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ردیاب بحران ایران-خلیج فارس ۲۰۲۶
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strikeMay 1, 2026

Iran submits fresh proposal to US as Hormuz crisis roils oil markets, raises hopes for talks

Summary

Iran has submitted a new proposal for negotiations with the United States, in a move that could revive stalled diplomacy over the Iran conflict, news agency Reuters reported. The proposal was shared via Pakistan, which has been mediating between the two sides, a Pakistani official confirmed. The development comes as a fragile ceasefire — in place since April 8 — struggles to translate into meaningful de-escalation, with both military and economic tensions still running high. Proposal routed via Pakistan Iranian state media and a Pakistani official said the proposal was delivered late Thursday and forwarded to Washington, though no details have been disclosed, Reuters reported. The move is being seen as a potential diplomatic opening after weeks of deadlock. Hormuz crisis keeps markets on edge The geopolitical backdrop remains volatile. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 20% of global oil and gas flows — has severely disrupted energy markets, pushing prices above $100 a barrel. Oil prices eased slightly after news of the proposal, but markets remain jittery amid uncertainty over whether the crisis will escalate further, Reuters said. ⚔️ Ceasefire: Apr 8🛢 Brent: ~$114/bbl🚢 20% world oil blocked📅 War Powers deadline: May 1 Brent Crude Peak$126per barrel — on briefing news Brent Crude Now~$114per barrel — slipped back World Supply Blocked20%oil & gas choked off Ceasefire SinceApr 8But strait still blocked USUSAPres. Donald Trump IRIRANSup. Leader Khamenei ILISRAELAllied with US PKPAKISTANMediator Current Situation — Strait of Hormuz Crisis Conflict Timeline ~Mar 1, 2025Conflict BeginsUS-Israeli military operations against Iran begin. Iran launches drones and missiles at Israel and US bases in Gulf states. Hormuz blocked. Apr 8, 2025Ceasefire AgreedUS-Iran ceasefire takes effect. Iran retains control of the strait — blocking all but its own shipping — citing ongoing US naval blockade of Iran's oil exports. May 1, 2025War Powers Deadline ← NOWFormal US deadline to end the war or extend it under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. A senior official says hostilities are deemed terminated due to the ceasefire — likely to pass without formal congressional action. TBDNegotiations / Escalation?Pakistan mediating. US weighing fresh strikes, extended blockade or coalition to reopen strait. Iran warns of retaliation for any new attack. Stalemate: A ceasefire is in place since April 8 but Iran continues blocking the Strait of Hormuz in response to a US naval blockade of Iran's oil exports. The strait — through which 20% of global oil and gas flows — has been closed for ~two months. Brent crude hit $126/bbl on reports of a Trump military briefing before slipping to ~$114. Brent Crude — price context ($USD/bbl) Pre-conflict ~$75 Current (~$114) ~$114 ↑52% Peak ($126) $126 ↑68% 🔺 Pre-conflict baseline ~$75/bbl. Bars are proportional to $130 max. Key Quotes — What Leaders Are Saying Any new US attack on Iran, even if limited, would usher in long and painful strikes on US regional positions. IRGC Senior OfficialIran's Revolutionary Guards Foreigners who come from thousands of kilometres away have no place there except at the bottom of its waters. Ayatollah Mojtaba KhameneiSupreme Leader, Iran — on Strait of Hormuz Iran will not be allowed to have a nuclear weapon. The price of gasoline will drop like a rock as soon as the war ends. Donald TrumpUS President The longer this vital artery is choked, the harder it will be to reverse the damage. António GuterresUN Secretary-General Expecting to reach a result in a short time, regardless of who the mediator is, is not very realistic. Esmaeil BaghaeiIran Foreign Ministry Spokesman We've seen what happened to your regional bases — we will see the same thing happen to your warships. Majid MousaviIRGC Aerospace Force Commander What's at Stake — Global Impact Energy20% of global oil & gas blocked The Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. Its two-month closure has sent Brent crude from ~$75 to $114/bbl — a 52% surge. EconomyGlobal recession risk, millions at poverty line The UN warns if the disruption drags past mid-year, global growth will fall, inflation will rise and tens of millions more people will be pushed into poverty. US PoliticsGas prices — key issue for November midterms Trump has repeatedly stressed that fuel prices will fall "like a rock" once the war ends — signalling domestic political urgency ahead of November midterm elections. IranEconomy crippled but survives US blockade The conflict has worsened Iran's dire economic situation. The US blockade has cut off oil export revenues — Iran's economic lifeline — but analysts say Tehran can hold out for now. RegionLebanon ceasefire a key Iran condition Iran says halting Israeli attacks on Lebanon — where a fragile ceasefire is in place — is part of the Iran-US ceasefire understanding and must remain a condition of any deal. GulfUAE bans travel to Iran, Iraq and Lebanon The UAE has banned its citizens from travelling to Iran, Lebanon and Iraq and urged those currently there to leave immediately, citing escalating regional developments. What Next — Options & Scenarios Four scenarios on the table — Trump was briefed Thursday on military and diplomatic options to end the Hormuz impasse. Option AFresh military strikes on Iran A series of targeted strikes to compel Iran to negotiate. Iran has warned even a limited attack would trigger "long and painful" retaliation on US regional bases and warships. Option BGround forces to seize part of strait Axios reports a plan involving US ground forces taking over part of the Hormuz strait to reopen it to commercial shipping — a major escalation with unpredictable consequences. Option CMaritime coalition to reopen strait US State Dept has invited allies to join the 'Maritime Freedom Construct'. UK, France and others are willing to help — but only after the conflict formally ends. Option DExtend blockade or declare victory Trump is also weighing a unilateral US declaration of victory or extending the naval blockade of Iran's oil exports to force economic surrender. Pakistan continues mediation. Air defence alert in Tehran: Air defence activity was heard in areas of Tehran Thursday evening, Iran's semi-official Mehr news agency reported, with drones and unmanned surveillance vehicles being engaged — adding to uncertainty around the ceasefire. Sources: Reuters · Axios · IRNA · Mehr News Agency | Updated: 1 May 2025 US stance, war powers debate Even as tensions persist, the Trump administration has argued that hostilities have effectively ended due to the ceasefire, a position that could allow it to bypass congressional approval under the War Powers Resolution, the Associated Press reported. A senior administration official said that, for the purposes of the law, “the hostilities that began on Saturday, Feb. 28 have terminated,” noting there has been no direct exchange of fire since early April, AP reported. Military threats continue despite ceasefire On the ground, however, both sides appear to be preparing for escalation. Iran has activated air defences and is bracing for a possible “short, intensive” U.S. strike, potentially followed by Israeli action, according to Reuters. Story continues below this ad A senior Iranian Revolutionary Guards official warned that any new US attack would trigger “long and painful strikes” on American regional positions. Aerospace Force Commander Majid Mousavi said, “We’ve seen what happened to your regional bases; we will see the same thing happen to your warships.” Gulf concerns, maritime coalition in focus The crisis has raised alarm among Gulf states. UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said freedom of navigation in the Strait must be ensured by international law, adding, “No unilateral Iranian arrangements can be trusted or relied upon following its treacherous aggression against all its neighbours.” Meanwhile, the US has floated plans for a maritime coalition — the “Maritime Freedom Construct” — to secure shipping lanes, though European allies have indicated participation would depend on an end to active hostilities, Reuters reported. Uncertain road ahead Despite economic strain from U.S. naval blockades and export restrictions, Iran appears capable of sustaining a prolonged standoff. Washington is weighing options, including extending the blockade, launching limited strikes, or declaring a unilateral victory, Reuters reported. Story continues below this ad With thousands killed — mainly in Iran and Lebanon — and global markets still reacting sharply to every development, Iran’s latest proposal offers a possible diplomatic off-ramp. But with both sides maintaining hardline positions, a breakthrough remains far from certain. The Express Global Desk at The Indian Express delivers authoritative, verified, and context-driven coverage of key international developments shaping global politics, policy, and migration trends. The desk focuses on stories with direct relevance for Indian and global audiences, combining breaking news with in-depth explainers and analysis. A major focus area of the desk is US immigration and visa policy, including developments related to student visas, work permits, permanent residency pathways, executive actions, and court rulings. The Global Desk also closely tracks Canada’s immigration, visa, and study policies, covering changes to study permits, post-study work options, permanent residence programmes, and regulatory updates affecting migrants and international students. All reporting from the Global Desk adheres to The Indian Express’ editorial standards, relying on official data, government notifications, court documents, and on-record sources. The desk prioritises clarity, accuracy, and accountability, ensuring readers can navigate complex global systems with confidence. Core Team The Express Global Desk is led by a team of experienced journalists and editors with deep expertise in international affairs and migration policy: Aniruddha Dhar – Senior Assistant Editor with extensive experience in global affairs, international politics, and editorial leadership. Nischai Vats – Deputy Copy Editor specialising in US politics, US visa and immigration policy, and policy-driven international coverage. Mashkoora Khan – Sub-editor focusing on global developments, with a strong emphasis on Canada visa, immigration, and study-related policy coverage. ... Read More

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  • Express Global DeskBy Express Global Desk

    Iran has submitted a new proposal for negotiations with the United States, in a move that could revive stalled diplomacy over the Iran conflict, news agency Reuters reported. The proposal was shared via Pakistan, which has been mediating between the two sides, a Pakistani officia

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strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
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US and Iran trade strikes as tensions escalate amid renewed conflict - US Central Command has struck three Iranian oil tankers, including one near the Kharg Island export hub, after Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fired ballistic missiles at two US Navy vessels.

- Admiral Brad Cooper declared that the US would exact a higher economic cost for attacks on its ships, confirming that no American personnel were harmed during the strike. - Iran's Revolutionary Guard retaliated by threatening further attacks on US military ships, claiming to have targeted three US-linked vessels and three tankers navigating unauthorised routes in the Strait of Hormuz.

- The Iranian Red Crescent has requested an International Criminal Court investigation into a suspected US strike on an Iranian wedding that left at least five people dead, accusing Washington of war crimes. - The recent exchanges represent a dangerous deepening of the wider conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran, which has flared repeatedly since initial strikes in February.

Location: Iran
strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIran
1 source

Iran said its forces attacked a US naval drone trying to enter the Strait of Hormuz, hours after targeting ships in retaliation for American strikes on three oil tankers. The latest round of clashes, which began with US raids last week, comes amid a deadlock in their six-month war.

Iran has maintained its stranglehold on the strategic Strait of Hormuz while Washington continues a counter-blockade of Iranian ports. Washington is also seeking to choke Iran's economy, rolling out sanctions on entities with financial links to the Islamic republic in a bid to force it into submission.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the ideological arm of Iran's military, said today that it "attacked an American military unmanned surface vessel" attempting to enter the strait, according to a statement carried by state television. Hours earlier, the IRGC said its naval forces "targeted three oil tankers on the unauthorised route of the Strait of Hormuz and three vessels affiliated with the child-killing America in other areas".

It warned ships not to attempt to transit by unapproved routes. Yesterday, US Central Command (CENTCOM), which oversees American military operations in the region, said it struck tankers linked to the Iranian Guards, accusing the most powerful arm of the Iranian military of unsuccessfully firing at American warships.

"Following Iran's failed attacks, CENTCOM permanently disabled the IRGC crude oil carriers M/T Downy off the coast of Kharg Island and M/T Stark 1 near Jask," it said. "American forces also completely destroyed the unladen crude oil carrier M/T Kylo ...

in the Gulf of Oman, striking the vessel in multiple critical locations to render it inoperable after the crew was directed to abandon ship," he said. Video posted by CENTCOM showed large fireballs and billowing flames after projectiles slammed into the ships.

The three vessels were "part of a multibillion-dollar shadow network that funds the IRGC and its regional proxies", it said. 'Higher economic cost' The IRGC meanwhile claimed the two American warships they targeted had been "forced to retreat" after "suffering damage", but CENTCOM said those ships successfully evaded Iranian attacks.

CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper said after the operation: "If you shoot at two of our ships, we will impose an even higher economic cost - taking out three of yours." The Iranian foreign ministry hit out at Washington over the strikes on oil tankers, calling them "illegal and aggressive actions".

A correspondent for Iranian state TV in Jask in the southern province of Hormozgan said one of the tankers was empty and the second was carrying oil. The crews were transported to shore on lifeboats, they said. Another state TV correspondent on Kharg Island said the attack there caused no casualties.

Iran's Khatam-al Anbiya central military command warned that if the US continued its attacks, then Tehran's retaliation against US warships would be "more severe than before, and there is a possibility of their expansion". The administration of US President Donald Trump has tried to downplay the significance of the six-month conflict, which has proven increasingly unpopular at home as midterm elections near.

US Vice President JD Vance went so far as to say that he "wouldn't call it a war". Mr Trump reiterated that view on Friday, calling the war "small potatoes" for Washington. Iran's Security Chief Mohsen Rezaei warned this week that the Islamic republic had adopted a "new strategy" against Washington that "will shatter your foundations".

The US has been trying to step up pressure on Tehran in a bid to wrestle control of the Hormuz strait, through which one-fifth of world oil supplies previously flowed. A fragile ceasefire between the two sides collapsed in July after attacks on commercial ships in the strategic waterway.

Mr Trump has in recent weeks repeatedly threatened to claim sovereignty over the strait, even posting a map showing it as "new US territory". Mr Vance has insisted the US will not reopen talks with Iran until it ends attacks on commercial shipping in Hormuz.

strikeUnverifiedUSIsraelIranUN
1 source

CAIRO (AP) — Iran said Sunday it struck an unmanned U.S. vessel trying to enter the Strait of Hormuz, the latest salvo in a new flare-up of fighting between the two countries. The U.S. did not immediately confirm the purported attack, which came a day after the U.

S. military said forces struck three Iranian oil tankers in response to a missile attack on Navy warships. The war began with U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran on Feb. 28. But since a ceasefire agreement was announced in June, on-and-off fighting has persisted with both sides trying to inflict military and economic pain as negotiations have collapsed.

Strikes come about a week after fighting resumed The U.S. and Iran resumed attacks last week, following a month of relative calm, with the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian communities along it again being targeted. At least five people were killed earlier in the week during a U.

S. bombardment of southern Iran. The Trump administration appears to have adopted a dual-prong approach to the conflict, responding militarily to attacks on the strait while going after foreign financial institutions that handle Iran’s money.

But Tehran's hard-line new senior leaders have signaled the willingness to dig in after weathering decades of sanctions. Iran has found ways over the years to circumvent sanctions, and now the U.S. blockade, and get its oil to buyers to help ease growing economic pressures.

That relies in part on a shadow fleet transporting its oil. Meanwhile, Iran's nuclear program, the issue that contributed to the outbreak of the war, was meant to be addressed in negotiations that fell apart soon after the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-June.

Diplomats say the U.S., Britain, France and Germany seek to refer Iran to the U.N. Security Council for failure to comply with its nuclear nonproliferation obligations. Instead, Tehran's new leverage focuses on the Strait of Hormuz that is crucial to global oil and natural gas shipments and was seen as an international waterway before the war began.

___ Magdy reported from Cairo and Frankel reported from Jerusalem.

strikeUnverifiedUSIran
1 source

Iran attacks naval drone near Hormuz after US strikes 3 oil tankers The latest round of clashes, which began with US raids last week, comes amid a deadlock in the six-month war Iran said on Sunday that its forces attacked a US naval drone trying to enter the Strait of Hormuz, hours after targeting ships in retaliation for American strikes on three oil tankers.

The latest round of clashes, which began with US raids last week, comes amid a deadlock in their six-month war. Iran has maintained its stranglehold on the strategic Strait of Hormuz while Washington continues a counter-blockade of Iranian ports. Washington is also seeking to choke Iran’s economy, rolling out sanctions on entities with financial links to the Islamic Republic in a bid to force it into submission.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the ideological arm of Iran’s military, said on Sunday it “attacked an American military unmanned surface vessel” attempting to enter the strait, according to a statement carried by state television. Hours earlier, the IRGC said its naval forces “targeted three oil tankers on the unauthorised route of the Strait of Hormuz and three vessels affiliated with the child-killing America in other areas”.

Location: Iran