost an ally of Pakistan that is not directly involved in the US-Iranian talks, could influence them with Pakistan’s mediation, Alexander Lomanov, deputy head of the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of World Economy and International Relations, told Nezavisimaya Gazeta: "China can help only those countries which are willing to negotiate. And there are no tools for putting military or economic pressure on any party that China could officially use. Of course, China has investments in Iran and it could help rebuild those sectors of the economy which were destroyed by the Americans if there is peace. However, Beijing cannot pressure the US into treating Iran more gently. I am afraid if Washington is tough on Iran, blocking Iranian hydrocarbon exports to China, Trump’s visit to China, scheduled for May, may as well be cancelled." In an interview with Nezavisimaya Gazeta, Indian reporter Vinay Shukla said: "Firstly, Pakistan is a neighbor of Iran. Secondly, Trump has a long-standing close relationship with [Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan] Asim Munir. Moreover, the Pakistani embassy represented Tehran’s interests in Washington after the Islamic revolution in Iran when Tehran and Washington severed ties. And thirdly, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi paid a visit to Israel a couple of days ahead of the Israeli bombing of Iran. So, it would have been hard for India to claim to act as a mediator." Media: Russia joins negotiations to unblock Hormuz Strait Russia has joined the debate about the security of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Alimov told Izvestia. Also, work on a joint Russian-Chinese draft UN Security Council resolution on the Iranian issue is underway. However, the senior Russian diplomat said further steps on that document will depend on talks between Tehran and Washington that may resume in the next 24 hours. The situation in the region has already caused major logistical disruptions, with the crews of multiple vessels refusing to enter the waterway amid threats. Against this backdrop, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has set up a task force to facilitate transit, an idea that has been questioned by diplomats. "This initiative includes creating certain structures by the UN Secretariat. It is difficult for me to judge if Gulf countries and Iran support the initiative," Alimov said. "Our joint draft resolution with China is on the negotiating table at the UN, we have officially endorsed it. We are monitoring the overall progress in negotiations between Iran and the United States which have already held one round of talks. Hopefully the negotiations are not over and will continue," the diplomat explained. Meanwhile, Iran has linked the prospects of talks with the US to the situation in Lebanon. Tehran views continued Israeli strikes as a factor that undermines confidence in diplomatic efforts. "Talks between Iran and the United States are key: if they are successful, this will have a positive impact on the situation in Lebanon," Jamal Wakim, a professor at Lebanese University, noted. Yury Lyamin, a senior researcher at the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, told Vedomosti that Iran and the United States have been cautious ahead of a new round of talks. On Wednesday afternoon, the AP reported, citing sources, that Iran and the US have agreed in principle to extend the ceasefire, even as Trump said in public that he sees no need for an extension of the truce with Iran, according to ABC journalist Jonathan Karl. "The blockade itself is an act of war, and things can be escalated very fast," Lyamin argued. A combination of the US blockade of Iranian oil exports and Iranian moves to let only friendly vessels pass could come next, director of the Center for Military-Economic Studies at the Institute of World Military Economy and Strategy of the Higher School of Economics Prokhor Tebin told Vedomosti. "But that situation would be bad for both Iran and the United States as it would not solve their problems in the short term. And it would be bad for the world economy, too. To achieve its objectives, the US would need to reopen the strait for everybody and block access to the sea for Iran," Tebin said. According to him, the war could continue as, judging from the deployment of another aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, a group for serious operations is currently in the making. Vedomosti: Whether the Gaza destiny awaits Lebanon The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued the ground operation in southern Lebanon, despite direct talks on a ceasefire between Israeli and Lebanese negotiators, the first in the past 33 years, the IDF said on April 15. And while Iran and the United States announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8, Israel has so far refused to expand this truce to Lebanese territory. However, Hezbollah’s resistance has not been broken: on Wednesday, the Shiite movement fired about 40 missiles at Israeli cities from Lebanon, and the Israeli Air Force struck more than 200 military targets in response, the IDF reported. Israel is likely to continue military operations against Hezbollah, even though the campaign will not be an easy walk for the Israeli army, Alexander Nadzharov, an analyst at the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs of HSE University, believes. Firstly, the Shiite group has recovered from the previous war as it continues to deliver painful strikes on IDF positions, and secondly, the movement has a wide assortment of weapons in its arsenal, the expert said. "Should the Israeli military decide to transform southern Lebanon into a second Gaza, the Jewish state may face not only stronger military resistance but also sanctions from a number of Western countries," he warned. The Israeli army has been steadily eliminating Lebanese localities in the southern Arab republic so it can turn this territory into scorched earth later, Nikolay Sukhov, senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ World Economy and International Relations Institute, told Vedomosti. Nadzharov doubts any breakthrough is currently likely in the Lebanon-Israel talks. On the one hand, the two sides will not be able to reach a compromise without Hezbollah. On the other hand, the expert continued, Israel is not seeking to end the conflict peacefully. "In the short term, Israel will try to keep the United States in the Middle East war to avoid being left alone with Iran and its regional allies," the expert explained. It will be extremely difficult for Lebanon to find common ground in negotiations with the Israelis, Sukhov agrees, regardless of whether Hezbollah takes part in the process or not. Even if Israel and Lebanon manage to reach an agreement, it would hardly be possible to achieve a longer-term stabilization in the region without functional instruments, Lyudmila Samarskaya, a researcher at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ World Economy and International Relations Institute, told Vedomosti. "Moreover, for the time being, it is hard to imagine that Hezbollah would lay down arms voluntarily, therefore a potential ceasefire will likely be violated regularly," the expert argues. Kommersant: Global investors reluctant to invest in risk assets amid Hormuz blockade The Bank of America Fund Manager April survey showed that investor sentiment has deteriorated sharply. Bearish positioning regarding global growth outweighed the bullish signal for the first time this year. Market players expect that the lengthy conflict in the Middle East will keep oil prices near $80-100 per barrel for long, fuel inflation, and force central banks to adopt monetary tightening. As a result, fund managers are cutting equity exposure. The last time wealth managers were as bearish was in the spring of 2022 when the special military operation in Ukraine was launched. Fund managers have a negative outlook on the consequences of the lengthy closure of the Hormuz Strait. The market has been the most vulnerable to falling energy supplies which has already pushed Brent spot prices above $120 per barrel. "Higher energy prices and logistics costs will put pressure on economic growth and accelerate inflation," portfolio manager at Doveritelnaya brokerage Dmitry Terpelov told Kommersant. This may require a tighter than expected monetary policy of global regulators, the expert warned. "Fund managers can already sense a systemic deterioration of conditions even as they do not see sufficient grounds to shift to a full-blown recession scenario. Therefore, expectations remain in the 'soft landing' zone, despite rising anxiety," Yelena Nefyodova, the head of investment office at Astero Falcon, said. The Middle East conflict has had limited impact on the Russian stock market even amid an increase in Russian crude prices. According to Argus, between April 1 and 13, the average Urals price was $106 per barrel, or 40% higher than the March average. "Despite rising oil prices that have supported exporters and the budget, the key pressure on the market comes from internal factors: the risks of a heavier tax burden, including through the excess profit tax, as well as an economic slowdown," Ruslan Klyshko, Director of the Wealth Management Department at AF Capital Asset Management, told Kommersant. He pointed to the continued investor demand for money market instruments, the shares of banks and individual oil and gas companies, and gold. Vedomosti: Russian coal exports rise 8% in March In March, Russian coal exports increased 8% year-on-year to 16.9 million metric tons, or the highest level since November, a report by PBC Index seen by Vedomosti shows. The figure saw a 16% rise from February. Exports rose despite a decline in demand for Russian coal from the largest importer, China. Last month, China, excluding Taiwan, reduced purchases by 20% to 6 million metric tons, data from PBC Index showed. India, the second-largest buyer of Russian coal, raised imports by 1% to 2.7 million metric tons. Certain countries also increased purchases, with Russian coal exports to South Korea rising 37% to 1.9 million metric tons and to Turkey by 17% to 1.6 million metric tons in March. Exports to Taiwan grew by 11% to 309,000 metric tons. The March increase in Russian coal exports to Turkey, South Korea, and a number of other markets came amid a spike in gas prices due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a result of the armed conflict in the Middle East, PBC Index analyst Danil Udachin explained. The main reason for the rise in Russian coal exports in March was the impact of the Middle East conflict on the coal market, experts argue. Disruptions in gas supplies from the region pushed not only demand for coal as an alternative energy source but also coal prices higher, Alexey Kalachev, an analyst at Finam, said. Coal exports in April will depend on how the situation in the Middle East evolves, he argues. Until the armed conflict in the region is over, exports will continue to grow, Maxim Shaposhnikov, an advisor to the manager of the Industrial Code fund, believes. According to his estimates, the April figure will rise to 17.4 million metric tons. TASS is not responsible for the material quoted in these press reviews

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    MOSCOW, April 16. /TASS/. Pakistan steps up efforts toward a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, and Russia joins negotiations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Gaza destiny may await Lebanon amid continued Israeli attacks. These stories topped Thursday’s

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DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran attacked a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz early Tuesday, forcing its crew to abandon the ship, while the United States conducted yet another round of airstrikes targeting the Islamic Republic as they struggle over control of the key waterway.

The 10 consecutive nights of U.S. airstrikes haven’t compelled Tehran to loosen its grip on the strait, through which about a fifth of all crude oil and natural gas traded once passed in peacetime. Even as the U.S. and Iran inch closer to all-out war again, Iran’s interior minister traveled to Pakistan, a key mediator in the conflict, for talks.

However, it remains unclear just what new deal could be reached to end the fighting. The interim deal signed last month that was meant to end the fighting has crumbled. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has largely stalled. And as fighting intensifies, both sides have targeted civilian infrastructure relied on by millions of people.

“Iran and groups supportive of Iran may target other U.S. interests overseas or at locations associated with the United States and Americans throughout the world,” the U.S. State Department said in a new warning to Americans. The escalation has pushed oil prices higher in recent weeks.

Benchmark Brent crude traded Tuesday above $88 a barrel and regular gasoline in the U.S. climbed to an average of $4 a gallon, keeping pressure on Americans’ wallets ahead of midterm elections this fall. Meanwhile, the U.S. military identified two soldiers who were killed in Jordan in attacks that left a third person missing.

Separately, the military confirmed another death in Iraq on Saturday during the “controlled detonation” of a downed Iranian drone. President Donald Trump took to social media on Monday to warn that “Every time Iran kills an American Soldier they will pay for that killing many times over!

” Trump was planning to attend a ceremony on Tuesday evening at Dover Air Force Base, where at least one service member’s remains were due to arrive. US strikes come as ships attacked The U.S. military’s Central Command said Tuesday it targeted “Iranian military command centers, maritime capabilities, missile and drone launch sites and air defense systems.

” It released more footage of bombings that targeted sites in Iran. “American forces remain postured and prepared to hold Iran accountable for unwarranted aggression toward civilian mariners seeking to freely and openly transit the strait,” the command said.

Iranian state media reported that explosions were heard in Fars, Hormozgan, Ilam, Kerman and Sistan and Baluchistan provinces. However, traffic through the strait has slowed to a crawl during the latest violence. Lloyd's List Intelligence said only three ships transited the strait on Sunday.

The British military’s United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center said a tanker came under attack early Tuesday in the strait off Oman, forcing the crew to abandon the vessel. Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard claimed the attack, as well as two other attacks on ships Monday in the waterway.

The route around Oman has been the one the U.S. military has encouraged ships to travel to avoid Iran’s control. The UKMTO separately reported Tuesday that another previously unknown attack on a ship took place early the previous day. Tehran also hit U.

S.-allied countries throughout the Middle East. Jordan military's said Tuesday that Iran targeted it with five drones and three missiles, all of which were shot down. Bahrain sounded its missile alert sirens Tuesday afternoon as another Iranian barrage targeted the island kingdom, which is home to the U.

S. Navy's 5th Fleet. Nearly 100 US injuries since early July The Pentagon’s chief spokesperson said nearly 100 U.S. service members have been injured since the U.S. restarted strikes on July 7, and 96% of them have returned to duty.

“The vast majority of injuries experienced were minor concussions,” Sean Parnell posted Monday on X in response to a New York Times report that the Pentagon has withheld information about troop injuries from Iranian strikes. He denied that the Pentagon was hiding data about injuries.

However, the Defense Casualty Analysis System, the military’s clearinghouse for reporting deaths and injuries in conflict, has not been updated as of Monday night with the latest attacks. Yemen rebels threaten attacks on other Mideast waterway Yemen’s Houthi rebels announced a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia on Monday.

The Houthis, who are backed by Iran, said they would block shipping between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden by targeting the Bab el-Mandeb, a maritime chokepoint like the Strait of Hormuz, in response to an attack on Sanaa International Airport last week that they blamed on Saudi Arabia.

With the Strait of Hormuz blocked, Saudi Arabia has been relying on a pipeline to the Red Sea to get millions of barrels of oil out to market. The Houthis earlier demonstrated their ability to disrupt shipping there when they targeted ships for months over the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, with over 100 vessels attacked.

Saudi Arabia’s military said it would keep the waterway open. “All Houthi threats against transiting vessels will be dealt with swiftly and firmly, as such threats are a blatant violation of international law and fall under acts of maritime piracy,” said Maj.

Gen, Turki al-Malki, a Saudi military spokesman. A glimmer of hope for diplomacy Pakistan has intensified diplomatic efforts in recent days to resuscitate the interim deal. Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni arrived in Islamabad on Monday for two days of talks with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and others.

On Sunday, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters that the U.S. is still open to negotiating with Iran but that “it has to be real.” “If the door opens to diplomacy — if the guys that want to do something productive for Iran win and take control of that system, or take control of the negotiations — that’ll be a very positive development,” Rubio said.

“That’s not where we are tonight, unfortunately.” Iranian authorities on Sunday said at least 50 people have been killed and 517 wounded in the latest rounds of U.S. strikes. Since the war began on Feb. 28, 17 U.S. service members have been killed.

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US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth posted social media images showing damage to a maritime control tower at Iran’s Chabahar port following reported US military strikes, accompanied by the caption “Iran does not control the Strait of Hormuz.” India’s Ministry of External Affairs stated that the Shahid Beheshti terminal operated by India at the port sustained no damage.

The ministry reiterated its position that civilian infrastructure should not be targeted during conflicts.

Location: Iran
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U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire - The U.S. has carried out its tenth consecutive evening of attacks against Iran. - Iran attacked a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz early Tuesday, while Houthi militants in Yemen declared a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia.

- Rystad Energy has warned about the risk of a significant rebound in oil prices. The U.S. completed a fresh round of strikes against Iran on Monday evening as Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis threatened to impose a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia, potentially opening a new front in the Middle East conflict.

The latest cycle of tit-for-tat strikes comes amid reports that regional mediators have presented Washington and Tehran with a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire, a pitch that could put last month's Memorandum of Understanding back on track. The U.S. Central Command said overnight that it had carried out another round of strikes on Iran at 9 p.

m. ET on Monday. "U.S. forces struck Iranian military command centers, maritime capabilities, missile and drone launch sites, and air defense systems to degrade Iran's ability to continue attacking commercial vessels flowing through the Strait of Hormuz," Centcom said in a statement.

It added that commercial vessel transits through the strategically vital waterway were continuing. Centcom forces, the statement said, had facilitated the transit of around 900 commercial vessels and 450 million barrels of crude oil through the strait since early May.

Iran, meanwhile, attacked a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz early Tuesday, forcing its crew to abandon the vessel as it seeks to tighten its control over the waterway, one that typically handles around 20% of the world's oil traffic. Houthi militants in Yemen on Monday declared a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia effective immediately, a move that could substantially threaten Middle East oil supplies.

The Houthis have repeatedly threatened to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait during the U.S.-Iran war. The strait is a choke point for commercial ship traffic that connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and global markets. The militants, in a statement carried by state news, accused the Saudis of laying an "aggressive siege" against them.

Tensions escalated last week after they claimed that Riyadh had bombed Sanaa International Airport. The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said that it would respond to the Houthis naval blockade with force, reportedly describing such threats as "a blatant violation of international law.

" 10-day ceasefire 'won't be an easy task' Oil prices rose briefly on news of the Houthi statement but later pared gains as energy market participants closely monitored the prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough. International benchmark Brent crude futures with September delivery were last seen trading 0.

5% lower at $88.77 per barrel, having surpassed $90 in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with August delivery, meanwhile, stood 0.4% lower at $82.88. Strategists at ING said there's some hope of de-escalation between the U.S.

and Iran given the reports that mediators are proposing a 10-day ceasefire. "This won't be an easy task," ING's Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey said in a research note published Tuesday. "Large divisions remain between the US and Iran. And President Trump said the US would retaliate following the deaths of several American troops," they added.

In a post on Truth Social on Monday, President Donald Trump said: "Every time Iran kills an American Soldier they will pay for that killing many times over!" He added that this directive had been passed on to every leader in the military. Saudi Arabia oil risk Jorge León, senior vice president and head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy, said the Houthis' threat puts approximately 2.

5 million barrels per day of Saudi Arabian oil at risk at a time when traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is at a standstill. "With the Gulf's primary maritime outlet largely closed, the market is increasingly dependent on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and Red Sea terminals to maintain export flows," León said Monday in a research note.

Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline network, or Petroline, is a roughly 750-mile system that transports crude across Saudi Arabia, connecting Abqaiq on the oil-rich kingdom's eastern Gulf coast to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea. "Any disruption at Bab el-Mandeb would therefore threaten not only Saudi shipments but one of the few remaining routes capable of compensating for the severe reduction in Hormuz traffic," León said.

"If a ceasefire does not materialize and Hormuz remains largely closed while the Houthi threat to Red Sea shipping intensifies, the risk of a significant rebound in oil prices would be substantial," he added. — CNBC's Chloe Taylor and Spencer Kimball both contributed to this report.

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Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis announced Monday they would impose a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia, further throttling a global energy market already greatly restricted by Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This is why it matters and what it means for the Iran war and the global energy crisis.

It is not clear how the Houthis would carry out a maritime blockade of Saudi Arabia, its northern neighbor along the Red Sea coast, or whether it would include a return to attacks on shipping. Yemen sits on the Bab el-Mandeb strait – the southern gateway to the Red Sea – and closing that would open up a new front in the energy crisis and Iran's overarching conflict with the U.

S. With the Strait of Hormuz already disrupted, the Red Sea has become a critical alternative outlet for Gulf oil and other products. A serious disruption would mean both of the Middle East's major oil export routes are shut simultaneously. Iran's partial blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after Israel and the U.

S. attacked it on Feb. 28 disrupted most oil and other exports from the Gulf, raising prices and delivering a global energy shock. Saudi Arabia responded by diverting more than 70% of its normal daily crude exports to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. Ships from Yanbu bound for Europe go north through the Suez Canal.

Those heading to Asia go south through Bab el-Mandeb. Shipments from Yanbu averaged 4 million barrels per day in recent weeks according to data from Kpler and Signal Ocean, up from around 973,000 bpd a year earlier. Total petroleum volumes transiting Bab el-Mandeb amounted to 7.

4 million bpd in June, or about 7% of global oil output, according to Kpler data, up from 4.2 million bpd last year. That has provided a lifeline for the energy market, helping to keep down global oil prices. Saudi Arabia is considering an expansion of its crude oil pipeline to the Red Sea coast, Reuters reported last week.

When the Houthis launched attacks on Red Sea shipping in November 2023, Gulf oil exports were flowing freely. The Houthis have been in a civil war against the Saudi-backed, internationally recognized government for more than a decade and have attacked Gulf neighbors with missiles and drones.

However, a 2022 truce between the country's warring sides largely held until last week, when Yemen's internationally recognized government said it had struck Sanaa airport to stop an Iranian plane landing. The Houthis said Saudi Arabia was responsible and, in response, fired missiles at Abha airport in the kingdom's mountainous southwest.

A senior Houthi official, politburo member Mohammad al-Farah, then warned in an interview on Iran's Press TV website that if the situation kept escalating, Bab el-Mandeb would be closed. The U.S. says Iran has armed, funded and trained the Houthis with help from Hezbollah.

The Houthis deny being an Iranian proxy and say they develop their own weapons. It is not clear how far the group's stance on Bab el-Mandeb and the Red Sea stems from its own strategic priorities or is being made on Iran's behalf. After Israel's genocidal campaign in Gaza, the Houthis began firing at Israel and on shipping in the Red Sea, saying they were doing so in support of Palestinians.

The attacks severely disrupted global shipping, prompting Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd and other major companies to divert around Africa – a far longer, more expensive route. Red Sea traffic has not recovered since, with traffic through the Suez Canal down 52% in 2025 versus 2023 levels and at its lowest in at least 50 years, Suez Canal Authority data shows.

A U.S.-led mission to restore free navigation in the Red Sea involved repeated strikes on Houthi targets and a campaign that shot down hundreds of drones and missiles. But some Houthi attacks continued until last summer, only ending completely with the Gaza cease-fire in October.

Last month, the Houthis said they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed military attacks on Iran. However, that threat was never acted on and shipping groups Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd are resuming some Red Sea routes that they had abandoned during the Houthi attacks last year, Maersk said this month.

While Hezbollah and the Iraqi groups joined the war early with rocket and drone fire after the first U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the Houthis had been comparatively quiet. The group's leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi said on March 5: "Our fingers are on the trigger at any moment should developments warrant it.

" Iranian commanders have repeatedly warned that the Houthis could join the war. The Houthis launched a few missile and drone attacks on Israel in late March and early April. Revolutionary Guards Quds Force commander Esmaeil Qaani said on June 1 they could choke off the Red Sea.

That may now have changed with their announcement of the blockade on Monday against Saudi Arabia in retaliation for what they called the kingdom's siege of its ports and airports, including last week's strike.