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متتبع أزمة إيران-الخليج 2026
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strikeSep 9, 2026

US efforts to choke Tehran economy are working, WSJ reports | The Jerusalem Post

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Iran’s oil export revenue is drying up as a US naval blockade strangles shipments from the Persian Gulf and offshore stockpiles feeding China dwindle, increasing the pressure on Tehran’s already battered economy. As a US naval blockade obstructs Persian Gulf shipments and offshore oil stockpiles dwindle, Iran’s economy is continually waning, according to a Monday Wall Street Journal report. Since the US reinstated its naval blockade in mid-July, no Iranian oil has passed through, the report said, citing maritime shipping data platform Kpler. Despite Iran continuing to load small amounts of oil onto ships, the barrels remain stuck inside the Gulf, the report explained. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in a post on X/Twitter on Friday that since the reinstatement of the blockade, “no Iranian crude cargoes have successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz to China.” The post also contained a “Jaws” graphic of a shark and a chart depicting Iran’s falling oil exports and currency. “Inventory cannot be replenished as crude piles up aboard vessels trapped inside the strait. Iran’s export lifeline is being cut off: stranded oil, finite storage, and rapidly shrinking revenue,” he said. Iranian oil had fallen from 90 million barrels in mid-July to around 29 million barrels, with the oil possibly running out next month, the WSJ reported, citing Kpler. Additionally, the WSJ said that Kpler data show that Iran loaded 255,000 barrels per day onto vessels in the Gulf in August, 85% below the February-April average. Shipping traffic via Strait of Hormuz stays below 10-day average, data shows Six commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, down from nine a day earlier and below the 10-day average of about 12, preliminary shipping data showed on Wednesday. The figures could change as some ships typically switch off their transponders during the voyage. Of the six vessels, five were entering, and one was exiting, initial data from ship tracker Kpler showed at 0200 GMT. They included one Panamax and one intermediate tanker. Meanwhile, 25 commodity vessels transited the Bab el-Mandeb strait on Tuesday, another major maritime chokepoint in the Middle East, with 11 vessels entering and 14 exiting. This compares with an average of around 27 ships going through Bab el-Mandeb over the past 10 days. Among the vessels traveling through the strait were two Suezmax tankers, eight Aframax tankers, and one Very Large Crude Carrier. As the US war on Iran enters its seventh month, American tactics to choke Tehran’s economy have plunged the Iranian rial, caused inflation to soar, and continue to slide the country’s economy deeper into crisis, said the report. Inflation in Iran is more than 80% year-over-year, with the International Monetary Fund forecasting a 5.4% economic contraction for 2026, a figure the WSJ says is the country’s worst since the 1980s. The results are testing the US’s bet that economic difficulty will force Iran to concede to US demands, according to the WSJ, but Gulf officials and analysts warn that it could instead provoke more retaliation from Iran. Economist Hamad Hussain said that results will depend on “the degree of economic pain that the Iranian regime is willing to bear to achieve its military and geopolitical objectives,” according to WSJ’s report. “The US campaign will have a significant effect on the average Iranian household. But in terms of Iran capitulating at the negotiating table? I have a lot of doubts,” the WSJ cited Ellie Geranmayeh, an Iran expert at the European Council on Foreign Relations, as saying. “The evidence we have suggests the Iranian regime is likely to resist. Meanwhile, the US continues to issue new sanctions on Iran and other institutions accused of aiding its presence on the global financial stage. Bessent announced on Tuesday a fresh round of sanctions under the Trump administration's “Operation Economic Outcast.” “We promised severe consequences for those providing financial lifelines to the Iranian regime. Today, we followed through on that promise with sanctions on companies that continue to support Mahan Air,” said the post. “Let this be a warning to anyone doing business with Iran’s remaining airlines, all of which we sanctioned today: You are at risk of being cut off from the global financial system.” According to the WSJ, roughly a third of Iran’s state budget is funded by oil revenue, which also finances the regime’s military. According to the US Treasury, armed forces, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), sell crude and supplement budgets by utilizing companies and shadow-fleet networks, many of which have been targets of US sanctions. June’s diplomatic efforts to sign a memorandum of understanding allowing Iran to move large amounts of oil overseas for later delivery, WSJ’s report said, with the country continuing to live off the profits from those barrels. Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad said on Friday that “the process of selling oil and delivering it to customers was carried out thousands of kilometers away from the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman,” according to the report. US sanctions could make payments to Iran more difficult However, Kpler estimates that current deliveries of around a million barrels per day, most of which go to China, could deplete oil stocks by mid-October. Payments for previous cargoes would likely dry up by mid-December, said WSJ. And increasing US sanctions could make those payments even harder to collect. Not only has Iran been forced to cut production due to the blockade, but land routes only allow a small amount of oil to be transported, according to the report. No more than 40,000 barrels a day via trucks could be moved, a sliver of prewar exports of almost 2 million barrels daily, the WSJ cited head of crude oil analysis at Kpler Homayoun Falakshahi as saying. Petrochemicals, Iran’s second-largest source of earnings, have also suffered due to their dependence on seaborne exports, the WSJ said. Loadings have fallen around two-thirds since early 2026, according to Kpler estimates. Meanwhile, the US has continued to guide convoys from other Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been transiting through pipelines that bypass the waterway, the report explained. Iran's overall trade has also fallen since last year Nonetheless, Iran’s overall trade is continuing, though at numbers lower than last year’s The regime exported almost $15 million of other goods between mid-March and mid-August, WSJ reported, citing Iranian media. Saudi officials have warned that Iran is providing more weapons, personnel, and intelligence to Yemen’s Houthis, threatening Saudi shipping and infrastructure and another possible shipping chokepoint, said the report. On Tuesday, the Iran-backed terror group attacked four cities in Saudi Arabia, wounding 73 people, setting oil installations ablaze, and continuing to threaten shipping at the mouth of the Red Sea. Reuters contributed to this report.

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  • ARIELLA ROITMANBy ARIELLA ROITMAN

    Iran’s oil export revenue is drying up as a US naval blockade strangles shipments from the Persian Gulf and offshore stockpiles feeding China dwindle, increasing the pressure on Tehran’s already battered economy. As a US naval blockade obstructs Persian Gulf shipments and offshor

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The British overseas territories of Akrotiri and Dhekelia on the island of Cyprus have generated a buzz online in recent days, after a social media post by a French politician claimed that the UK was "occupying" Cyprus. The X post by French MEP Manon Aubry, of the far-left France Unbowed party, was originally published in February but resurfaced after being reposted and quoted by social media users last week.

Aubry's post contains a video of herself in Akrotiri — known officially as the Sovereign Base Area of Akrotiri — in which she says its presence in Cyprus, as well as that of Dhekelia, shows that part of the country is still "occupied by the British Army".

She adds that the bases are being used to provide intelligence about the Gaza Strip to Israel and that, as NATO bases, they are ultimately under the command of US President Donald Trump. "Stop colonialism!" Aubry says in the text of her X post. In response, social media users attached a community note to the post, explaining that Akrotiri and Dhekelia are covered by the 1960 treaty that Cyprus signed to establish its independence from the UK.

They added that this is unlike the north of the country, which the vast majority of the international community considers to be under Turkish military occupation in an issue known as "the Cyprus problem". Turkey invaded Cyprus in 1974, ultimately dividing the island with Turkish forces controlling the north of the island, about 36% of its territory, to this day.

Self-proclaimed "Northern Cyprus" is recognised only by Turkey. The Cube, Euronews' fact-checking team, spoke to experts to break down some of the nuance surrounding the British bases in Cyprus, whether they bear any similarities to the Turkish occupation, and whether Aubry's claims hold any weight.

Simply put, the question about the status of the bases is a complex one, according to scholars. They said that, legally speaking, the UK is not "occupying" Cyprus, because the base areas are recognised under international law, including by Cyprus itself.

"We can look at the definition of occupation, which includes the presence of a military force without a territory's consent," said Peter Clegg, professor of politics and international relations with a specialisation in British Overseas Territories, at the University of the West of England.

"In this case, there is consent," he said. "There is agreement from the Cypriot government that the bases can exist." Clegg pointed to the vast aspects of civilian daily life that are overseen in the base areas by the Cypriot government, such as education and social welfare, and the fact that the government has not challenged the legality of the independence treaty since it was drawn up.

Under the terms of the agreement, the UK promises "not to develop the Sovereign Base Areas for other than military purposes" and "not to set up and administer 'colonies'" there. It also says that Cypriots have full access to the area surrounding the bases, that their rights will be fully protected, and that laws applicable to the Cypriot population who live there "will be as far as possible the same as the laws of the Republic [of Cyprus]".

The importance of consent was also noted by Costas M Constantinou, professor of international relations at the University of Cyprus, although he highlighted that the situation is not so clear-cut. "I wouldn't call it occupation, but rather an ingenious development of colonialism," he told The Cube.

"The main difference from occupation is that Cypriots formally agreed to it when they signed the Treaty of Establishment in 1960, which also established the bases." "But they were basically coerced, as decolonisation of the island was made conditional on accepting the 'sovereign bases'," he added.

"This raises questions about the legality of the bases today." Neophytos Loizides, professor of international conflict analysis at the University of Warwick, said that the Cypriot people were not consulted when Akrotiri and Dhekelia were left behind as part of the independence deal and that the UK, as the colonial power, used its leverage to hold on to the territories.

"The agreement was signed under duress," he said. "Cypriot leaders did not have the same power as the UK, so the UK could impose its will." Responding to Manon Aubry's use of language directly, he said that it's more accurate to call the bases a "colonial remnant" rather than an "occupation", which is an "emotive use of words".

"This is different to the occupation happening in the north of Cyprus," he said. "A Cypriot person is unlikely to say the British are occupiers, but they wouldn't necessarily say they're there legitimately either." For Constantinou, the key word is "ambivalence".

"Greek Cypriots and certainly the Cypriot government don't view the bases as something that is equivalent to the Turkish occupation in the north," he said. "Those Cypriots who live inside the base areas and may still consider it a colonial remnant don't necessarily or always see it negatively, as many economically benefit from working in the bases and some also feel that the British army provides security vis-a-vis the Turkish army, in areas such as the Achna Forest village in the Dhekelia base.

" As for Aubry's claims that the UK was using the bases in Cyprus to assist Israel, Clegg said they were incorrect. "There have been some surveillance flights in and around Gaza, but the UK has made clear, and it's likely true, that the flights were unarmed and were used to help identify the location of the hostages following the 7 October attacks," he said.

He added that there was limited or no information sharing with Israel or the US, but there were humanitarian aid flights from the bases to Gaza. "There's a discussion to be had about how the bases are being used, but I don't think everything being thrown at them is entirely true and fair," he told The Cube.

"It's likely somewhere in between." The UK government insists that the surveillance flights over Gaza were conducted solely for hostage location, that it maintained strict control over the information it gathered and that only data directly related to the whereabouts of any hostages was given to Israel.

However, certain investigative outlets have cast doubt on whether this intelligence sharing extended into broader Israeli military operations, accusing the government of a lack of transparency for refusing to reveal exactly what information was shared and potential complicity in Israel's war.

Akrotiri and Dhekelia made headlines earlier this year when a drone hit the former in March during the wider war between Iran and both Israel and the US. More drones launched in the following days were intercepted. The strikes reignited the debate about the bases' future in Cyprus, which, unlike the UK, is not a NATO member.

Protesters argued that ordinary Cypriots would pay the price if anything bad happened to them, while President Nikos Christodoulides demanded talks with London about the future of the "colonial" military bases. Rather than directly challenging British sovereignty, however, Nicosia has shifted towards a phased, technical approach, proposing joint committees on how both sides can work together and launching high-level diplomatic dialogue.

"From the Cypriot perspective, the return of the territory would be welcome, but they'd also like to see a better functional relationship," Loizides said. "The British bases cannot perpetually put at risk the Cypriot population on the island." "In the future, it may be that the British maintain the bases but under a protection framework, so that Cyprus benefits from it, and the colonial status changes into a more modern security framework," he added, noting that the relationship between both sides has "improved dramatically" in recent decades.

Any such change is unlikely to happen anytime soon, though, according to Clegg, who described the recent comments from Cyprus as "genuine concern, but more rhetorical than trying to bring about real change." The UK briefly considered whether it was beneficial to keep the bases amid the Turkish invasion in the 70s, but pressure from the US pushed London to keep the status quo.

"The bases are British, there's close cooperation with Cyprus, but there's a US interest too; there's a triangular relationship," Clegg said. "This has been at the heart of how they've been administered." A change in status could come as part of a wider peace settlement regarding the Cyprus problem, according to Loizides, explaining that the British bases could factor into the equation as part of a security framework in the region.

"If the Cyprus problem were fixed, there'd be an opportunity to further develop the European defence mechanisms in the Middle East and east Mediterranean," Loizides said. "The entire region could benefit from the British bases; they could provide security to Cyprus and the EU, so there's a basis for a good agreement for the Brits here too.

" The future of the bases came under legal scrutiny after the International Court of Justice handed down an advisory opinion in 2019, in which it said that the UK's detachment of the Chagos Islands from Mauritius during decolonisation in the 1960s violated the right to self-determination and territorial integrity.

Some Cypriot officials and legal experts say that this is similar to how the UK carved out Akrotiri and Dhekelia during Cyprus' transition to independence, although other analysts say the cases are distinct, because while the indigenous population of Chagos was expelled, the British bases in Cyprus were baked into the 1960 treaty, with formal recognition from the new republic.

London has since agreed to hand over sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, but the necessary legislation has stalled following pushback from Trump. Nevertheless, in the Cypriot case, the UK has consistently maintained its commitment to and sovereignty over Akrotiri and Dhekelia under the 1960 agreement.

Al Carns, former armed forces minister, told The Telegraph in April that their legal status is "non-negotiable", dismissing any suggestion of transferring control of them. The government of Cyprus did not respond to a request for comment as of the time of publication.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has stated that while Germany is not formally at war with Russia, it faces a hybrid threat involving drone overflights, sabotage, and disinformation, following the government's explicit attribution of an attempted attack on Leipzig/Halle airport to Moscow.

In response, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt raised the national threat level to "high," acknowledging that while other states like China and Iran also employ hybrid tactics, identifying the specific attribution of such incidents remains difficult.

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Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed Wednesday that missiles struck the Al-Azraq air base in Jordan, with state media reporting damage to maintenance and deployment facilities; however, Jordanian forces announced they intercepted 18 incoming missiles.

This incident followed US military strikes on five Iranian oil tankers on Tuesday, a move the US cited as a response to previous Iranian attacks on a US warship, intensifying a broader conflict that has already seen both sides target critical shipping routes.

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US forces hit five Iranian tankers as Tehran targets American base in Jordan - Published US forces struck five Iranian tankers in response to Tehran twice targeting an American warship over the past two days, US Central Command (Centcom) said. Four Iranian oil tankers linked to Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) in the Gulf of Oman were targeted, as well as another tanker near Kharg Island, a major oil off Iran's Gulf Coast, Centcom added.

Tehran retaliated by launching missiles at a US base in Jordan, though Jordan later said that it had shot down 18 of the 20 Iranian missiles with its air defence systems. Tit-for-tat strikes between the two countries have escalated in the past week, more than six months after the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran on 28 February.

Oil prices rose in early trading in Asia. Benchmark Brent crude was up by 1.5% at $99.41 (£73.39) a barrel, while US-traded oil was 1.6% higher at $94.55. Iran has warned of further retaliatory strikes on US ships in Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports. The IRGC Navy Command warned all oil tanker crews near Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports linked to the US to "immediately leave their vessels whether at anchor or at the ports because they will be targeted".

Two of the missiles fired by Iran towards Jordan fell in unpopulated areas, an official spokesperson for the Jordanian Armed Forces said. The latest round of escalation comes after Iran targeted a US Navy warship with ballistic missiles, which the US "successfully evaded", according to Centcom.

It added that no American troops were harmed during the attacks. In response, the US said that the five Iranian oil tankers it targeted were "part of a multi-billion-dollar shadow network that funds the IRGC and its regional proxies". Kharg Island - where one Iranian tanker was attacked in the latest round of strikes - hosts Iran's main terminal for exporting oil.

Some 90% of the country's crude oil passes through the island, transported through pipes from the mainland. When asked by reporters about the latest tit-for-tat strikes between the US and Iran, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the situation was "pretty straightforward".

"Iran continues to try to hit US naval ships. And, for every time they do that or try to do that, they're going to lose tankers. And I think you'll see that again today," Rubio told reporters during a trip in Colombia. On 5 September, the US struck three Iranian oil tankers after Tehran attempted to attack a US aircraft carrier and guided missile destroyer.

The latest escalation in fighting flared last week, following a month of relative calm. With additional reporting from Peter Hoskins.