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strikeApr 16, 2026

Press review: Pakistan advances US-Iran ceasefire as Russia joins Hormuz talks

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MOSCOW, April 16. /TASS/. Pakistan steps up efforts toward a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, and Russia joins negotiations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Gaza destiny may await Lebanon amid continued Israeli attacks. These stories topped Thursday’s newspaper headlines across Russia. Nezavisimaya Gazeta: Pakistan steps up efforts toward US-Iran ceasefire Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is looking to intensify the negotiation process between the United States and Iran as he is trying to secure support from all players in close vicinity to Iran which are interested in peace. Sharif has departed for a tour of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey. According to a statement from the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Saudi Arabia and Qatar will host bilateral talks involving the Pakistani PM, and in Turkey he will attend the Antalya Diplomacy Forum on the sidelines of which he will hold a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In an interview with Nezavisimaya Gazeta, Alexey Portansky, Professor at the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at the Higher School of Economics, noted: "There is a hope that talks will yield results. Experts have to take the unpredictability of the US side into account. Many representatives of the American elite acknowledge that [US President Donald] Trump is a little crazy. And yet there is a chance of success." Commenting on why Pakistan is playing the role of a mediator, the expert explained that the country takes an even-handed approach toward the conflicting sides and that it suits both Tehran and Washington. Asked if China, a patron and almost an ally of Pakistan that is not directly involved in the US-Iranian talks, could influence them with Pakistan’s mediation, Alexander Lomanov, deputy head of the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of World Economy and International Relations, told Nezavisimaya Gazeta: "China can help only those countries which are willing to negotiate. And there are no tools for putting military or economic pressure on any party that China could officially use. Of course, China has investments in Iran and it could help rebuild those sectors of the economy which were destroyed by the Americans if there is peace. However, Beijing cannot pressure the US into treating Iran more gently. I am afraid if Washington is tough on Iran, blocking Iranian hydrocarbon exports to China, Trump’s visit to China, scheduled for May, may as well be cancelled." In an interview with Nezavisimaya Gazeta, Indian reporter Vinay Shukla said: "Firstly, Pakistan is a neighbor of Iran. Secondly, Trump has a long-standing close relationship with [Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan] Asim Munir. Moreover, the Pakistani embassy represented Tehran’s interests in Washington after the Islamic revolution in Iran when Tehran and Washington severed ties. And thirdly, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi paid a visit to Israel a couple of days ahead of the Israeli bombing of Iran. So, it would have been hard for India to claim to act as a mediator." Media: Russia joins negotiations to unblock Hormuz Strait Russia has joined the debate about the security of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Alimov told Izvestia. Also, work on a joint Russian-Chinese draft UN Security Council resolution on the Iranian issue is underway. However, the senior Russian diplomat said further steps on that document will depend on talks between Tehran and Washington that may resume in the next 24 hours. The situation in the region has already caused major logistical disruptions, with the crews of multiple vessels refusing to enter the waterway amid threats. Against this backdrop, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has set up a task force to facilitate transit, an idea that has been questioned by diplomats. "This initiative includes creating certain structures by the UN Secretariat. It is difficult for me to judge if Gulf countries and Iran support the initiative," Alimov said. "Our joint draft resolution with China is on the negotiating table at the UN, we have officially endorsed it. We are monitoring the overall progress in negotiations between Iran and the United States which have already held one round of talks. Hopefully the negotiations are not over and will continue," the diplomat explained. Meanwhile, Iran has linked the prospects of talks with the US to the situation in Lebanon. Tehran views continued Israeli strikes as a factor that undermines confidence in diplomatic efforts. "Talks between Iran and the United States are key: if they are successful, this will have a positive impact on the situation in Lebanon," Jamal Wakim, a professor at Lebanese University, noted. Yury Lyamin, a senior researcher at the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, told Vedomosti that Iran and the United States have been cautious ahead of a new round of talks. On Wednesday afternoon, the AP reported, citing sources, that Iran and the US have agreed in principle to extend the ceasefire, even as Trump said in public that he sees no need for an extension of the truce with Iran, according to ABC journalist Jonathan Karl. "The blockade itself is an act of war, and things can be escalated very fast," Lyamin argued. A combination of the US blockade of Iranian oil exports and Iranian moves to let only friendly vessels pass could come next, director of the Center for Military-Economic Studies at the Institute of World Military Economy and Strategy of the Higher School of Economics Prokhor Tebin told Vedomosti. "But that situation would be bad for both Iran and the United States as it would not solve their problems in the short term. And it would be bad for the world economy, too. To achieve its objectives, the US would need to reopen the strait for everybody and block access to the sea for Iran," Tebin said. According to him, the war could continue as, judging from the deployment of another aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, a group for serious operations is currently in the making. Vedomosti: Whether the Gaza destiny awaits Lebanon The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued the ground operation in southern Lebanon, despite direct talks on a ceasefire between Israeli and Lebanese negotiators, the first in the past 33 years, the IDF said on April 15. And while Iran and the United States announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8, Israel has so far refused to expand this truce to Lebanese territory. However, Hezbollah’s resistance has not been broken: on Wednesday, the Shiite movement fired about 40 missiles at Israeli cities from Lebanon, and the Israeli Air Force struck more than 200 military targets in response, the IDF reported. Israel is likely to continue military operations against Hezbollah, even though the campaign will not be an easy walk for the Israeli army, Alexander Nadzharov, an analyst at the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs of HSE University, believes. Firstly, the Shiite group has recovered from the previous war as it continues to deliver painful strikes on IDF positions, and secondly, the movement has a wide assortment of weapons in its arsenal, the expert said. "Should the Israeli military decide to transform southern Lebanon into a second Gaza, the Jewish state may face not only stronger military resistance but also sanctions from a number of Western countries," he warned. The Israeli army has been steadily eliminating Lebanese localities in the southern Arab republic so it can turn this territory into scorched earth later, Nikolay Sukhov, senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ World Economy and International Relations Institute, told Vedomosti. Nadzharov doubts any breakthrough is currently likely in the Lebanon-Israel talks. On the one hand, the two sides will not be able to reach a compromise without Hezbollah. On the other hand, the expert continued, Israel is not seeking to end the conflict peacefully. "In the short term, Israel will try to keep the United States in the Middle East war to avoid being left alone with Iran and its regional allies," the expert explained. It will be extremely difficult for Lebanon to find common ground in negotiations with the Israelis, Sukhov agrees, regardless of whether Hezbollah takes part in the process or not. Even if Israel and Lebanon manage to reach an agreement, it would hardly be possible to achieve a longer-term stabilization in the region without functional instruments, Lyudmila Samarskaya, a researcher at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ World Economy and International Relations Institute, told Vedomosti. "Moreover, for the time being, it is hard to imagine that Hezbollah would lay down arms voluntarily, therefore a potential ceasefire will likely be violated regularly," the expert argues. Kommersant: Global investors reluctant to invest in risk assets amid Hormuz blockade The Bank of America Fund Manager April survey showed that investor sentiment has deteriorated sharply. Bearish positioning regarding global growth outweighed the bullish signal for the first time this year. Market players expect that the lengthy conflict in the Middle East will keep oil prices near $80-100 per barrel for long, fuel inflation, and force central banks to adopt monetary tightening. As a result, fund managers are cutting equity exposure. The last time wealth managers were as bearish was in the spring of 2022 when the special military operation in Ukraine was launched. Fund managers have a negative outlook on the consequences of the lengthy closure of the Hormuz Strait. The market has been the most vulnerable to falling energy supplies which has already pushed Brent spot prices above $120 per barrel. "Higher energy prices and logistics costs will put pressure on economic growth and accelerate inflation," portfolio manager at Doveritelnaya brokerage Dmitry Terpelov told Kommersant. This may require a tighter than expected monetary policy of global regulators, the expert warned. "Fund managers can already sense a systemic deterioration of conditions even as they do not see sufficient grounds to shift to a full-blown recession scenario. Therefore, expectations remain in the 'soft landing' zone, despite rising anxiety," Yelena Nefyodova, the head of investment office at Astero Falcon, said. The Middle East conflict has had limited impact on the Russian stock market even amid an increase in Russian crude prices. According to Argus, between April 1 and 13, the average Urals price was $106 per barrel, or 40% higher than the March average. "Despite rising oil prices that have supported exporters and the budget, the key pressure on the market comes from internal factors: the risks of a heavier tax burden, including through the excess profit tax, as well as an economic slowdown," Ruslan Klyshko, Director of the Wealth Management Department at AF Capital Asset Management, told Kommersant. He pointed to the continued investor demand for money market instruments, the shares of banks and individual oil and gas companies, and gold. Vedomosti: Russian coal exports rise 8% in March In March, Russian coal exports increased 8% year-on-year to 16.9 million metric tons, or the highest level since November, a report by PBC Index seen by Vedomosti shows. The figure saw a 16% rise from February. Exports rose despite a decline in demand for Russian coal from the largest importer, China. Last month, China, excluding Taiwan, reduced purchases by 20% to 6 million metric tons, data from PBC Index showed. India, the second-largest buyer of Russian coal, raised imports by 1% to 2.7 million metric tons. Certain countries also increased purchases, with Russian coal exports to South Korea rising 37% to 1.9 million metric tons and to Turkey by 17% to 1.6 million metric tons in March. Exports to Taiwan grew by 11% to 309,000 metric tons. The March increase in Russian coal exports to Turkey, South Korea, and a number of other markets came amid a spike in gas prices due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a result of the armed conflict in the Middle East, PBC Index analyst Danil Udachin explained. The main reason for the rise in Russian coal exports in March was the impact of the Middle East conflict on the coal market, experts argue. Disruptions in gas supplies from the region pushed not only demand for coal as an alternative energy source but also coal prices higher, Alexey Kalachev, an analyst at Finam, said. Coal exports in April will depend on how the situation in the Middle East evolves, he argues. Until the armed conflict in the region is over, exports will continue to grow, Maxim Shaposhnikov, an advisor to the manager of the Industrial Code fund, believes. According to his estimates, the April figure will rise to 17.4 million metric tons. TASS is not responsible for the material quoted in these press reviews

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    MOSCOW, April 16. /TASS/. Pakistan steps up efforts toward a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, and Russia joins negotiations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Gaza destiny may await Lebanon amid continued Israeli attacks. These stories topped Thursday’s

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The White House is now apparently using Russian tactics to convince the American public that the war in Iran is not, in fact, a war. When asked by reporters at the White House on Thursday whether the most intense sustained air campaign by American forces since the invasion of Iraq would be over by the midterms, Vice President JD Vance replied: “I wouldn’t call it a war.

” Vladimir Putin said much the same thing when he invaded Ukraine. Russia was not fighting a war either, the Kremlin insisted; it was merely conducting a “special military operation.” If that comparison strikes you as shocking, consider the contours of the two conflicts.

A vastly more powerful military launched a punishing offensive against a smaller, less well-equipped adversary, inflicted enormous damage without achieving a decisive resolution, and then found itself drawn into a longer, grinding conflict with no clear way out.

The motivations behind the wars may be different, and they’re playing out in different theaters, but the pattern is eerily similar. Now, so too is the attempt by those in power to control how the public understands, and even what it is allowed to call, the obvious war unfolding in front of them.

If This Isn’t a War, What Is? Let us take a moment to assess what exactly has happened since February 28, when the U.S. launched Operation Epic Fury. The opening U.S.-Israeli attack killed Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, along with the commander of the Revolutionary Guard, the defense minister and various other senior officials.

According to the U.S. military’s own accounting, the first 38 days of major combat operations involved more than 10,200 sorties and 13,500 strikes. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) says those attacks damaged or destroyed more than 85 percent of Iran’s ballistic missile, drone and naval defense industrial base, while knocking out 82 percent of its air-defense missile systems.

The U.S. sent carrier strike groups and warships into the region, later imposing a military blockade on Iranian ports. Meanwhile, American and allied air defenses intercepted more than 6,000 Iranian attack drones and 1,500 ballistic missiles fired at U.

S. forces, Israel and American partners across the Middle East. More than 50,000 U.S. service members remain deployed across the region. The fighting has killed 18 U.S. service members and at least 8,000 people across Iran, Lebanon, Israel and the Gulf states.

More than 750 U.S. service members have been wounded. Last month, during a lull in the fighting, the U.S. Treasury unveiled a sanctions package likened to an “economic D-day” that is designed to make Iran an “economic outcast” and cut the adversary off from all available forms of economic support.

In the announcement, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent openly declared that Iran had been “at war against America” for 47 years. This week, the shooting resumed; the U.S. hit targets in and around the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran blasted missiles at targets in Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan and Iraq.

All this from an administration that almost exactly a year ago launched a rapid rebrand of the Defense Department into the “Department of War”. No boots on the ground, though, so it’s not a war, right? Tell It Kind of Like It Is Even the very best snake-oil salesman would have a hard time convincing people that the war in Iran isn’t a war.

So why is JD Vance even trying? Well, if there’s one thing politicians understand better than anyone, it’s the importance of language and rhetoric. Words have immense power; a well-written speech can unite millions of people, and a catchy slogan like Make America Great Again can come to represent an entire political philosophy.

But war is a pesky word. For one, it implies there will eventually be a winner and a loser. It also brings with it certain expectations—and some very difficult questions. What is the objective? How many people will die? When will it end? And, perhaps most dangerously of all: was it worth it?

Those are not questions the White House wants Americans to be asking. Trump built a substantial part of his political identity around ending, rather than beginning, America’s “endless wars.” When Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding in June, the White House presented it as proof that Trump’s America First approach could deliver peace without another prolonged Middle Eastern conflict.

Then the hostilities started again. Earlier this week, Trump shared a Truth Social graphic declaring that “Hormuz Oil Volumes are BACK!”, saying 18 million barrels a day were once again leaving the Strait, compared with 20 million before the war. No independent commodity tracking company or energy analyst appeared to verify Trump’s claims.

But most Americans won’t be checking tanker-tracking dashboards. What they’ll care about is the cold, hard fact that diesel hit a new record price this morning, soaring to an average of $5.85 a gallon for the first time ever. Gasoline is $4.15 a gallon on average, compared with $3.

20 at this time last year, according to AAA. The numbers on the sign at the gas station and the price on the grocery receipt aren’t affected by Trump’s tall tales, but they’ll surely affect how Americans vote at the midterms. When viewed in this light, Vance’s attempt to discourage reporters from “call[ing] it a war” begins to make sense.

A war is something that we want to end. It tends to result in a winner and a loser. And its worth is up for debate at all times. A different kind of engagement that doesn’t quite meet the threshold of war—say, a special military operation—is not exposed to the same kind of scrutiny.

Vance effectively made that case himself. “When you ask, ‘When will this end?’ You’re asking me a question like, ‘When will the Iranians stop shooting at ships?’” he said. By that logic, there is no American war—only recurring Iranian provocations that require American military responses.

That’s exactly the logic applied by Putin to Ukraine and supposed expansion of NATO. Putting the Toothpaste Back in the Tube U.S. lawmakers have repeatedly invoked the War Powers Resolution to challenge Trump’s authority to keep fighting Iran without specific congressional authorization.

The law generally gives a president 60 days after U.S. forces enter “hostilities” to secure congressional approval or bring those hostilities to an end. That makes the pauses in fighting hugely important. When the original 60-day deadline arrived in May, Trump told Congress that the temporary ceasefire reached in April meant the hostilities that began on February 28 had ended.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth argued that the War Powers clock could “pause, or stop” when the shooting did. That position is disputed by legal experts, but its political utility is obvious. If every new outbreak of fighting can be treated as a separate skirmish, rather than part of one continuous war, the administration can argue that a fresh 60-day clock starts each time.

Vance’s insistence that there is no continuing “war” fits neatly for an administration that has already tried to divide six months of conflict into separate periods of hostilities, interrupted by ceasefires and pauses. This brings us back to Moscow.

The Kremlin’s own linguistic trick was also about making one sprawling war sound smaller, more limited and more manageable than it really was. From the very beginning of the invasion, Putin described the war as a special military operation. Only after two years of grinding warfare did Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov openly declare Russia to be in a “state of war”—and even then, he said the transformation had occurred because the “collective West” had joined the fight against Russia.

Vance is playing a similar game, but in reverse. Only now—with soaring fuel prices, mounting casualties, concerns over the military’s munitions stockpiles, and midterm elections on the horizon—is the conflict no longer a war. You can’t put the genie back in the bottle, though, and the American people aren’t stupid.

Vance and the White House may discover in November that voters are perfectly capable of recognizing a war, even when the vice president doesn’t want to call it one.

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