Reports suggest the Iran conflict could potentially contribute to a new international refugee crisis, though specific outcomes remain unverified. Authorities anticipate that humanitarian impacts may extend across the Middle East and into other regions, pending further assessment of the situation.

On March 9, 2026, refugees were observed crossing from Iran into Armenia at the Meghri border checkpoint. These individuals were carrying personal belongings while transiting the border during the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

Reports indicate that ongoing hostilities involving Iran, Israel, and the United States have contributed to increased displacement and humanitarian pressures across the Middle East. These developments have reportedly placed significant strain on regional aid infrastructure and stability, although the full scale of the impact remains subject to evolving assessments.

International organizations have reported a civilian death toll between 1,030 and 2,362 in the 2026 Iran War, a range that may be incomplete due to restricted journalist access and an internet blackout. The accuracy of these figures is further complicated by reports that a significant portion of victims were initially unidentifiable.