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2026 Iran-Gulf Crisis Tracker
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otherOct 9, 2026

The Battle of Hormuz is won. Now comes the insurgency phase

Summary

Gulf crude exports outside Iran are back at prewar levels. Tehran can no longer bottle them up. But it doesn’t need to.

Actors involved

Iran

Sources

  • Shane CroucherBy Shane Croucher

    "They’ve lost complete control of the strait," Secretary of State Marco Rubio said of Iran in Athens on Wednesday. He has a point. At least 16.5 million barrels a day of crude left the Persian Gulf in September, matching the region’s prewar average excluding Iran, ship-tracking f…

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