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economicApr 29, 2026

Why are oil prices up today while natural gas futures continue to drop now? Oil market surge, gas decline, Brent crude futures, Waha Hub prices explained

Summary

Why are oil prices up today while natural gas futures continue to drop now?Oil prices are rising mainly because of supply risks linked to geopolitical tension. The United States has continued a blockade of Iranian ships, which limits Iran’s ability to sell crude oil. In response, Iran has kept the Strait of Hormuz closed to other oil tankers. This route is a key path for global oil shipments. When traders fear supply disruptions, oil prices usually increase because markets expect tighter availability. Another reason oil prices are rising is inflation concern. Higher oil prices can push fuel and transport costs up. Central banks watch energy prices closely because they affect inflation. The Federal Reserve has already signaled caution about cutting interest rates. This adds to the belief that energy prices may remain high in the near term. Natural gas futures are falling for different reasons. Gas storage levels in the United States are above normal because of mild weather. When temperatures are not too hot or cold, energy demand drops. Lower heating and cooling demand reduces gas consumption, which pushes prices down. Pipeline constraints are also affecting gas prices. In the Permian Basin, gas has remained trapped due to limited pipeline capacity. This has kept prices at the Waha Hub in negative territory for weeks. High supply, weaker demand forecasts, and strong storage levels together explain why gas prices are declining while oil prices continue to rise. Oil prices rise due to geopolitical tension and supply risksOil prices moved higher during the trading session. Brent crude for July delivery rose 5.8% to $110.41 per barrel and touched $111.50 earlier. The most active Brent contract reached $119.50 last month during the war with Iran. June Brent briefly reached $119.76. Oil prices rose as President Donald Trump signaled the U.S. blockade of Iranian ships may continue. The blockade limits Iran’s ability to sell oil. Iran responded by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed to other tankers carrying crude worldwide. This situation increased supply concerns and lifted oil prices. High oil prices influenced inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve cited oil prices as one reason for pausing interest rate cuts. Lower rates could support growth but may increase inflation risks. Stock markets move lower while bond yields riseU.S. stocks moved slightly lower during trading. - S&P 500 fell 0.4% - Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 394 points or 0.8% - Nasdaq declined 0.4% Bond markets reacted strongly. Treasury yields rose after the Federal Reserve decision. - 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.40% from 4.36% - Two-year Treasury yield rose to 3.91% from 3.84% Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady through the year. Some traders now see a small chance of a rate hike. Corporate earnings support markets despite pressureMany companies reported stronger profits. Visa shares rose 9% after reporting higher results. CEO Ryan McInerney said consumer spending remained stable. Starbucks shares rose 8.9% as customers spent more per visit. Some companies fell after weak results. GE Healthcare Technologies dropped 12.6%. Robinhood Markets fell 14.7%. Booking Holdings said the war with Iran affected travel demand and bookings. The company expects the conflict to impact business through June. Travel routes between Europe and Asia may also be affected. Global markets moved mixed. European markets declined while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.7%. Market supply and demand changesNatural gas futures declined because of supply and demand factors. Gas futures for June delivery fell to $2.647 per mmBtu. Prices dropped about 2%. Waha Hub prices in West Texas stayed negative for 58 days due to pipeline constraints in the Permian region. Gas remained trapped in the region. Waha prices averaged negative $2.15 per mmBtu in 2026 compared with positive prices in previous years. Gas output in the Lower 48 states averaged 110.0 bcfd in April, slightly lower than March. Output fell to a two-week low of 108.4 bcfd recently as low prices pushed producers like EQT to reduce production. Weather and storage push gas prices lowerMild weather increased gas storage injections. Inventories rose to about 8% above normal. Cooler weather in May reduces heating and air-conditioning demand. Gas demand forecast: - This week: 102.1 bcfd - Next week: 99.6 bcfd Gas flows to LNG export plants rose to 18.8 bcfd in April. Storage increases and lower demand pushed prices down. Analysts insights and market outlookAnalysts say oil prices depend on geopolitical developments and supply risks. If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, supply disruptions may continue. Oil prices may stay elevated. Natural gas prices depend on storage levels, demand, and weather forecasts. High inventories and mild temperatures could keep gas prices under pressure. The Federal Reserve stance remains important. High energy prices may delay interest rate cuts. Bond yields and stock markets may react to future policy signals. What should investors do now?Investors are watching energy markets, inflation signals, and central bank policy. Oil price volatility may continue due to geopolitical risk. Gas prices may remain weak due to storage levels and demand forecasts. Investors may track earnings results, bond yields, and global energy supply updates. Market direction may depend on geopolitical developments and economic data. FAQs Q1. Why are oil prices rising while gas prices fall? Oil prices rise due to geopolitical tension and supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Gas prices fall due to high storage, mild weather, pipeline constraints, and lower demand forecasts across the United States energy market. Q2. Will oil and gas prices change soon? Oil prices may stay high if supply disruptions continue. Gas prices may stay low if storage levels remain high and demand stays weak. Weather forecasts and Federal Reserve policy will influence future energy price trends. (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel) (Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.) Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel) (Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.) Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. Explore More Stories

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  • Gandharv WaliaBy Gandharv Walia

    Why are oil prices up today while natural gas futures continue to drop now?Oil prices are rising mainly because of supply risks linked to geopolitical tension. The United States has continued a blockade of Iranian ships, which limits Iran’s ability to sell crude oil. In response,

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High oil prices drive a surge in Chinese electric vehicle sales, but charging networks lag behind The war in Iran has helped reshape the global electric vehicle market, giving Chinese automakers an opening across the developing world as fuel prices surge The war in Iran has helped reshape the global electric vehicle market, giving Chinese automakers an opening across the developing world as soaring fuel prices push drivers towards electric vehicles, even as charging infrastructure lags behind a wave of imports.

The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted shipping of about a fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquified natural gas, first hitting Asia — the main destination for the fuels — followed by Africa. This shock accelerated a trend that was already spreading across the developing world.

In April, global exports of Chinese EVs hit a record $9.4 billion, according to an analysis by think tank Ember of Chinese customs data. Shipments surged to countries such as Australia, Brazil and regions like Southeast Asia and East Africa. China exported about 435,000 passenger EVs and plug-in hybrids in May, more than double from a year earlier, according to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

As fuel costs rise, more drivers are switching to EVs to save money, while governments from Laos to Ethiopia are embracing electrification to curb oil imports and reduce costs of fuel subsidies. But faster EV adoption is outpacing the expansion of charging networks.

Governments and state-owned utilities in Africa are taking a leading role in building them — a model analysts say could help other emerging markets, like Asia, speed the shift away from fossil fuels. When a nation lacks sufficient charging infrastructure and EV fleet size, it is a “classic chicken-and-egg problem” regarding what comes first, said Paul Gong, head of UBS bank’s China automotive industry research.

“At that stage, government support for infrastructure could help accelerate adoption,” he said. Fuel shock drives EV use in Asia and Africa Across the developing world, drivers are looking beyond the gas pump. In Southeast Asia, imports of Chinese EVs have surged in Thailand, Laos and the Philippines.

In May, Laos banned the import of fuel-powered vehicles for the rest of 2026 to cut oil import costs and encourage the EV shift. Africa imported around 44,000 Chinese EVs in 2025, a 130% jump from the year before, according to Chinese Commerce Ministry data.

Across Asia and Africa, transport is one of the largest household expenses. Limited public transit, long commutes and a reliance on private vehicles make families vulnerable to volatile fuel prices. In South Africa, transportation accounts for nearly a fifth of household spending, according to a 2024 study by Stellenbosch University in South Africa's Western Cape province.

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“Now, I can actually save some money.” Charging stations aren't keeping up But while EV imports are booming, charging infrastructure is still lagging even as installations have accelerated. Thailand, for instance, has around 4,600 public charging locations to serve more than 424,000 battery EVs and plug-in hybrids, according to the Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand — around one for every 92 vehicles.

The country currently has roughly 12,000 public chargers, the IEA said. Chitsanupong Nuamnorm's solution is to keep his gasoline-fueled Mazda 2 for weekend trips, although the Chinese-made MG4 EV he bought on Feb. 27 — the day before the Iran war began — is saving him a lot of money.

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Indonesia has more than 4,500 public charging stations set up the state-owned power utility PLN, the IEA said. Ethiopia, which has banned non-EV imports, had only around a dozen charging stations as of mid-2025, and the government estimates it needs more than 1,170 stations to meet rising demand.

In the capital Addis Ababa, 40 stations are under construction, according to the state electricity utility. “In developing markets, affordability can accelerate the shift, but the pace of adoption will still depend heavily on infrastructure, power reliability and use case,” said Chris Liu, with the technology research and advisory group Omdia.

State utilities take the wheel to build charging stations In Indonesia, more than 4,500 public chargers have been deployed by its state-owned power utility PLN, the IEA said. African countries also are increasingly turning to state-owned utilities to build EV charging networks, betting public investment can solve one of the biggest obstacles to electric vehicle adoption.

“Utilities are recognizing that electric mobility will become a meaningful source of future electricity demand,” said Ndia Magadagela, co-founder and CEO of Everlectric, a South African commercial EV leasing company. There are around 2,000 public EV charging stations in Africa, with South Africa accounting for the largest share.

State-controlled utility Kenya Power plans to build 44 charging stations within the next year. But building networks of charging stations is difficult in developing markets, according to Omidia's Liu, who said grid connections and maintenance are key issues.

While BYD, for example, is expanding its ultrafast EV charging network in places like Europe, large Chinese automakers typically may have relatively little incentive to build networks outside China, he said. State-owned utilities, therefore, can play a larger role in this, according to Liu, since they are closely tied to a country’s grid planning, electricity pricing and distribution capacity.

“You need charging infrastructure to support an even larger fleet size,” said Gong, the auto analyst from UBS. ___ Olingo reported from Nairobi, Kenya, and Delgado reported from Bangkok. Associated Press writer Aniruddha Ghosal contributed to this report.

___ The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. The AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.

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