Rastreador de la Crisis Irán-Golfo 2026
CC
Events Archive
strikeJul 16, 2026

Why is it so hard to open the Strait of Hormuz?

Summary

Experts say that fully reopening the waterway will take more than a few dozen warships and the current wave of strikes. “This insinuation that we’re just a couple more days of strikes away from completely removing Iran’s capability to keep the strait closed is completely a fallacy,” according to Jason Campbell, a former Pentagon official now with the Middle East Institute. “The reality is that if you wanted to militarily open the Strait of Hormuz such that … the shipping companies — and as important, the insurance companies that cover them … deem this safe for passage, it would take a major ground operation with tens of thousands of forces,” he told The Hill. Bryan Clark, a senior fellow with the Hudson Institute think tank, told The Hill that in a simulated war game done by the Hudson Institute prior to the conflict, analysts found that the U.S. military would need to utilize combat air patrols over the area to shoot down drones and attack drone launcher sites. Forces would also need protection from the sea-based drones and fast attack boats — which aircraft can only quell to some degree — and a significant armada to escort commercial shipping vessels through the strait. “If the aircraft don’t get either the airborne drone or the sea-based drone, you’ve got to have a destroyer insert itself in there to be able to shoot those things down or shoot them up,” he said. Read more here, from The Hill’s Ellen Mitchell.

Actors involved

USIran

Sources

  • Rachel FrazinBy Rachel Frazin

    Experts say that fully reopening the waterway will take more than a few dozen warships and the current wave of strikes. “This insinuation that we’re just a couple more days of strikes away from completely removing Iran’s capability to keep the strait closed is completely a fallac

See this event through different lenses

Compare how Western, Iranian, Israeli, Global South, and Pro-Peace perspectives frame this event.

Compare Perspectives

Community Notes

Community Notes

Loading notes...

Related events

strikeUnverifiedUSIranUN
1 source

US forces struck the tanker Settebello in the Gulf of Oman on June 10, killing three Indian crew members when munitions hit the engine room and adjacent areas. Maritime tracking data indicate the vessel had transported Iranian oil under US sanctions for several years and conducted offshore transfers prior to the strike.

The US military described the action as a precision operation, while reports note the ship was stationary at the time.

Location: Strait of Hormuz
strikeUnverifiedUSIranChina
1 source

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands are the site of Indian infrastructure projects, including the Great Nicobar Project and a proposed greenfield airport intended for civilian and naval use. An analysis published by the Indian defence portal IDRW states that U.

S. officials regard the developments as strengthening maritime security, surveillance and logistics in the Indo-Pacific. The islands’ location has long been cited in Indian statements as relevant to New Delhi’s maritime responsibilities in the Indian Ocean region.

Location: Strait of Hormuz
strikeUnverifiedUSIranProxyRussia
1 source

According to Kpler data, four commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Monday—two exiting (one carrying petrochemicals and one empty) and two entering (a bitumen tanker and an oil tanker)—down from seven the prior day, with no very large crude carriers or liquefied natural gas tankers observed.

Yemen's Houthis stated they were imposing a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia. The UK Maritime Trade Operations agency reported receiving multiple accounts of a tanker struck by an unknown projectile in the strait, while Greek shipping company Dynacom Tankers stated that two of its vessels were hit by projectiles off Oman and a third by a drone at Russia's Novorossiysk terminal.

Location: Strait of Hormuz
strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIranProxy
1 source

U.S. and Iranian forces have conducted daily strikes in the Strait of Hormuz region following the collapse of an interim ceasefire, according to reports. The Trump administration has stated openness to diplomacy while announcing further retaliation for attacks on U.

S. personnel, and gasoline prices have risen amid the renewed exchanges. An analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies described the escalations as reflecting possible miscalculations by both sides, without confirmed evidence of their long-term effects.

Location: Strait of Hormuz