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diplomacyMar 30, 2026

INTERVIEW: No Iran migration crisis yet, Cyprus minister says | Euractiv

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INTERVIEW: No Iran migration crisis yet, Cyprus minister says No signs of an influx “at this stage”, Nicholas Ioannides told Euractiv Fears of a new refugee wave triggered by the Iran conflict are “normal” but premature, Nicholas Ioannides, Cyprus’s deputy migration minister, said, as the EU races to lock in tougher asylum and return rules before summer. The Cypriot minister, who is now chairing meetings of European ministers, struck a cautious note over alarm that the Middle East war would trigger a new surge of asylum seekers to Europe. “There are no signs of flows from Iran at this stage,” Ioannides told Euractiv’s newsletter Rapporteur, noting that past regional wars, including the Iran-Iraq conflict, failed to generate large-scale migration toward the EU. Displacement, he said, tends to remain internal or limited to neighbouring countries. Recent data from the International Organisation for Migration broadly supports that assessment, showing that most people fleeing Iran move to the nearby area. Cyprus, which took over the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU in January, finds itself steering migration talks at a fraught moment. The bloc approved in February a proposal to ease deportations to so-called “safe third countries” and another to establish a common EU list of “safe countries of origin,” enabling authorities to fast-track and frequently reject asylum claims. At the same time, negotiations on the revised returns regulation are underway among the EU institutions. For Cyprus – the EU’s easternmost frontline state – geopolitical instability is a familiar reality, Ioannides said. “Unfortunately, our neighbourhood is very volatile… Every time an armed conflict erupts in the region, we are getting ready… to deal with possible migratory flows.” That volatility hit close to home in March, when Iranian drones targeted British bases on the island, causing disruption and highlighting the region’s fragility. EU meetings in Cyprus resume after security concerns, minister says EU Council meetings due to take place in Cyprus will go ahead as planned after… 1 min Elsewhere in Europe, capitals are taking fewer chances. In a letter ahead of the EU leaders’ summit in March, Italy and Denmark urged the European Commission to avoid a repeat of the 2015 migration crisis, calling for emergency measures if arrivals spike. Ioannides called such concerns “normal,” but argued the EU is now better equipped, pointing to stronger legal frameworks, upgraded infrastructure and clearer procedures ahead of the migration pact’s rollout in June. “There are legal tools already in place… in order to deal with crisis situations,” he said, referencing provisions such as Article 15 of the European Convention on Human Rights, which allows for temporary derogations in emergencies, while stressing Cyprus is not proposing to use them. Despite political turbulence in the European Parliament, including a recent controversy over coordination between centre-right and far-right lawmakers, Ioannides insisted negotiations remain on track. “I wouldn’t say that [it has hindered talks],” he said. “There’s a widespread agreement that this file should be concluded.” EU capitals are pushing to finalise the returns regulation quickly, he added, with Cyprus aiming to wrap up the so-called trilogue negotiations, between the Commission, the Council and MEPs, before the end of its presidency in June – the same month the migration pact is set to begin implementation. “Our effort is to have a sound legal basis, always bearing in mind the protection of human rights,” Ioannides said. Returns On returns of failed asylum seekers, he downplayed divisions between EU institutions, saying differences between the Parliament and the Council are limited. But the thorniest questions lie beyond Brussels, particularly on cooperation with third countries. Discussions are ongoing over returns and cooperation with countries like Syria and Libya, where political and logistical obstacles remain significant due to the situation on the ground. Brussels have discussed both voluntary and forced returns to Syria, according to documents seen by Euractiv, with a particular focus on individuals deemed a “security risk” or convicted criminals with no legal right to remain in the EU. “I think there has been substantial progress,” Ioannides said, pointing also to talks on Lebanon and Libya. “The majority of member states are keen to adopt measures to improve the situation.” Still, he acknowledged returns to Syria would be gradual at best, requiring coordination among EU countries and agreement with authorities on the ground. “We’ve never said that there will be a massive return to Syria,” he said. “It will be a gradual process.” Efforts to engage Libya have also proven difficult. Last year, a delegation by EU and member state officials, including migration commissioner Magnus Brunner, was abruptly scrapped after the delegation was declared persona non grata upon arrival in Benghazi. “It is very important to keep an open channel of communication with Libya,” Ioannides said. “Both Libyas.” (bw, mm)

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  • Nicoletta IontaBy Nicoletta Ionta

    INTERVIEW: No Iran migration crisis yet, Cyprus minister says No signs of an influx “at this stage”, Nicholas Ioannides told Euractiv Fears of a new refugee wave triggered by the Iran conflict are “normal” but premature, Nicholas Ioannides, Cyprus’s deputy migration minister, sai

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CHICAGO (AP) — Diesel hit a new record price in the U.S. on Friday, soaring to an average of $5.85 a gallon for the first time ever as the 6-month-long war with Iran continues to disrupt the world’s flow of fuel. Because diesel is used for many freight and delivery networks, higher diesel prices mean higher transportation costs for a long list of everyday goods.

More expensive fuel is increasing bills for businesses across sectors — some of which have already passed off costs to consumers in the form of added fees on online orders and packages in the mail. And shoppers may see more and more sticker shock trickle into store shelves.

One of the most immediate strains falls in the grocery aisle, particularly with produce, meat and other perishable foods that need to be hauled in and restocked frequently — or even harvested using diesel-powered farm equipment. It can take time for all of those costs to trickle down.

Still, experts warn that price hikes could mount the longer diesel remains expensive. A range of other products are also transported by diesel trucks, trains and boats, including clothing, cosmetics, furniture and more. The price for regular gasoline has also been going up, although not as fast as the price of diesel.

The average price was $4.15 a gallon, compared with $3.20 at this time last year, according to AAA. What’s driving the latest jump for diesel Before the U.S. and Israel launched their war against Iran in late February, the national average for a gallon of diesel was about $3.

76 in the U.S., per AAA. Prices quickly climbed as the cost of crude oil — the main ingredient in diesel, as well as gasoline — soared amid supply chain disruptions and production cuts across the Middle East, notably with most tanker traffic bottlenecked in the key Strait of Hormuz.

Despite prices cooling some during hopes for peace earlier in the summer, oil has now renewed its climb as fighting once more escalates between the U.S. and Iran. Brent crude, the international standard, was trading at more than $95 a barrel Friday, up from roughly $70 before the war.

Prices at the pump always follow closely behind. The last time U.S. businesses and drivers saw sky-high fuel prices was in June 2022, when diesel reached as high as nearly $5.82 a gallon on average, months after the Ukraine war began and world leaders imposed sanctions against Russia, a leading oil producer.

When adjusted for inflation, however, prices have been higher in the past. Ahead of the 2008 financial crisis, for example, diesel peaked at about $4.74 a gallon — equivalent to $7.20 in 2026, according to the government’s latest data. And 2022’s record of nearly $5.

82 would be about $6.56 this year when accounting for inflation. That doesn’t take the pain away from today’s steep prices, which are already bringing ripple effects for the economy and wider costs of living. Drivers are feeling the pain each time they fill up gasoline, too.

The average $4.15 for a gallon of regular unleaded is up from $2.98 before the Iran war, although still well below the 2022 peak of nearly $5.02 a gallon nationwide. Diesel has been more expensive than gasoline for decades, and its price has risen at a faster pace during recent energy crises.

Some reasons include more limited supply, less flexibility in demand, and diesel’s position in global commerce overall. Individual households may find ways to drive less when gas prices are high, for example, but there’s fewer immediate substitutes for networks that rely on diesel to help produce and haul goods worldwide.

All eyes on food Diesel is integral to every part of the food supply chain. It powers farm equipment and fishing boats as well as the trains, cargo ships and trucks that get food to grocery stores. Fuel accounts for roughly 15% to 30% of the total cost of food, according to the Independent Grocers Alliance, a grouping of 7,500 global supermarkets.

Because of this, higher diesel costs often result in more expensive food, although it can take a while for energy shocks to wind their way through the supply chain. Items that need to stay refrigerated while they’re transported are often the first to see prices rise, according to David Ortega, a professor of food economics and policy at Michigan State University.

In July, for example, overall U.S. grocery prices were up 2.7% compared to last July, but seafood prices were up 7% and fresh fruit prices were up 4.9%. Ortega cautioned that there can be other factors at play when food prices go up or down.

Lettuce also faced higher transportation costs in July, but a drop in demand due to the cyclospora outbreak caused prices to fall. Still, consumers could feel more of a squeeze the longer diesel prices remain high. “Early on, much of the cost increase gets absorbed along the supply chain through existing freight contracts and retailer margins,” Ortega said.

“But as contracts reprice and fuel surcharges take hold, more of that cost makes its way to the grocery store.” More fuel shocks Back in April, e-commerce giant Amazon rolled out a temporary 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge on some third-party sellers.

And United Parcel Service, FedEx and the United States Postal Service also moved to add fees on some of the packages they ship earlier in the war, citing rising operational costs for fuel overall. Ajesh Kapoor, CEO and founder of trucking technology company SemiCab, said trucking and transportations can adapt to rising diesel prices — but at some point there is a limit.

“Diesel price has a very, very direct impact on everything that moves on pretty much any mode,” Kapoor said. The ramifications extend beyond the movement of consumer goods. Some public transit buses and trains also run on diesel — and diesel generators are often used for backup or emergency power, if not central electricity sources in some remote parts of the world.

Experts warn that the consequences could continue to deepen — particularly in countries in Africa and Asia, which rely more heavily on imports from the Middle East and have already been hit the hardest by energy shocks over the course of the war.

Neil Atkinson, energy analyst and senior fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics, said refined oil products like diesel are becoming more expensive as supplies get stretched. “This is gradually becoming a major crisis because A) the prices themselves are very high — but the physical stocks of these products are dwindling,” he said in a weekly briefing with maritime data firm Lloyd’s List Intelligence, pointing to the strain on the global refining system.

“This cannot go on forever.” ___ Associated Press writers Dee-Ann Durbin in Detroit and Mae Anderson in New York contributed to this report.

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