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ردیاب بحران ایران-خلیج فارس ۲۰۲۶
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diplomacyAug 19, 2026

Amid diplomatic efforts, is Iran preparing for a new escalation scenario?

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Amid diplomatic efforts, is Iran preparing for a new escalation scenario? (machine-translated headline from a Arabic-language source)

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  • CurrentsAPI

    وسط الجهود الدبلوماسية، هل تتأهب إيران لسيناريو تصعيدي جديد؟ بحث وزير الخارجية الإيراني عباس عراقجي مع قائد الجيش الباكستاني عاصم منير، في اتصال هاتفي يوم الأربعاء، آخر المستجدات على الصعيد الدبلوماسي بين بلاده والولايات المتحدة، إلى جانب تعزيز التعاون مع باكستان، وفقاً لقناة عرا

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Iran stated on Tuesday that the Strait of Hormuz "will not be opened" until U.S. commitments, such as lifting sanctions and releasing frozen assets, are fulfilled, while President Trump asserted that the strait remains open and operational under a continued U.

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Kpler data indicates that transits through the Strait of Hormuz decreased to six vessels on Tuesday, well below the recent daily average, amid conflicting official statements regarding the waterway's status; U.S. President Donald Trump asserted the strait is open and no negotiations with Iran are ongoing, while Iranian authorities have claimed it remains shut.

Consequently, major Chinese shipping firms report keeping tankers out of the region since late July, raising concerns about disruptions to global oil and LNG supplies, though the full extent of these logistical impacts remains under assessment.

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Shipping data indicates a reduction in vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb amid security concerns, with Chinese shipping firms reportedly halting operations in these waters since late July. While US President Donald Trump stated the strait was open and denied ongoing talks with Iran, Iranian authorities maintain that it remains blocked to shipping.

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Iranian negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stated that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until the US fulfills demands, which he described as including the lifting of a naval blockade, oil sanctions, and unfreezing of assets, though the current status of these specific measures requires verification.

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Location: Tehran