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strikeApr 6, 2026

IAEA's Grossi: Nuclear arms race may be renewed as Middle East conflict grows | The Jerusalem Post

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The decades-long norm against the spread of nuclear weapons, and the system of international inspections designed to prevent it, may be under strain, said International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Rafael Grossi in a recent interview with Frontline. “We see countries and political decision makers talking quite clearly about more nuclear weapons, sharing nuclear capabilities, nuclear weapons,” Grossi said, adding that the situation could create a scenario in which more states could begin “evaluating the possibility of having nuclear weapons.” Grossi’s comments come as the agency’s cooperation with Iran has again been disrupted amid renewed conflict in the region. The IAEA has said it has not been able to access several key Iranian nuclear facilities following strikes during the 12-day war in June 2025, including sites at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan. “Iran had not been giving-for quite some time-the access to places,” Grossi told Frontline. He said Iranian officials' lack of cooperation with the agency “led us to a place or a position where we lost the necessary continuity of knowledge to be able to confirm that everything in Iran was in peaceful use.” What difference does the IAEA actually make? The IAEA is responsible for verifying that nuclear programs are used for peaceful purposes. Its inspectors monitor nuclear material, conduct on-site inspections and report findings to member states. The agency operates under safeguards agreements linked to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which requires non-nuclear-weapon states to declare nuclear material and accept inspections. IAEA states its operations provide essential safeguards designed to verify that nuclear material is not diverted from civilian use. The agency does not enforce compliance, but reports its findings to member states and international bodies, including the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). Grossi has said that safeguards and inspections remain central to preventing the spread of nuclear weapons. In recent remarks, he has described safeguards as “an essential component” of efforts to prevent nuclear proliferation in a time when international norms have been strained. His comments in the Frontline interview also addressed concerns about the broader global arena, including the presence of nuclear-armed states involved in ongoing conflicts. “We have more and more nuclear weapons in the world, and we have more countries possessing them,” Grossi said. He warned that the international system depends on continued cooperation from states to function effectively. The IAEA’s verification work relies on access to nuclear facilities and cooperation from governments, allowing inspectors to monitor nuclear material and activities over time. With a breakdown in cooperation that has existed for the last half-century and more conflicts igniting, Grossi fears that this “delicate moment” could lead to “more nuclear weapons"and more states racing to acquire them. “it is essential that we highlight and commit ourselves to a system which is based on legal commitments, a system of inspections, and a cooperative arrangement.”

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If passed, the resolution would follow up on one adopted on June 12 of last year declaring Iran in breach of its non-proliferation obligations for not fully cooperating with an investigation into uranium traces found at undeclared sites. Israel started bombing Iran's nuclear facilities the next day, soon joined by the U.

S. Iran's uranium-enrichment plants were destroyed or badly damaged. Iran has not let International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors return to the bombed sites since then or verify what remains of its stocks of enriched uranium, some of which was enriched to up to 60% purity, a short step from weapons grade.

FRESH DIPLOMATIC ESCALATION A resolution by the IAEA's 35-nation board reporting Iran to the Security Council would also be the culmination of a standoff over IAEA access to those sites, since the board has passed two resolutions in the past year demanding Iran declare its enriched uranium stocks and grant the IAEA full access to verify them.

"(The board) requests the (IAEA) Director General to transmit this resolution and the previously adopted resolutions ... to all Members of the Agency and to the Security Council and the General Assembly of the United Nations," said the latest resolution draft seen by Reuters.

It also "reiterates its call upon Iran to urgently remedy its non-compliance with its Safeguards Agreement by taking all steps deemed necessary by the Agency and the Board, so that the Director General can provide the necessary assurances regarding the correctness and completeness of Iran's declarations".

The draft has not yet been formally submitted to the board and negotiations over the exact wording are ongoing, diplomats said. Whenever the four powers have submitted a draft resolution on Iran in recent years, it has passed. Concrete action by the Security Council against Iran is unlikely since Tehran's allies Russia and China are permanent, veto-wielding members.

IAEA CONCERNS OVER ENRICHMENT Iran has often retaliated following IAEA board resolutions against it by escalating its nuclear activities or scaling back cooperation with the IAEA, but its options for both are currently extremely limited. It is unclear what other repercussions there might be on Tehran's conflict with the U.

S. As a party to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Iran has the right to develop nuclear technology, including enrichment, for peaceful purposes. Iran says it would never produce nuclear weapons. It is, however, the only country to enrich to 60% without making a bomb.

The IAEA has said the amount it has enriched to that level is of serious concern. The IAEA estimates Iran had 440.9 kg of uranium enriched to that level before its sites were bombed. That is enough, if enriched further, for 10 nuclear weapons, according to an IAEA yardstick.

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Resolution would be culmination of standoff over IAEA's access to nuclear sites A resolution by the IAEA's 35-nation board reporting Iran to the Security Council would also be the culmination of a standoff over IAEA access to those sites, since the board has passed two resolutions in the past year demanding Iran declare its enriched uranium stocks and grant the IAEA full access to verify them.

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