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ردیاب بحران ایران-خلیج فارس ۲۰۲۶
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strikeMar 14, 2026

After forging ties with Hezbollah, are the Kinahans stuck in warzone?

Summary

After years hiding from the law in the Middle East - during which time they forged connections in Iran including with feared terror group Hezbollah - are the KINAHAN Cartel's bosses now trapped in a warzone? As Irish emigrants flee Dubai in their droves, the very top tier of the Kinahan cartel are effectively trapped in the desert city as Iranian missile and drone attacks continue. Sources this weekend said cartel founder Christy Kinahan Snr, 68, and his sons, Daniel, 48, and Christopher Jnr, 45, have not left the United Arab Emirates in years – and gardaí believe the drug lords have no plans to voluntarily leave in the near future. The war in Iran has further trapped the Kinahan leadership in the Arabian peninsula. Considered one of Europe’s biggest crime groups, the Kinahans forged connections in Iran – including with terror group Hezbollah – a number of years ago. But with the US military bombing the Middle Eastern country, a source familiar with the long-running investigation to bring down the Kinahan crime gang told the Irish Mail on Sunday this weekend the UAE is ‘clearly not a safe country for them to relocate’. And the source added the ongoing war in the Gulf has ‘only complicated’ matters for the Kinahans. ‘Their world has become small and this war has made it even smaller,’ the source told the MoS. ‘Gardaí know exactly where they are and believe they will have to remain there until they are forced home.’ But the gardaí cannot launch formal extradition proceedings until the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) gives them the green light. Sources this weekend said gardaí expect this decision from the DPP – who has had a file on the Kinahan leadership since 2023 – before the end of the summer. The investigation has recommended Daniel Kinahan be charged with murder and of directing an organised crime gang. Christy Sr and Christy Jr are, however, unlikely to face charges because they were not as hands-on as Daniel during the feud. While the Kinahans cannot yet be arrested and extradited to Ireland, US financial sanctions imposed on the cartel bosses in 2022 have left them too fearful to leave their Dubai base. Rewards of $5million (€4.7million) were offered by the US to anyone who could supply information that would lead to the arrest and conviction of the three Kinahans. Daniel Kinahan, Christopher Kinahan Jr and Christopher Kinahan Sr have all been sanctioned by the United States' DEA The sanctions mean no US citizen can do business with the Kinahans, who were also locked out of the American banking system. These moves effectively ended Daniel Kinahan’s public role as a major professional boxing promoter. Sources told the MoS that, faced with the US sanctions, the Kinahans decided Dubai – where they have been based for a decade – was the safest option for them to avoid arrest or assassination by a rival gang. But with the UAE now under attack from Iran, sources said the authorities’ indifferent attitude towards the Kinahans is changing. The US Drug Enforcement Agency's wanted poster for Christopher Kinahan Jr One expat security source based in the UAE who has studied the Kinahan gang with interest told our sister newspaper, the Irish Daily Mail this week, he believes the government there is already starting to change their position. ‘The missile and drone strikes have strengthened the view here that they need the US more than they need Iran,’ the source said. ‘So the Kinahans, given their links to Hezbollah and their pariah status with the DEA (US Drugs Enforcement Division), are starting to become an embarrassment to the UAE – and this place is all about image. Their days are numbered, I’m convinced of it.’ Last month, a former senior garda told the MoS he is confident the Kinahan cartel leaders will be brought back to Ireland, either in handcuffs or a bodybag. Former Garda Assistant Commissioner Pat Leahy said it is ‘inevitable’ Christy Kinahan and his sons Daniel and Christy Jnr will be extradited home ‘unless something happens in the criminal world that interferes with that process’. Mr Leahy said that while he is ‘sure’ the Kinahans are making plans to try evade justice, ‘the leverage is there now to drop the net on them’ wherever they are living. Former Garda Assistant Commissioner Pat Leahy said it is ‘inevitable’ Christy Kinahan and his sons Daniel and Christy Jnr will be brought home to Ireland, either in handcuffs or a bodybag It comes as new images of Christy Snr and Daniel Kinahan were published last weekend, in the first sightings of the crime bosses since the US put the multi-million-dollar bounties on their heads. It also follows separate reports yesterday that the crime family were forced to abandon secret plans to flee their Dubai hideout after securing a safe sanctuary in Russia. According to the report, the Kinahans reportedly obtained Russian travel documents, including passports for themselves, their partners and children, over a year ago with the help of criminal contacts and government officials in the rogue state. However, the Kinahans reportedly had a last-minute change of heart about the move over Christy Snr’s concerns that Russia’s war with Ukraine would ultimately cause them bigger problems than they already have. Sorry we are not currently accepting comments on this article.

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” Vladimir Putin said much the same thing when he invaded Ukraine. Russia was not fighting a war either, the Kremlin insisted; it was merely conducting a “special military operation.” If that comparison strikes you as shocking, consider the contours of the two conflicts.

A vastly more powerful military launched a punishing offensive against a smaller, less well-equipped adversary, inflicted enormous damage without achieving a decisive resolution, and then found itself drawn into a longer, grinding conflict with no clear way out.

The motivations behind the wars may be different, and they’re playing out in different theaters, but the pattern is eerily similar. Now, so too is the attempt by those in power to control how the public understands, and even what it is allowed to call, the obvious war unfolding in front of them.

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According to the U.S. military’s own accounting, the first 38 days of major combat operations involved more than 10,200 sorties and 13,500 strikes. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) says those attacks damaged or destroyed more than 85 percent of Iran’s ballistic missile, drone and naval defense industrial base, while knocking out 82 percent of its air-defense missile systems.

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Those are not questions the White House wants Americans to be asking. Trump built a substantial part of his political identity around ending, rather than beginning, America’s “endless wars.” When Washington and Tehran signed a memorandum of understanding in June, the White House presented it as proof that Trump’s America First approach could deliver peace without another prolonged Middle Eastern conflict.

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20 at this time last year, according to AAA. The numbers on the sign at the gas station and the price on the grocery receipt aren’t affected by Trump’s tall tales, but they’ll surely affect how Americans vote at the midterms. When viewed in this light, Vance’s attempt to discourage reporters from “call[ing] it a war” begins to make sense.

A war is something that we want to end. It tends to result in a winner and a loser. And its worth is up for debate at all times. A different kind of engagement that doesn’t quite meet the threshold of war—say, a special military operation—is not exposed to the same kind of scrutiny.

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That’s exactly the logic applied by Putin to Ukraine and supposed expansion of NATO. Putting the Toothpaste Back in the Tube U.S. lawmakers have repeatedly invoked the War Powers Resolution to challenge Trump’s authority to keep fighting Iran without specific congressional authorization.

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Vance’s insistence that there is no continuing “war” fits neatly for an administration that has already tried to divide six months of conflict into separate periods of hostilities, interrupted by ceasefires and pauses. This brings us back to Moscow.

The Kremlin’s own linguistic trick was also about making one sprawling war sound smaller, more limited and more manageable than it really was. From the very beginning of the invasion, Putin described the war as a special military operation. Only after two years of grinding warfare did Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov openly declare Russia to be in a “state of war”—and even then, he said the transformation had occurred because the “collective West” had joined the fight against Russia.

Vance is playing a similar game, but in reverse. Only now—with soaring fuel prices, mounting casualties, concerns over the military’s munitions stockpiles, and midterm elections on the horizon—is the conflict no longer a war. You can’t put the genie back in the bottle, though, and the American people aren’t stupid.

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