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strikeAug 28, 2026

Iran's hidden weapon leaves US exposed to catastrophic attack

Summary

As the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran reaches the six-month mark, the Islamic Republic retains dangerous options to impose even higher costs on its militarily superior foes. One tactic raises particular concern among former officials and analysts. At a time when Iran has inflicted billions of dollars of damage in its missile and drone attacks against regional military sites and infrastructure and upended global energy markets with its throttling of traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, a dedicated Iranian cyber campaign could strike at the heart of the U.S. and potentially prove even more disruptive to both national security and everyday life. Recent reports have already linked Iran to hacks in July that shut down a power plant in the United Kingdom and up to 30 water systems across the U.S. "Cyber is tailor-made for Iran’s asymmetric playbook," Frank Cilluffo, a former Department of Homeland Security official who played a lead role in the White House's immediate post-9/11 security overhaul, told Newsweek. "Tehran does not need to match the United States plane for plane or ship for ship," Cilluffo, now director of Auburn University's McCrary Institute for Cyber and Critical Infrastructure Security, said. "It can look for softer seams in our economy and critical infrastructure, impose costs far from the battlefield, and create uncertainty about when and where the next shoe may drop." The War on Data Since the start of the conflict, Iran has already displayed the capacity to supplement its attacks on military and trade logistics with targeting data centers in the Persian Gulf region that serve a similarly crucial role. In the words of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) spokesperson Brigadier General Hossein Mohebbi during a conference on Monday, "when we destroy an Amazon data center in Bahrain, it does not mean we destroy a company or a complex, it means that we have destroyed and shattered the brain of the operations processor." Cilluffo called this strategy "particularly instructive," as it demonstrated Tehran's awareness of how "data centers are no longer simply commercial facilities, they are increasingly the backbone of our economies, AI capabilities and, in some cases, national security." An even more dire scenario he pointed out could see Iran combine its kinetic drone and missile capabilities with an added cyber component, potentially even artificial intelligence, to create simultaneous pressure across physical and digital targets. Even "a limited disruption," Cilluffo warned, "can be exaggerated and amplified through disinformation and social media to create the perception of a much larger attack." "An adversary does not have to destroy critical infrastructure to achieve strategic effect. It can turn a tactical disruption into outsized economic, psychological and political consequences," he said. "The mistake would be to think of an Iranian cyberattack as something separate from a wider conflict. Tehran has spent decades learning how to operate asymmetrically across domains," he added. "Cyber gives it another means to reach beyond the battlefield and bring the consequences of a conflict directly to the homeland." The Roots of Iran's Cyber Revolution While not traditionally viewed as having access to the same resources or capabilities as top U.S. rivals China and Russia, both of whom have also been implicated in scores of cyber operations carried out against the U.S., Iran has a long history engaging in battle on this front. Tehran has also been a frequent target of cyber infiltration, with one of the first major instances being the infamous Stuxnet computer worm that swept through and degraded or destroyed thousands of systems tied to Iran's nuclear enrichment facilities in late 2009. The disastrous episode served as an impetus for Iran to develop and hone its own cyber prowess. "Iran has been building their capabilities ever since being on the receiving end of the U.S.-Israeli Stuxnet operation, nearly 15 years ago," Jason Healey, a founding member of the White House's Office of the National Cyber Director and the world's first-ever cyber command, Joint Task Force for Computer Network Defense, told Newsweek. In 2012, then-Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Ayatollah Khamenei, who was later killed on the first day of the ongoing war after Israel allegedly hacked traffic and CCTV cameras to track leadership movements, ordered the establishment of the Supreme Council of Cyberspace. And by 2015, the IRGC had formed its own Cybersecurity Command, though the elite force had previously pursued cyber activities through its Center to Investigate Organized Crimes. While the stated mission of the IRGC's cyber wing largely pertains to maintaining internal security, preserving the Islamic Republic's values and defending against foreign foes, U.S. experts and officials also see an offensive mandate. Newsweek has reached out to a representative of Iran's National Center for Cyberspace for comment. Contacted for comment, a U.S. defense official told Newsweek that, "as a matter of operational security, we do not comment or discuss cyber intelligence, plans, operations capabilities, or effects." Lethal Potential In most cases, suspected Iran-affiliated cyber operations are attributed to apparent proxy groups, including the Iranian Cyber Army, first active in 2009 as one of the earliest known groups linked by analysts to Iran. Many more have emerged since, such as those variously designated as APT—or Advanced Persistent Threat—33 (Elfin Team), APT 34 (Helix Kitten), APT 42 (Mint Sandstorm) and MuddyWater. The latest alleged Iranian attacks on U.S. water systems were not the first of their kind. Iran-tied actors were blamed for earlier cyberattacks against a New York dam in 2013 and Pennsylvania local water authority a decade later, the latter being carried out by a group calling itself CyberAv3ngers. CyberAv3ngers is one of several actors to have emerged in the wake of the outbreak of the war in Gaza in October 2023. Another known as the Handala Hack Team has taken credit for a number of attacks throughout the nearly three-year Middle East crisis, perhaps most notably wiping the systems of U.S. medical company Stryker Corporation in March of this year, shortly after the start the of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran. Even more recently, Iran's semi-official Tasnim News Agency reported Tuesday on an operation by the so-called Cyber Support Front to infiltrate the network of Israeli company Novamill, claimed to be involved in the manufacturing of weapons systems. Healey, now serving as senior research scholar at Columbia University’s School for International and Public Affairs, warned "someday soon they might succeed with an attack on U.S. infrastructure that disrupts services and maybe even leads to deaths either directly or indirectly (such as by water outages that lead to disruption of hospitals)." "Even to a modest event, any president might then feel the need to respond militarily and not tolerate it, as has been more the norm," he said. 'Less to Lose' Michael Sulmeyer, professor at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service who previously served as the Pentagon's assistant secretary for cyber policy and principal cyber adviser, recently outlined in Foreign Policy a number of ways in which China could exploit gaps in local defense infrastructure using AI-enhanced cyberattacks in the event of an escalation over Taiwan. And he told Newsweek that "much of the same logic could apply to Iran." The most "concerning scenarios" he saw involve not a single massive "cyber Pearl Harbor" strike, but a wave of operations targeting critical infrastructure, either in the U.S. or among regional partners—potentially a combination of both. In addition to water and power systems other sites of interest include pipelines and factories. Sulmeyer also raised the alarm on the insufficient pace at which the U.S. was adapting to the rapidly evolving capabilities of AI-powered cyberattacks with some systems taking years to properly bring up to date with the current threat landscape. And while he noted that "the United States and Israel, among others, have significant combat power in cyberspace as well," there is another element that may compound the risk factor in dealing with Iran's cyber corps at a time when the Islamic Republic was fighting what it viewed to be an existential battle. "Unlike many other nations, leaders in Tehran probably feel they have less to lose when conducting cyber operations for disruptive effect in addition to more traditional reconnaissance work," Sulmeyer said. A Twofold Strategy Already, Iran appears to be quietly scoring gains via a "twofold" strategy described by Nikita Shah, a former U.K. national security official serving today as senior fellow with the Center for Strategic and International Studies' Intelligence, National Security, and Technology program. The first involves the use of cyber espionage to support kinetic strikes through informing target selection and battlefield damage assessment, while the second constitutes efforts to shape the narrative of the conflict and events surrounding it in Tehran's favor, including with the potential use of AI-enhanced media operations. "This means using disruptive—but opportunistic—cyberattacks (like hack and leaks, the Stryker incident, or even likely the recent cyberattacks against the U.S. water sector) to cause localized disruption, and then to amplify the impact of those attacks through international media," Shah told Newsweek. "This serves Iran’s information warfare goals, by provoking and dividing different global audiences, sowing fear and division that it can manipulate over the course of the conflict," she added. And the "unfortunate targets" include U.S. organizations and businesses. "Iran will want to drag them into the war by targeting them with low-level cyber-attacks," Shah said. "In other words, causing collateral damage to them is the point—Iran will want to wear down domestic U.S audiences in the hope that this will turn U.S. public opinion against the war, as a means of attrition." Contact Newsweek editors on this story: Edward T. Cummins and Tony Phillips.

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  • Tom O'Connor; Thomas J C MartynBy Tom O'Connor; Thomas J C Martyn

    As the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran reaches the six-month mark, the Islamic Republic retains dangerous options to impose even higher costs on its militarily superior foes. One tactic raises particular concern among former officials and analysts. At a time when Iran has inflicted…

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strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIranChina
○ 1 source

Trump predicted four to five weeks of war. It's been six months. When the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran early this year, President Donald Trump said the war would last four to five weeks. Friday marks six months of conflict. Iran has expanded the war to several Gulf states and appears to have drawn the U.

S. into yet another quagmire in the Middle East. Here's a look back at major developments over the past six months of war and what could come next. The war began on Feb. 28 when the U.S. and Israel launched strikes that took out much of Iran’s leadership and damaged key Iranian military sites.

Speaking to the American people on the first day of attacks, Trump said war was meant to "defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime," which he said included its continued pursuit of a nuclear weapon. Months earlier, in June of 2025, the U.

S. conducted penetrating strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities during Operation Midnight Hammer. The administration claimed at the time that Iran’s nuclear program had been “obliterated,” but would later acknowledge that enriched uranium to build a bomb still remained in Iran.

The opening days of the war were marked by a deadly airstrike on an all-girls school in southern Iran. Roughly 160 civilians, 120 of them schoolchildren, were killed. Iran has blamed the United States and Israel, but neither has assumed responsibility.

U.S. Central Command has said that it is investigating the bombing, saying the U.S. will "never" target civilians. International law prohibits the deliberate targeting of schools and universities during armed conflicts. The investigations is ongoing with few updates.

Iran retaliated immediately by attacking American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Iraq on a scale not seen since the Vietnam War. It was able to strike vulnerable U.S. interests near the Persian Gulf using missiles and low-cost, one-way attack drones.

For months, both sides traded blows. In all, U.S. Central Command, which oversees forces in the Middle East, says it has hit more than 13,000 Iranian targets, which include military headquarters, naval ships, air defense systems and drone launch sites.

But Iran’s most consequential response came at sea when it shut down commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, turning the waterway into a household name almost overnight. The blockade choked one of the world’s most important shipping lanes and Iran dictated where the war’s frontline would be, rattling the global economy.

In early March, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told reporters Iran was displaying “sheer desperation” in the strait and said “we have been dealing with it, and don’t need to worry about it.” Six months later, the goalposts appear to have shifted. Blunting the economic fallout and reopening the strait has become central to the mission.

Since the start of the war, 18 U.S. service members have died and more than 750 have been wounded. Trump has attended three dignified transfer ceremonies to honor the lives of service members lost since the war began -- two in March and one in July.

He told reporters at the time it’s “one of the hardest things to do as a president.” Beyond the sacrifice of American lives, American households have faced higher costs. Six months in, global oil prices are up about 25% and the average gallon of gas nationwide hovers over $4 -- about a dollar more than before the war, according to GasBuddy.

A Brown University energy cost tracker estimates that the average American has spent nearly $700 more in fuel prices since the war began. ALSO SEE: Pentagon's official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting The president, for his part, has brushed off the concerns of rising prices, saying of oil prices at the White House in May that it’s a “very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.

” Trump also said in May that Americans' financial situation was "not even a little bit" of a motivating factor for him reaching a deal to end the war in Iran. "The only thing that matters when I'm talking about Iran, they can't have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.

"I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all." The president has also insisted that once the conflict ends, oil prices will "drop like a rock.

" But the war is also costing the American taxpayer. Hegseth told lawmakers this summer that the latest estimate for the cost of the war is more than $37.5 billion. Additionally, the Defense Department is asking Congress for an additional $67.1 billion for spending this year, attributing much of that demand to the war in Iran.

In April, the White House also asked Congress for a record-breaking $1.5 trillion in defense spending as part of their annual budget request for the 2027 fiscal year. The White House's request for a 42% increase in the military budget included a pay raise for troops, building more ships and a rapid procurement of 12 “critical munitions," among other things.

Polls show the Iran war is extremely unpopular. A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in late August found just 31% of Americans approve of U.S. military strikes against Iran, down from 37% in March. The share of Republicans supporting the war was 69%, down from 77% in March.

Wide majorities of Democrats (90%) and independents (67%) disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that only 25% of Americans approved of how Trump was handling Iran; 63% disapproved, including majorities of Democrats and independents along with 28% of Republicans.

Even among congressional Republicans, who for the most part support Trump’s war, there is growing anxiety that the war will hurt them in the midterm election less than three months away. Asked about Iran, House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters in late July that the U.

S. has "got to wrap it up," adding that an end to the war before the midterms would be "helpful." Since the start of this war, the president has claimed frequently that it was nearing a conclusion, only to see deals fall apart and fighting resume. And on at least seven occasions, Trump has made threats of major military escalation (including a threat that Iran’s entire civilization would die) only to fall back on talks that have yet to bear fruit.

Six months in, the talks are at a standstill. Trump's overall approval rating has hit record lows. The August Reuters/Ipsos poll found Trump’s approval rating at 33%, tying a record low in Reuters/Ipsos polling over both of Trump’s terms. The poll found that 65% of Americans disapproved of Trump.

Despite his early prediction the war would last no more than four to five weeks, the president, as recently as this week, said he’s in “no rush.” The U.S. hasn’t waged large-scale military attacks on Iran in nearly a month. Instead, the strategy is shifting back to the economic pressures Trump employed before the attacks began.

"We are low-keying it," Trump explained to Axios earlier this month. In addition to enforcing a blockade of Iranian ports, this week, the administration threatened to severely sanction any country that does business with Iran. The president has likened it to an "economic D-Day," but so far, the rollout has been slow.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has promised a “cure period” for entities still doing business with Iran, while declining to set any firm deadlines or call out the country’s biggest trading partner -- China -- by name. Still, Bessent insists this round of economic coercion is the “beginning of the endgame” with Iran.

The White House has repeatedly said the president’s first choice is always diplomacy. The last several months have seen multiple rounds of technical discussions and head-to-head negotiations, including the Islamabad talks in April -- the first high-level meeting between U.

S. and Iranian delegations since the days of the Shah. Those hundreds of hours of bargaining spread across months of back-and-forth negotiations eventually yielded a memorandum of understanding that was signed by the presidents of both countries in mid-June.

The 14-point document was supposed to be a pathway to a comprehensive nuclear deal, but both sides accused each other of violating the truce within a week -- eventually setting off a renewed spiral of escalation that prompted Trump to declare it officially dead just 22 days after it came into force.

Consultations with mediating powers continue at a regular clip, with negotiators from the U.S. and Iran swapping the occasional messages, U.S. officials tell ABC News. But progress is stagnant and hope that the two sides can reach any deal --much less a lasting nuclear agreement -- has reached an apparent low point.

strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIranChina
○ 1 source

Trump predicted four to five weeks of war. It's been six months. When the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran early this year, President Donald Trump said the war would last four to five weeks. Friday marks six months of conflict. Iran has expanded the war to several Gulf states and appears to have drawn the U.

S. into yet another quagmire in the Middle East. Here's a look back at major developments over the past six months of war and what could come next. The war began on Feb. 28 when the U.S. and Israel launched strikes that took out much of Iran’s leadership and damaged key Iranian military sites.

Speaking to the American people on the first day of attacks, Trump said war was meant to "defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime," which he said included its continued pursuit of a nuclear weapon. Months earlier, in June of 2025, the U.

S. conducted penetrating strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities during Operation Midnight Hammer. The administration claimed at the time that Iran’s nuclear program had been “obliterated,” but would later acknowledge that enriched uranium to build a bomb still remained in Iran.

The opening days of the war were marked by a deadly airstrike on an all-girls school in southern Iran. Roughly 160 civilians, 120 of them schoolchildren, were killed. Iran has blamed the United States and Israel, but neither has assumed responsibility.

U.S. Central Command has said that it is investigating the bombing, saying the U.S. will "never" target civilians. International law prohibits the deliberate targeting of schools and universities during armed conflicts. The investigations is ongoing with few updates.

Iran retaliated immediately by attacking American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Iraq on a scale not seen since the Vietnam War. It was able to strike vulnerable U.S. interests near the Persian Gulf using missiles and low-cost, one-way attack drones.

For months, both sides traded blows. In all, U.S. Central Command, which oversees forces in the Middle East, says it has hit more than 13,000 Iranian targets, which include military headquarters, naval ships, air defense systems and drone launch sites.

But Iran’s most consequential response came at sea when it shut down commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, turning the waterway into a household name almost overnight. The blockade choked one of the world’s most important shipping lanes and Iran dictated where the war’s frontline would be, rattling the global economy.

In early March, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told reporters Iran was displaying “sheer desperation” in the strait and said “we have been dealing with it, and don’t need to worry about it.” Six months later, the goalposts appear to have shifted. Blunting the economic fallout and reopening the strait has become central to the mission.

Since the start of the war, 18 U.S. service members have died and more than 750 have been wounded. Trump has attended three dignified transfer ceremonies to honor the lives of service members lost since the war began -- two in March and one in July.

He told reporters at the time it’s “one of the hardest things to do as a president.” Beyond the sacrifice of American lives, American households have faced higher costs. Six months in, global oil prices are up about 25% and the average gallon of gas nationwide hovers over $4 -- about a dollar more than before the war, according to GasBuddy.

A Brown University energy cost tracker estimates that the average American has spent nearly $700 more in fuel prices since the war began. ALSO SEE: Pentagon's official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting The president, for his part, has brushed off the concerns of rising prices, saying of oil prices at the White House in May that it’s a “very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.

” Trump also said in May that Americans' financial situation was "not even a little bit" of a motivating factor for him reaching a deal to end the war in Iran. "The only thing that matters when I'm talking about Iran, they can't have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.

"I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all." The president has also insisted that once the conflict ends, oil prices will "drop like a rock.

" But the war is also costing the American taxpayer. Hegseth told lawmakers this summer that the latest estimate for the cost of the war is more than $37.5 billion. Additionally, the Defense Department is asking Congress for an additional $67.1 billion for spending this year, attributing much of that demand to the war in Iran.

In April, the White House also asked Congress for a record-breaking $1.5 trillion in defense spending as part of their annual budget request for the 2027 fiscal year. The White House's request for a 42% increase in the military budget included a pay raise for troops, building more ships and a rapid procurement of 12 “critical munitions," among other things.

Polls show the Iran war is extremely unpopular. A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in late August found just 31% of Americans approve of U.S. military strikes against Iran, down from 37% in March. The share of Republicans supporting the war was 69%, down from 77% in March.

Wide majorities of Democrats (90%) and independents (67%) disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that only 25% of Americans approved of how Trump was handling Iran; 63% disapproved, including majorities of Democrats and independents along with 28% of Republicans.

Even among congressional Republicans, who for the most part support Trump’s war, there is growing anxiety that the war will hurt them in the midterm election less than three months away. Asked about Iran, House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters in late July that the U.

S. has "got to wrap it up," adding that an end to the war before the midterms would be "helpful." Since the start of this war, the president has claimed frequently that it was nearing a conclusion, only to see deals fall apart and fighting resume. And on at least seven occasions, Trump has made threats of major military escalation (including a threat that Iran’s entire civilization would die) only to fall back on talks that have yet to bear fruit.

Six months in, the talks are at a standstill. Trump's overall approval rating has hit record lows. The August Reuters/Ipsos poll found Trump’s approval rating at 33%, tying a record low in Reuters/Ipsos polling over both of Trump’s terms. The poll found that 65% of Americans disapproved of Trump.

Despite his early prediction the war would last no more than four to five weeks, the president, as recently as this week, said he’s in “no rush.” The U.S. hasn’t waged large-scale military attacks on Iran in nearly a month. Instead, the strategy is shifting back to the economic pressures Trump employed before the attacks began.

"We are low-keying it," Trump explained to Axios earlier this month. In addition to enforcing a blockade of Iranian ports, this week, the administration threatened to severely sanction any country that does business with Iran. The president has likened it to an "economic D-Day," but so far, the rollout has been slow.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has promised a “cure period” for entities still doing business with Iran, while declining to set any firm deadlines or call out the country’s biggest trading partner -- China -- by name. Still, Bessent insists this round of economic coercion is the “beginning of the endgame” with Iran.

The White House has repeatedly said the president’s first choice is always diplomacy. The last several months have seen multiple rounds of technical discussions and head-to-head negotiations, including the Islamabad talks in April -- the first high-level meeting between U.

S. and Iranian delegations since the days of the Shah. Those hundreds of hours of bargaining spread across months of back-and-forth negotiations eventually yielded a memorandum of understanding that was signed by the presidents of both countries in mid-June.

The 14-point document was supposed to be a pathway to a comprehensive nuclear deal, but both sides accused each other of violating the truce within a week -- eventually setting off a renewed spiral of escalation that prompted Trump to declare it officially dead just 22 days after it came into force.

Consultations with mediating powers continue at a regular clip, with negotiators from the U.S. and Iran swapping the occasional messages, U.S. officials tell ABC News. But progress is stagnant and hope that the two sides can reach any deal --much less a lasting nuclear agreement -- has reached an apparent low point.

strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIranChina
○ 1 source

Trump predicted four to five weeks of war. It's been six months. When the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran early this year, President Donald Trump said the war would last four to five weeks. Friday marks six months of conflict. Iran has expanded the war to several Gulf states and appears to have drawn the U.

S. into yet another quagmire in the Middle East. Here's a look back at major developments over the past six months of war and what could come next. The war began on Feb. 28 when the U.S. and Israel launched strikes that took out much of Iran’s leadership and damaged key Iranian military sites.

Speaking to the American people on the first day of attacks, Trump said war was meant to "defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime," which he said included its continued pursuit of a nuclear weapon. Months earlier, in June of 2025, the U.

S. conducted penetrating strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities during Operation Midnight Hammer. The administration claimed at the time that Iran’s nuclear program had been “obliterated,” but would later acknowledge that enriched uranium to build a bomb still remained in Iran.

The opening days of the war were marked by a deadly airstrike on an all-girls school in southern Iran. Roughly 160 civilians, 120 of them schoolchildren, were killed. Iran has blamed the United States and Israel, but neither has assumed responsibility.

U.S. Central Command has said that it is investigating the bombing, saying the U.S. will "never" target civilians. International law prohibits the deliberate targeting of schools and universities during armed conflicts. The investigations is ongoing with few updates.

Iran retaliated immediately by attacking American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Iraq on a scale not seen since the Vietnam War. It was able to strike vulnerable U.S. interests near the Persian Gulf using missiles and low-cost, one-way attack drones.

For months, both sides traded blows. In all, U.S. Central Command, which oversees forces in the Middle East, says it has hit more than 13,000 Iranian targets, which include military headquarters, naval ships, air defense systems and drone launch sites.

But Iran’s most consequential response came at sea when it shut down commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, turning the waterway into a household name almost overnight. The blockade choked one of the world’s most important shipping lanes and Iran dictated where the war’s frontline would be, rattling the global economy.

In early March, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told reporters Iran was displaying “sheer desperation” in the strait and said “we have been dealing with it, and don’t need to worry about it.” Six months later, the goalposts appear to have shifted. Blunting the economic fallout and reopening the strait has become central to the mission.

Since the start of the war, 18 U.S. service members have died and more than 750 have been wounded. Trump has attended three dignified transfer ceremonies to honor the lives of service members lost since the war began -- two in March and one in July.

He told reporters at the time it’s “one of the hardest things to do as a president.” Beyond the sacrifice of American lives, American households have faced higher costs. Six months in, global oil prices are up about 25% and the average gallon of gas nationwide hovers over $4 -- about a dollar more than before the war, according to GasBuddy.

A Brown University energy cost tracker estimates that the average American has spent nearly $700 more in fuel prices since the war began. ALSO SEE: Pentagon's official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting The president, for his part, has brushed off the concerns of rising prices, saying of oil prices at the White House in May that it’s a “very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.

” Trump also said in May that Americans' financial situation was "not even a little bit" of a motivating factor for him reaching a deal to end the war in Iran. "The only thing that matters when I'm talking about Iran, they can't have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.

"I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all." The president has also insisted that once the conflict ends, oil prices will "drop like a rock.

" But the war is also costing the American taxpayer. Hegseth told lawmakers this summer that the latest estimate for the cost of the war is more than $37.5 billion. Additionally, the Defense Department is asking Congress for an additional $67.1 billion for spending this year, attributing much of that demand to the war in Iran.

In April, the White House also asked Congress for a record-breaking $1.5 trillion in defense spending as part of their annual budget request for the 2027 fiscal year. The White House's request for a 42% increase in the military budget included a pay raise for troops, building more ships and a rapid procurement of 12 “critical munitions," among other things.

Polls show the Iran war is extremely unpopular. A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in late August found just 31% of Americans approve of U.S. military strikes against Iran, down from 37% in March. The share of Republicans supporting the war was 69%, down from 77% in March.

Wide majorities of Democrats (90%) and independents (67%) disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that only 25% of Americans approved of how Trump was handling Iran; 63% disapproved, including majorities of Democrats and independents along with 28% of Republicans.

Even among congressional Republicans, who for the most part support Trump’s war, there is growing anxiety that the war will hurt them in the midterm election less than three months away. Asked about Iran, House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters in late July that the U.

S. has "got to wrap it up," adding that an end to the war before the midterms would be "helpful." Since the start of this war, the president has claimed frequently that it was nearing a conclusion, only to see deals fall apart and fighting resume. And on at least seven occasions, Trump has made threats of major military escalation (including a threat that Iran’s entire civilization would die) only to fall back on talks that have yet to bear fruit.

Six months in, the talks are at a standstill. Trump's overall approval rating has hit record lows. The August Reuters/Ipsos poll found Trump’s approval rating at 33%, tying a record low in Reuters/Ipsos polling over both of Trump’s terms. The poll found that 65% of Americans disapproved of Trump.

Despite his early prediction the war would last no more than four to five weeks, the president, as recently as this week, said he’s in “no rush.” The U.S. hasn’t waged large-scale military attacks on Iran in nearly a month. Instead, the strategy is shifting back to the economic pressures Trump employed before the attacks began.

"We are low-keying it," Trump explained to Axios earlier this month. In addition to enforcing a blockade of Iranian ports, this week, the administration threatened to severely sanction any country that does business with Iran. The president has likened it to an "economic D-Day," but so far, the rollout has been slow.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has promised a “cure period” for entities still doing business with Iran, while declining to set any firm deadlines or call out the country’s biggest trading partner -- China -- by name. Still, Bessent insists this round of economic coercion is the “beginning of the endgame” with Iran.

The White House has repeatedly said the president’s first choice is always diplomacy. The last several months have seen multiple rounds of technical discussions and head-to-head negotiations, including the Islamabad talks in April -- the first high-level meeting between U.

S. and Iranian delegations since the days of the Shah. Those hundreds of hours of bargaining spread across months of back-and-forth negotiations eventually yielded a memorandum of understanding that was signed by the presidents of both countries in mid-June.

The 14-point document was supposed to be a pathway to a comprehensive nuclear deal, but both sides accused each other of violating the truce within a week -- eventually setting off a renewed spiral of escalation that prompted Trump to declare it officially dead just 22 days after it came into force.

Consultations with mediating powers continue at a regular clip, with negotiators from the U.S. and Iran swapping the occasional messages, U.S. officials tell ABC News. But progress is stagnant and hope that the two sides can reach any deal --much less a lasting nuclear agreement -- has reached an apparent low point.

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Trump predicted four to five weeks of war. It's been six months. When the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran early this year, President Donald Trump said the war would last four to five weeks. Friday marks six months of conflict. Iran has expanded the war to several Gulf states and appears to have drawn the U.

S. into yet another quagmire in the Middle East. Here's a look back at major developments over the past six months of war and what could come next. The war began on Feb. 28 when the U.S. and Israel launched strikes that took out much of Iran’s leadership and damaged key Iranian military sites.

Speaking to the American people on the first day of attacks, Trump said war was meant to "defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime," which he said included its continued pursuit of a nuclear weapon. Months earlier, in June of 2025, the U.

S. conducted penetrating strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities during Operation Midnight Hammer. The administration claimed at the time that Iran’s nuclear program had been “obliterated,” but would later acknowledge that enriched uranium to build a bomb still remained in Iran.

The opening days of the war were marked by a deadly airstrike on an all-girls school in southern Iran. Roughly 160 civilians, 120 of them schoolchildren, were killed. Iran has blamed the United States and Israel, but neither has assumed responsibility.

U.S. Central Command has said that it is investigating the bombing, saying the U.S. will "never" target civilians. International law prohibits the deliberate targeting of schools and universities during armed conflicts. The investigations is ongoing with few updates.

Iran retaliated immediately by attacking American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Iraq on a scale not seen since the Vietnam War. It was able to strike vulnerable U.S. interests near the Persian Gulf using missiles and low-cost, one-way attack drones.

For months, both sides traded blows. In all, U.S. Central Command, which oversees forces in the Middle East, says it has hit more than 13,000 Iranian targets, which include military headquarters, naval ships, air defense systems and drone launch sites.

But Iran’s most consequential response came at sea when it shut down commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, turning the waterway into a household name almost overnight. The blockade choked one of the world’s most important shipping lanes and Iran dictated where the war’s frontline would be, rattling the global economy.

In early March, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told reporters Iran was displaying “sheer desperation” in the strait and said “we have been dealing with it, and don’t need to worry about it.” Six months later, the goalposts appear to have shifted. Blunting the economic fallout and reopening the strait has become central to the mission.

Since the start of the war, 18 U.S. service members have died and more than 750 have been wounded. Trump has attended three dignified transfer ceremonies to honor the lives of service members lost since the war began -- two in March and one in July.

He told reporters at the time it’s “one of the hardest things to do as a president.” Beyond the sacrifice of American lives, American households have faced higher costs. Six months in, global oil prices are up about 25% and the average gallon of gas nationwide hovers over $4 -- about a dollar more than before the war, according to GasBuddy.

A Brown University energy cost tracker estimates that the average American has spent nearly $700 more in fuel prices since the war began. ALSO SEE: Pentagon's official Iran war death toll no longer lists 4 troops killed during renewed fighting The president, for his part, has brushed off the concerns of rising prices, saying of oil prices at the White House in May that it’s a “very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.

” Trump also said in May that Americans' financial situation was "not even a little bit" of a motivating factor for him reaching a deal to end the war in Iran. "The only thing that matters when I'm talking about Iran, they can't have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.

"I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all." The president has also insisted that once the conflict ends, oil prices will "drop like a rock.

" But the war is also costing the American taxpayer. Hegseth told lawmakers this summer that the latest estimate for the cost of the war is more than $37.5 billion. Additionally, the Defense Department is asking Congress for an additional $67.1 billion for spending this year, attributing much of that demand to the war in Iran.

In April, the White House also asked Congress for a record-breaking $1.5 trillion in defense spending as part of their annual budget request for the 2027 fiscal year. The White House's request for a 42% increase in the military budget included a pay raise for troops, building more ships and a rapid procurement of 12 “critical munitions," among other things.

Polls show the Iran war is extremely unpopular. A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in late August found just 31% of Americans approve of U.S. military strikes against Iran, down from 37% in March. The share of Republicans supporting the war was 69%, down from 77% in March.

Wide majorities of Democrats (90%) and independents (67%) disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that only 25% of Americans approved of how Trump was handling Iran; 63% disapproved, including majorities of Democrats and independents along with 28% of Republicans.

Even among congressional Republicans, who for the most part support Trump’s war, there is growing anxiety that the war will hurt them in the midterm election less than three months away. Asked about Iran, House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters in late July that the U.

S. has "got to wrap it up," adding that an end to the war before the midterms would be "helpful." Since the start of this war, the president has claimed frequently that it was nearing a conclusion, only to see deals fall apart and fighting resume. And on at least seven occasions, Trump has made threats of major military escalation (including a threat that Iran’s entire civilization would die) only to fall back on talks that have yet to bear fruit.

Six months in, the talks are at a standstill. Trump's overall approval rating has hit record lows. The August Reuters/Ipsos poll found Trump’s approval rating at 33%, tying a record low in Reuters/Ipsos polling over both of Trump’s terms. The poll found that 65% of Americans disapproved of Trump.

Despite his early prediction the war would last no more than four to five weeks, the president, as recently as this week, said he’s in “no rush.” The U.S. hasn’t waged large-scale military attacks on Iran in nearly a month. Instead, the strategy is shifting back to the economic pressures Trump employed before the attacks began.

"We are low-keying it," Trump explained to Axios earlier this month. In addition to enforcing a blockade of Iranian ports, this week, the administration threatened to severely sanction any country that does business with Iran. The president has likened it to an "economic D-Day," but so far, the rollout has been slow.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has promised a “cure period” for entities still doing business with Iran, while declining to set any firm deadlines or call out the country’s biggest trading partner -- China -- by name. Still, Bessent insists this round of economic coercion is the “beginning of the endgame” with Iran.

The White House has repeatedly said the president’s first choice is always diplomacy. The last several months have seen multiple rounds of technical discussions and head-to-head negotiations, including the Islamabad talks in April -- the first high-level meeting between U.

S. and Iranian delegations since the days of the Shah. Those hundreds of hours of bargaining spread across months of back-and-forth negotiations eventually yielded a memorandum of understanding that was signed by the presidents of both countries in mid-June.

The 14-point document was supposed to be a pathway to a comprehensive nuclear deal, but both sides accused each other of violating the truce within a week -- eventually setting off a renewed spiral of escalation that prompted Trump to declare it officially dead just 22 days after it came into force.

Consultations with mediating powers continue at a regular clip, with negotiators from the U.S. and Iran swapping the occasional messages, U.S. officials tell ABC News. But progress is stagnant and hope that the two sides can reach any deal --much less a lasting nuclear agreement -- has reached an apparent low point.