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متتبع أزمة إيران-الخليج 2026
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strikeApr 28, 2026

Trump to Iran: Get Serious Or Drown In Your Own Crude; UPDATE: Another Ship Seized

Summary

Has Donald Trump run out of patience? Or has Iran? It depends on whether one talks about strategic or tactical patience – and even then, whether Iran actually has either or just a set of unshakeable delusions. Earlier today, Reuters reported that Trump has reviewed the Iranian proposal to sell him the same missing Persian rug twice, and has rejected it. As noted yesterday, Iran's latest proposal is the same as the current ceasefire agreement that Iran has refused to honor in the first place. They want to open the Strait of Hormuz to all, and push off talks on nuclear weapons until some point in the indeterminate future. Trump already responded briefly yesterday by refusing to send negotiators on this basis. His position hardened even further, Reuters notes: U.S. President Donald Trump is unhappy with the latest Iranian proposal on resolving the two-month war, a U.S. official said, dampening hopes for resolution of a conflict that has disrupted energy supplies, fuelled inflation, and killed thousands. Iran's latest proposal would set aside discussion of Iran's nuclear programme until the war, on hold following a ceasefire announced earlier this month, is ended and disputes over shipping from the Gulf are resolved. Trump is unhappy with Iran's proposal as he wants nuclear issues dealt with from the outset, said a U.S. official briefed on the president's Monday meeting with his advisers, speaking on condition of anonymity. Trump got more direct about it behind closed doors, reports Axios' Barak Ravid and Marc Caputo. Trump wants to get a deal done that will extract the regime's stores of highly enriched uranium, but their refusal to negotiate on that point has pushed him to the end of his tactical patience. He is reviewing his options, ranging from standing pat on the blockade to the shock-and-awe campaign he threatened that prompted the first ceasefire agreement: Zoom in: President Trump is vacillating between launching new military strikes or waiting to see whether his "maximum pressure" financial sanctions make Iran more inclined to negotiate an end to its nuclear weapons program, according to five advisers who have spoken with him. - "All [Iran's leaders] understand is bombs," Trump recently told one adviser, who relayed the comment to Axios. - "I would describe him as frustrated but realistic," the adviser said. "He doesn't want to use force. But he's not backing down." Inside the room: Some of Trump's senior advisers want him to maintain the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz for now — and impose more economic sanctions to pressure the Iranian regime — before going back to bombing. ... The other side: Trump also is consulting with hawks outside the administration, including Washington Post columnist Marc Thiessen, retired Army Gen. Jack Keane and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). All are advising Trump to take some kind of military action to try to break the current deadlock. Ravid and Caputo call this a "cold war," which is hardly applicable. The US and Iran's cold-war phase lasted 46-plus years, with Iran continually conducting provocations and the US sticking mainly to "proportional" responses. This has been a hot war since February 28, and it remains so. Naval blockades and sieges are "hot war" tactics and strategies, even if they are less than satisfying to those observing on a moment-to-moment basis. And in this case, the blockade and siege is doing more damage to the regime than the previous bombings did, in the long-term strategic sense. The media has finally begun to take some notice of the ramifications of the blockade for the regime. Iran's IRGC risks generational damage to its oil industry unless the regime can ship its crude and get empty tankers back to refill: Iran is scrambling to find new ways to store its oil, hoping to avoid a crippling production shutdown as a U.S. naval blockade bottles up its exports and negotiations to end the war remain deadlocked. With oil backing up at home, Iran is reviving derelict sites known as “junk storage,” using improvised containers and trying to ship crude by rail to China. The unusual steps are aimed at delaying an infrastructure crisis and blunting Washington’s leverage in the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz. The war between the U.S. and Iran has turned into a race to see whether Tehran’s oil industry or global energy consumers crack first. Every barrel that can’t leave the country through normal export channels must go somewhere: into a tank, onto a ship, into an improvised storage site—or remain underground. ... Shutting production abruptly can damage older oil fields, especially those with low pressure or fragile geology. Around half of Iran’s oil fields have low pressure, leaving them vulnerable to longer-term production losses after stoppages, according to consulting firm Rystad Energy. To be sure, not every production stoppage destroys a well, and Iranian engineers have experience managing production under sanctions. But Iran’s old equipment and mature fields make forced production cuts particularly risky, Iranian oil officials have said[.] Trump suggested on Sunday that Iran had three days left before having to shut down these oil fields. Analysts told the WSJ that Iran may be able to eke out enough junk storage to last a couple of more weeks. The new bid to sell the same Persian rug twice probably indicates that the reality is closer to Trump's estimate. (IRGC media mouthpiece Tasnim claimed two months of room, but YMMV.) That's significant strategic leverage, and Trump seems inclined to stand pat on the blockade at the moment. He wants a successful negotiation and likely hopes that this leverage will eventually produce a change in leadership. Trump hinted at that on Truth Social this morning: Iran has just informed us that they are in a “State of Collapse.” They want us to “Open the Hormuz Strait,” as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!). Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP Trump clearly wants to force power to change hands in Tehran in order to get the "nuclear dust" out as peacefully as possible. He can afford to wait out the regime if he chooses, at least militarily. Politically here at home may present more limitations in time and options. And it does sound as though Trump has come to the conclusion that the only language the IRGC dead-enders understand is bombs, so perhaps his path of least resistance is Shock and Awe II ... or eleven, as Ilhan Omar would say. Update: The blockade is still up and running. The US has seized another ship attempting to escape it: CENTCOM:— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) April 28, 2026 Earlier today in the Arabian Sea, U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit boarded M/V Blue Star III, a commercial ship suspected of attempting to transit to Iran in violation of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports. U.S. forces released the vessel after… pic.twitter.com/9Snhv7Mtvs There are also unconfirmed reports that Iran has presented a new proposal to the Pakistanis. Stay tuned!

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  • Ed MorrisseyBy Ed Morrissey

    Has Donald Trump run out of patience? Or has Iran? It depends on whether one talks about strategic or tactical patience – and even then, whether Iran actually has either or just a set of unshakeable delusions. Earlier today, Reuters reported that Trump has reviewed the Iranian pr

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strikeUnverifiedUSUNRussiaUkraine
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- Two US peace negotiators will visit Ukraine on Sunday after visiting Moscow, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Friday. Ukraine’s president said Kyiv would guarantee the safety of Russian airspace during the visit of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow, after which they are expected to travel on to Kyiv.

He called on Russia to also halt its air attacks on Ukraine during the negotiators’ visit. Donald Trump, the US president, said: “We have an idea for peace … I sent Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, two great negotiators.” The New York Times reported that Washington has asked both sides for a ceasefire during the envoys’ visit.

Kushner is Trump’s son-in-law and Witkoff deals in real estate. - The headquarters of Ukraine’s SBU intelligence agency took a direct hit from a Russian drone on Friday, Amy Hawkins reports from Kyiv. Zelenskyy said he had instructed the SBU to deliver an “appropriate, tangible response” to the strike, while the foreign minister, Andrii Sybiha, described it as a “major escalation”.

Zelenskyy said: “The drone was aimed directly at the office of the head of the security service in that building.” At least nine people were injured in Friday’s strike, according to Kyiv’s mayor, Vitali Klitschko. - Air Tanzania said it was suspending flights from Dar es Salaam to Moscow from Friday, becoming the first airline to do so after Zelenskyy warned this week that the skies over Russia were unsafe because of Ukraine’s retaliatory drone attacks.

The airline said on Facebook that it took the step after “a routine risk assessment of the operating environment along the route”. Vladimir Putin on Thursday falsely claimed that Ukraine was threatening to attack civilian aircraft. Moscow has protested to the UN’s aviation agency after Ukraine asked it to have member countries keep their airlines out of Russian airspace.

“Ukraine does not threaten civilian aviation as such – not a single civilian aircraft,” Zelenskyy said during the week. “There will simply be drones in Russia’s skies on a scale that has to be taken into account.” - A “massive” overnight Russian attack on the Odesa region killed one person and injured at least five others, including a child, regional head Oleh Kiper said on Friday.

The attacks damaged multiple residential buildings, including two multistorey blocks. Strikes elsewhere in Ukraine killed two police officers in Dnipro, officials said, while a drone attack in Kyiv wounded three people after hitting a residential building.

- In Russia, a large-scale Ukrainian drone strike hit the Black Sea resort city of Sochi and the nearby district of Sirius, regional officials said on Friday. They said the attack sparked a blaze at an oil depot. Russian media outlets reported two oil depots were hit, with one fire in Sochi and another in Sirius.

- Finnish authorities said they were investigating how a Russian-made drone ended up on the shore in the Pellinge archipelago east of Helsinki. Finland’s border guard said it appeared to be a Geoscan 701 drone, manufactured by a Russian company. “The device model in question is used by both state and civilian operators, and it is not possible at this stage to determine its intended use or identify the country or entity operating it.

” - A World Health Organization warehouse storing humanitarian medical supplies was struck during an air attack on the Kyiv region, continuing what the WHO said was a pattern of such attacks across Ukraine. In 2026, at least 20 attacks have affected depots storing humanitarian goods including healthcare supplies, said a WHO spokesperson in Geneva.

- A vice-president in the far-right party of French presidential contender Marine Le Pen has sparked a furore by saying France would “turn off the tap” to Ukraine if National Rally (RN) came to power. Louis Aliot claimed the RN “condemned the Russian aggression” but said the war had “weakened Europe”.

One of Le Pen’s leading rivals in the elections, centre-right politician Edouard Philippe, who served as Macron’s first prime minister, retorted that “turning off the tap to Ukraine is serving Russia”. “Weakening Ukraine, as Marine Le Pen wishes, is threatening the security of Europe and France.

I will do everything to prevent it.” Le Pen herself entered the fray, claiming that her party was pushing for a “diplomatic resolution of this abominable war”. - The head of Memorial, Russia’s Nobel peace prize-winning rights group, has told AFP she fears a fresh crackdown after September’s legislative elections, with more people arrested and sent to fight in Ukraine.

Elena Zhemkova also vowed to keep up the fight for human rights in Russia, despite her group being declared illegal and herself forced into exile. “Unfortunately, I think that now everything is getting worse, but not so fast,” the 65-year-old said. “But after the elections, there will be a very sharp deterioration.

” Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy calls air truce as Kushner and Witkoff head for Kyiv via Moscow Direct hit on SBU headquarters in Kyiv targeted intelligence chief; airline suspends Moscow flights after Zelenskyy warning.

Location: Kyiv
strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
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Speaking to reporters at the Oval Office, Trump defended the months-long US military campaign against the Islamic Republic, saying its primary objective was to prevent Tehran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. "We're in five months now. And you know what we did in five months?

They're not going to have a nuclear weapon; that's what we did," Trump said. Also read: Trump calls Iran conflict 'small potatoes' and defends Vance's position that it's not a 'war' "Iran will not have a nuclear weapon because if they did, you probably wouldn't be standing here very long," he added.

Trump then warned that Pickaxe Mountain could be targeted if the US detects activity there. "We may hit Pickaxe very soon because if there was anything going on with Pickaxe," Trump said, adding that US intelligence was closely monitoring activity at the site.

"We know everybody that's moving at Pickaxe; we know everybody that's moving everywhere all over Iran. And if anything goes bad, we hit them; we hit them hard," Trump said. Pickaxe Mountain is located near Iran's heavily damaged Natanz uranium-enrichment facility and is described as a heavily fortified underground complex containing two deeply buried tunnel systems.

The Wall Street Journal had earlier reported that Israeli intelligence believes Iran has relocated thousands of centrifuges to the deeply buried facility. The underground construction of the site is believed to make it substantially more resistant to conventional aerial bombardment, making any potential US decision to strike it a significant escalation in the campaign against Iran's nuclear infrastructure.

Trump also argued that US military intervention had prevented a wider regional conflict, saying that without American action, Israel and the broader Middle East would have faced a potentially more serious threat. "If we didn't go in there, you wouldn't have Israel right now, you wouldn't have the Middle East, and they probably would go at European cities and our cities next," Trump said.

"But we stopped them from having a nuclear weapon in five months," he added. The remarks came days after the US Central Command said American forces had completed a wave of strikes against Iranian military targets. According to CENTCOM, the operations targeted facilities associated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps last week, including air-defence installations, radar systems, maritime assets, mine-laying capabilities and communications sites.

CENTCOM said the strikes followed what it described as recent "attempted attacks" by the IRGC against commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and against US service members. Trump also spoke about the recent US strikes on Iranian radar systems, claiming American forces had destroyed sophisticated radar installations on two occasions.

"There had been no shooting for days before the hit that we gave them the other night to wipe out the radar they had," Trump said. "They had very sophisticated radar - they brought in radar because we knocked it out once, and now we knocked it out twice.

Now we don't notice any activity," he added. Trump suggested Iran had become reluctant to continue deploying radar systems because of repeated US attacks. "I think they're tired of putting it in and getting blown up," he said. Iran had strongly condemned the latest American strikes, accusing Washington of violating Iranian sovereignty and targeting non-military infrastructure and civilian sites across several provinces.

Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said Iranian armed forces had responded with what it described as "crushing defensive strikes" against US military bases in West Asia that Tehran said served as the origin, support and staging points for American attacks.

Location: Natanz
strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
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‘Small potatoes’: US President Trump downplays war on Iran The president’s remarks could signal a new strategy towards the conflict, focused on minimising its impact. As the United States and Israel’s war on Iran enters its seventh month with no clear end in sight, President Donald Trump has become the latest US official to downplay the conflict.

On Friday, Trump said the conflict, which has resulted in the deaths of 18 US service members and a spike in global energy prices, is “small potatoes”. Recommended Storieslist of 3 items - list 1 of 3How much oil is going through Hormuz? Why data doesn’t match US claims - list 2 of 3Iran war: Why US midterms could be a pivotal moment - list 3 of 3‘Things happen’: How Vance’s comment on Iran wedding strike fits US pattern “It’s not a big thing,” Trump said, comparing strikes on Iran with other US military campaigns, including the January 3 operation to abduct Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

“We did Venezuela, and we did this. In Venezuela, we lost nobody. In this, we lost 18 people.” His remarks came at an Oval Office signing event, where reporters asked him to weigh in on remarks from Vice President JD Vance. A day earlier, at a White House news briefing, Vance appeared to suggest the conflict had cooled, despite a recent exchange of intense fire between US and Iranian forces.

“I wouldn’t call it a war. Right now, there is no active shooting,” Vance said, arguing that major combat operations only lasted six weeks. He then added, “I recognise there have been places where this has flared up.” Trump on Friday told reporters there was “a lot of truth” to what Vance said.

He opted to brand the fighting as a “military conflict”. “We do intermittent strikes,” Trump said, adding: “We’re not fighting right now. There’s no fighting. We’re taking out a lot of oil. We control the Hormuz Strait. We control it very strongly.” Since the war began on February 28, Trump has used various phrases to avoid calling the conflict a war.

In the past, he has called the fighting with Iran a “little skirmish”, a “little detour” and a “little excursion, a couple of weeks, few weeks of excursion”. “It’s an excursion that will keep us out of a war,” Trump said in March. Experts say such terminology is likely strategic.

The Trump administration has faced pushback for not seeking congressional approval before launching its strikes on Iran. The US Constitution grants Congress the exclusive power to declare war, though successive presidencies have taken unilateral military actions without the legislature’s approval.

Legal scholars have repeatedly questioned the legality of those manoeuvres. In June, both chambers of Congress passed a war powers resolution, calling on Trump to either stop his military campaign against Iran or seek congressional authorisation for it.

The resolution was largely symbolic, though it did signal growing bipartisan opposition to Trump’s war on Iran. As the conflict enters its seventh month, it remains widely unpopular in the US. A poll released on Monday by the Reuters news agency and the research firm Ipsos found that nearly six in 10 US adults disapproved of the military strikes on Iran.

As the midterm elections approach in November, and peace talks remain deadlocked, the president’s remarks appear designed to minimise the conflict’s impact across the world. The war has led to attacks across the Middle East, and fuel prices remain high.

In the US, the American Automobile Association (AAA) says the average fuel price is $4.15 per gallon (3.8 litres), up nearly a dollar from last year. The Trump administration, however, has long argued the war and its effects would be short-term. It has also signalled that it intends to double down on its economic pressure campaign against Iran, which has long faced US sanctions.

In August, Trump pledged on Truth Social to pursue the “MOST CRUSHING ECONOMIC OPERATION EVER TAKEN AGAINST ANY COUNTRY”. This week, his administration announced new sanctions aimed at cutting off the country’s access to the international financial system.

On Friday, Trump also did not rule out further attacks, suggesting the US may “very soon” strike Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain, a military site near the Natanz uranium enrichment facility. Natanz was bombed in June 2025 and again during the current war. A recent exchange of strikes this month resulted in Iran firing on US military bases across the Middle East.

The US, meanwhile, was accused by the Iranian government of bombing a wedding celebration in the coastal city of Sirik, killing at least four people. While the future of the conflict is uncertain, Trump said he was pleased with its progress. “I don’t think it matters what you call it,” Trump said.

“What matters is you’ve had tremendous success.

strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
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Following the resumption of US strikes on Iranian targets in early September, President Trump characterized the six-month-old confrontation as "small potatoes," noting that 18 US service members have been killed since operations began in February. While Trump asserted that US forces have significantly secured the Strait of Hormuz and that current attacks are intermittent, Central Command reported recent strikes on Iranian air-defense and maritime assets.

Location: Iran