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diplomacyOct 23, 2026

Iran war live: European, Middle East FMs in Istanbul for security talks

Summary

European and Middle East foreign ministers meet in Istanbul for talks on the Strait of Hormuz and regional crises.

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Iran

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diplomacyUnverifiedUSEURussiaUkraine
○ 1 source

Polymarket prediction markets currently price the probability of Russia and Ukraine holding peace talks by December 31 at 81.5%, a figure that has risen approximately 10 points in the last 24 hours. While both Moscow and Kyiv have indicated openness to resuming trilateral negotiations in November, traders assign a significantly lower 13.

5% likelihood to an actual ceasefire occurring by year's end.

Location: Tyre