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strikeAug 17, 2026

Analysis: Russia doubles down, setting stage for new phase of total war

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Analysis: Russia doubles down, setting stage for new phase of total war A firefighting helicopter attempts to extinguish a fire at Wildberries' logistics complex in Elektrostal, outside Moscow, Russia, following a Ukrainian drone attack on July 18, 2026. (Tatyana Makeyeva / AFP / Getty Images) Two large and heavily armed states locked in an existential armed struggle. Hundreds of thousands of casualties. Mass mobilization. Systematic long-range strike campaigns against the enemy's economy and infrastructure. Defense budgets swallowing huge proportions of state spending. All these factors evoke an image of "total war" — the kind of interstate conflict where state, society, and economy are all not only an active part of the war effort but also a target of enemy strikes. Russia's full-scale war against Ukraine is now one of the deadliest conflicts of the 21st century and one of the most brutal, drawn-out interstate wars since 1945. Yet the term "total war" has barely been raised in the otherwise lively intellectual discourse. "Total war is a synonym for a complete national effort, employing all the elements of national power in your war effort." For as long as Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to refrain from announcing sustained forced mobilization in Russia, and for as long as economic activity in both countries continued in a somewhat normal pattern, it didn't always feel like both sides were all in. But many of the restraints that have kept it from becoming total war are beginning to disappear. For Kyiv, the fifth year of the full-scale war has undeniably seen many positives, especially compared to the same period last year. Back then, Ukraine was in survival mode, reeling from the prospect of being abandoned, or even pressured into capitulation, by the Trump administration, riding a fraught diplomatic rollercoaster while Russian forces maintained pressure and advanced across the front line. Most crucially, while Russian battlefield casualties have largely stayed steady, territorial gains on the front line have been miserly. Now, Ukraine's scaled-up strike campaign in the Russian rear has brought strategic offensive pressure on Moscow for the first time, both at "middle-strike" range (50-200 kilometers) on Ukraine's occupied territories and with longer-range attacks on oil refineries, energy export facilities, and warehouses. "It's already a kind of boxing match with no fixed number of rounds," said Mykola Bielieskov, Research Fellow at Ukraine's National Institute for Security Studies and Senior Analyst at the Come Back Alive foundation. "Each side frames its victory as the ability to stay on their feet till the last round hoping that the opponent would crumble given sheer destruction and accumulated social, economic, political problems." What is total war? Total war lacks an agreed-upon academic definition. While some draw links all the way back to Prussian officer Carl von Clausewitz’s idea of "absolute war," the term itself was first popularized by WWI general Erich Ludendorff in his 1935 book Der totale Krieg (The Total War). Ludendorff's work, while reflecting on aspects of Germany's war effort on the battlefield and at home, did not attempt to create a new theory of war. In the decades following, the modern idea of total war took shape, based on the experience of the world wars of the 20th century. Total war implies a conflict in which belligerents focus not only on battlefield success but also on the degradation and destruction of the enemy state's warfighting capacity in the rear, from military production and sources of revenue to infrastructure and, in turn, society's will to fight. "Total war is a synonym for a complete national effort, employing all the elements of national power in your war effort," retired Australian Army Major-General Mick Ryan told the Kyiv Independent. "It means you are utilizing every element of your nation to fight this war, either in the defensive or offensive, and the further the war goes on, the more total it becomes." Campaigns of destruction against the enemy rear as a key component of total war were enabled by the advancement of technology, in particular the long-range strategic bombing campaigns of World War II that culminated in the dropping of nuclear weapons on Japan. In this sense, with both Ukraine and Russia's ability to damage the other's strategic rear limited by one's own strike assets and the enemy's air defense in an environment of constant innovation, the constant advancement on both sides of strategic weaponry suggests an intent for total war outcomes. "It looks like a textbook total war proportional to new technologies — attempts to undermine the front with destruction of vital rear infrastructure to sustain war," Bielieskov said. Economic escalation Looking to press Ukraine's advantage and project an image of Kyiv as the winning side, in late June President Volodymyr Zelensky announced a "40-day influence operation," aimed at pushing Moscow to the negotiating table. The period saw new Ukrainian long-range attacks not only on Russian oil refineries and ports, but also on shadow fleet tankers in the Azov Sea and warehouses belonging to e-commerce giant Wildberries. The fact that Wildberries infrastructure was indeed used for the purchase and delivery of goods for the war effort makes it a legitimate target. But the broader economic impact — most likely intended — has been billions of dollars in damage to the Russian economy, risks of a major financial shock, and crucially, an elevated feeling that the war is directly affecting the lives of ordinary Russians. Instead of being pushed to wind down Russia's war, the 40-day period has seen Moscow escalated attacks of its own against Ukraine's economy. Ukrainian retail and logistics warehouses, from hyperstore Epicentr, supermarket Silpo, post service Nova Poshta, and Wildberries equivalent Rozetka have all come under increasing fire. Perhaps most crucially, a new wave of strikes against port infrastructure and civilian cargo ships in Odesa Oblast have reduced Ukraine's Black Sea shipping, depriving Ukraine of vital revenue sources from the export of grain and raw materials. "With attacks against port infrastructure Ukraine will get less export revenue," said Bielieskov. "Attacks against Kyiv, which generates approximately 20% of GDP, might generate a lot of social, economic, military and political problems if left unaddressed." Russia's new economic escalation comes amid a challenging situation for Ukraine's air defense, with critically low stocks of interceptors for the Patriot air defense system leaving the country effectively undefended against ballistic missile attacks, while new jet-powered Shahed-type drones and missile-drone hybrids look to counter Ukraine's efficient network of drone interceptor teams. "Unlike Ukraine, Russia places a disproportionate bet on the destruction of life-sustaining infrastructure," noted Bielieskov. "But the logic behind each side's approach is the same." "In other words, to bring the opponent to their knees before one's own collapse." Ahead of what could be the toughest winter yet for Ukraine, the threat looms that Russia's targeting of ports, businesses, and critical infrastructure could compound in a textbook "total war" effect. "What we see is a variation on what the Russians have been doing since the end of 2022," said Ryan. "It is not different to Lincoln's 'anaconda strategy' against the South (in the American Civil War), which is just to put pressure at every point on every element of Ukraine's national warfighting ability: on their military, on the people, on diplomacy, and pressure on the economy." Going all in Central to the idea of total war is the mass — usually forced — conscription of military-aged men into the military, a feature of all major belligerents' experience of both world wars. Perhaps the main argument against Russia's war against Ukraine amounting to a total war for Moscow is the way in which Putin has gone to great lengths to avoid mass forced mobilization in Russia. In September 2022, after Ukrainian forces broke through Russian lines in a dramatic counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast, Putin announced a "partial mobilization" of around 300,000 soldiers to avoid a collapse of the front line. The process was haphazard and chaotic, triggering an exodus of hundreds of thousands of Russian men from the country and tarnishing the domestic image of the war as a "special military operation" that would not otherwise affect ordinary Russians. Since then, to ensure a steady inflow of troops to feed its costly offensive campaigns, Russia has relied mostly on volunteer service, with lucrative sign-up bonuses, high salaries, and deceptive promises of service in the rear consistently bringing in around 30,000 recruits per month, mostly from economically depressed areas. In the battlefield reality of 2026 — where Ukraine has found more success countering Russian infiltration assaults through the use of a dense drone-based "kill zone" — Russian forces have seen diminishing returns on the front line. "Russia has been trying to form new units the last few years, but they couldn't do it because they didn't have enough new soldiers," military analyst Rob Lee, senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, told the Kyiv Independent. "This year, the attrition rate is basically where the recruitment rate is." For this reason, not to mention the increasing difficulty of squeezing out new voluntary contract soldiers from the regions, speculation that Putin might reluctantly order a fresh wave of mobilization has surged, including in Russia's own domestic information space. The move, which Ukraine says will come no sooner than after Russia's State Duma "elections" in September, would be unlikely to spark mass resistance, let alone unrest, given the Kremlin's complete monopoly of violence and repression in the country. More importantly, mobilization could signal a final decision to swallow the hit to Putin's domestic image as a price to be paid for doubling down on his maximalist war aims. "During 2024-25, Russia's theory of victory was based on the idea of its nominal advantage in resources and manpower to outwait Western support to Ukraine and advance however slowly on the front," Bielieskov said. "Now we see a plateau of Russian battlefield strategy as it doesn't deliver the results it did, and Russia is forced to think about a new round of mobilization." Meanwhile, Ukraine, with a much smaller demographic pool to draw from, has conducted forced mobilization since the start of the full-scale war. The process has exacerbated social tensions among a population unwilling to capitulate to Russia but also holding simmering contempt for the state, and particularly for draft officers sometimes seen as employing violent, illegal, and corrupt methods. At the same time, Kyiv itself has protected some groups from mobilization, particularly by allowing 18-24-year-olds to leave the country, and the toleration of a bloated and often corrupt system of exemption for military-aged men. "The problem is, as we've seen from other wars," Ryan said, "the longer the wars go on, the less likely society is to support additional conscription measures." "And notwithstanding the demographic challenges that Ukraine faces, the core idea is that you don't have a problem if you don't have a country." For the long haul As Zelensky's 40-day campaign fades into the past, long-range strikes escalate, and the battle for the Donbas "fortress belt" begins in earnest in Ukraine's east, hopes that a ceasefire could come before winter have dissipated. Beyond that, even if the front line remains static, so long as neither side is really compelled to make serious concessions, Russia's war against Ukraine looks likely to become more and more total. "When one is unable to attain goals through combat at the front, then there are attempts to undermine the enemy through destruction of critical rear targets that sustain its functioning," Bielieskov said. "In other words, to bring the opponent to their knees before one's own collapse." Ukrainian pressure on Russia's economy will continue to create domestic dilemmas for Moscow, but identifying — let alone predicting — a breaking point continues to feel like chasing shadows, even for experts. The last few years of war have been marked by frequent commentary on the topic of which side time is really on. If Putin does bite the bullet and announce mobilization, Russia will not only look to expand offensive operations in the short to medium term, but more importantly, will be able to continue to sustain them for years to come. In the meantime, the brutal mathematics of Ukraine's manpower disadvantage on the battlefield presents a clear weakness for Kyiv in a drawn-out total war. "Ukraine's strategy needs to focus on sustainability, because you don't know how long this war can go," said Lee. "It could have hot phases, it could have colder phases, it could have a ceasefire then start again six months later. It's important to have a longer-term perspective."

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  • Francis FarrellBy Francis Farrell

    Analysis: Russia doubles down, setting stage for new phase of total war A firefighting helicopter attempts to extinguish a fire at Wildberries' logistics complex in Elektrostal, outside Moscow, Russia, following a Ukrainian drone attack on July 18, 2026. (Tatyana Makeyeva / AFP /

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President Donald Trump has made another bombastic pronouncement amid the war with Iran. On Tuesday, he shared a map labeling the Strait of Hormuz “NEW U.S. Territory,” via his Truth Social platform. Iran has continued to stress that the strait will not be fully reopened until Washington meets its slew of demands, including ending its blockade on Iranian shipping and scrapping oil sanctions.

Ship Hit in Strait Just hours before Trump’s latest post, a vessel exiting the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unidentified projectile off the coast of Oman. According to the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations, the ship’s engine room was hit, resulting in a “crew casualty.

” Officials did not immediately identify the vessel or its cargo. The Omani Coast Guard said it was assisting the remaining crew as authorities investigated the incident. Iran’s Stranglehold on the Strait Since the United States and Israel launched attacks on the Islamic Republic on February 28, Iran has tightly restricted shipping through the waterway.

Prior to the war, around one-fifth of globally traded oil passed through Hormuz. Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf said Tuesday that Tehran would maintain its restrictions until Washington fulfilled what Iran considers its commitments under the interim U.

S.-Iran agreement struck in June. Those demands include lifting the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, releasing frozen Iranian assets, removing sanctions on Iranian oil and gas exports, and ending U.S. military threats and operations. “Until the United States fulfills its commitments under the agreement … the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen,” Qalibaf said.

Blockade Vs. Territory Asked in the Oval Office on Monday about his earlier suggestion that Hormuz could become American territory, the president said he liked the idea. “We control it with the blockade, and I like the idea of declaring it a territory,” Trump told reporters, adding: “We have total control over the strait now.

” Washington’s blockade is hitting Iranian shipping hard. U.S. Central Command said Monday that American forces had redirected 64 commercial vessels, disabled three ships, and boarded another two as part of the renewed blockade. That does not mean Washington has eliminated Iran’s ability to disrupt other shipping.

Tuesday’s unexplained attack came after a string of strikes on vessels attempting to navigate the area. Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi also rejected Trump’s territorial claim on Tuesday, describing it as a “delusion.” Tehran has repeatedly maintained that it, rather than Washington, will determine when normal passage through the strait resumes.

Iran and Oman Near Deal Complicating matters further are separate negotiations between Iran and Oman, the two countries sitting on opposite sides of the strait. Iran said Monday that the two governments were finalizing details of an agreement concerning shipping routes through Hormuz.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said an “understanding has been reached regarding the map of the transit route.” Trump responded by threatening Oman, a longstanding U.S. partner, telling Fox News that Washington would “bomb the shit out of them” if Muscat “gets in the way.

” The diplomatic clock has already run down. The 60-day negotiating period established by the June memorandum between Washington and Tehran expired on Monday without a broader agreement being reached. Trump has said the United States is not seeking an extension.

Tehran Likely to Double Down Columnist Melanie Phillips slammed President Trump’s plans for a ceasefire last month, complaining that it had given Tehran the upper hand and showed that “everyone can now see America is not prepared to make the sacrifices necessary to defend itself.

” Trump has claimed Iran has essentially lost this war and that the blockade is massively damaging its economy. However, he has also instructed his team to pursue a “low-key” approach to talks. On July 7, Trump said the agreement was “over”, while Iran’s Foreign Ministry said it was “suspended” the following week.

“They should put up the white flag of surrender,” Trump told Fox News on Monday, claiming that backchannel talks with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were ongoing. The IRGC has denied these claims. On Tuesday, Trump dramatically changed his tune, stating that no talks with Iran were ongoing, and that no discussions were scheduled.

About the Author: Georgia Gilholy Georgia Gilholy is a journalist based in the United Kingdom who has been published in Newsweek, The Times of Israel, and the Spectator. Gilholy writes about international politics, culture, and education.

Location: Tehran
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Iran War Day 172: ‘No Talks’ Scheduled with Tehran, Trump Says In a post on Truth Social Tuesday President Donald Trump said that “there are no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic of Iran.” Trump added that the U.

S. naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz “remains in full force and effect” and that the waterway “is open and operating.” In a separate post, Trump published an image labelling the strait as “NEW U.S. Territory.” Only six commodity ships transited the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, according to Kpler data cited by Reuters.

Iran’s Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Tuesday, Until the commitments made by the United States in the memorandum of understanding, including the lifting of the blockade, the release of frozen assets, the lifting of oil sanctions, the end of threats and military operations on all fronts, and other conditions to which America agreed in the memorandum, are implemented, the strait will not be opened.

The deadline for that memorandum of understanding—signed by Trump and Iran’s president in June—expired on Monday. The two nations had agreed to negotiate a final peace deal over a 60-day period, but the framework agreement quickly fell apart, and the deadline seemingly wasn’t extended, despite mixed reporting.

Subscribe Today Get daily emails in your inbox Ghalibaf will lead a “high-level parliamentary delegation” to Iraq on Wednesday, Iran’s Fars news agency reported. The visit comes as pro-Iran militia groups face a September 30 deadline set by the Iraqi government to disarm.

Syria condemned reported Israeli strikes against Abu Duhur airbase on Tuesday, while the U.S. expressed concern over the incident. U.S. Ambassador to Turkey and special envoy for Syria and Iraq Tom Barrack wrote on X that “we are deeply concerned that the confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Abu al-Duhur Airbase constitute an unnecessary escalation that does not advance regional stability.

” The price of Brent Crude oil was over $91 per barrel on Tuesday morning. AAA recorded the national average price of regular gas at $4.07.

Location: Tehran
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U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday no talks were taking place with Iran and none were scheduled, and he insisted that the Strait of Hormuz was open, contradicting an earlier Iranian assertion that the critical waterway remained shut to shipping.

The receding prospects of a deal to end the nearly six-month conflict drove up oil prices again on Tuesday, while stock markets sagged and borrowing costs for major economies including the U.S. hit multi-decade highs, amid concerns about the long-term inflationary and fiscal impact of the crisis.

A temporary ceasefire agreement expired on Monday and a senior Iranian official told Reuters that his country was moving to a “fully offensive” military posture due to the diplomatic stalemate, though there were no reports of fresh strikes by either side on Tuesday.

“There are no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social on Tuesday. “The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect. The Hormuz Strait is open and operating. All water mines have been removed or detonated,” he added.

On Monday, Jared Kushner, Trump's son-in-law and special envoy, had sounded an optimistic note, saying talks with Iran were still under way and were “probably more robust” than they had ever been. Despite Trump's typically ebullient remarks about the situation in the Gulf, preliminary shipping data on Tuesday showed ship crossings via the Strait of Hormuz were still in single digits on Monday.

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations said it received a report on Tuesday that a vessel was struck by an unknown projectile while transiting outbound in the Strait of Hormuz, causing engine room damage and a crew casualty. The remaining crew were being assisted by the Omani Coast Guard, according to the report.

Top Iranian negotiator Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said in comments published by state media that the strait would remain shut until the U.S. met the conditions of an interim deal signed with Iran in June. These conditions include the U.S. lifting its blockade of Iranian ports, lifting oil sanctions, releasing Tehran's frozen assets, and ending threats and military operations on all fronts, Qalibaf told parliament.

A memorandum of understanding signed on June 17 had set a 60-day time frame for a broader deal on Iran's nuclear programme and U.S. sanctions. That period elapsed on Monday and Trump said he had no plans to extend it. The agreement, which declared the “immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts,” had quickly unravelled over a dispute about control of the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway through which a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flowed before the war.

Both Trump and Tehran have frequently switched between threats and more emollient rhetoric as they seek a way out of the crisis, which erupted when the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28. Iran remains open to dialogue with the U.

S. but does not confuse negotiations with surrender, Mohammad Mokhber, an adviser to Iran's supreme leader, said on Tuesday, according to the semi-official Fars news agency. Mokhber said military pressure and sanctions would not break Iran's resolve and that the country would defend its security, dignity and allies while not seeking war.

Even as Iran projects resilience in the war, its leaders are worried that a threat of more economic punishment could increase hardships, reignite unrest and further erode the Islamic Republic’s legitimacy, according to three Iranian officials. Thousands of people have been killed in the conflict, mainly in Iran and Lebanon.

Iran has bombed U.S. military bases and infrastructure in countries including Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, Israel, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. Benchmark Brent crude oil futures have surged during the conflict, hitting a peak of $126 a barrel, roughly 75% above pre-war levels.

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Location: Tehran
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Iran is rebuilding the upper ranks of its military and security establishment after months of wartime losses by turning largely to familiar veterans — figures whose careers in some cases stretch back to the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the Iran-Iraq War and previous domestic crackdowns.

The appointments follow the deaths of several senior Iranian commanders in U.S.-Israeli strikes since the war began Feb. 28, The National reported Aug. 11. For Washington, the stakes go beyond who fills the vacancies. The reshuffle puts veteran hardliners atop institutions that shape Iran’s military operations, national-security policy and internal security at a time of renewed confrontation with the United States.

The appointments do not prove that Tehran has run out of younger commanders or that loyalty was the sole criterion, but the reliance on figures whose careers stretch back decades is raising a broader question for U.S. policymakers: whether wartime losses have left Iran increasingly dependent on a smaller circle of trusted ideologues — potentially narrowing the room for compromise even as Washington tries to pressure Tehran back toward a deal.

IRAN’S REVOLUTIONARY GUARD SIDELINES PRESIDENT AS MILITARY GRIP EXPANDS Former American prisoner Morad Tahbaz, who was detained in Iran in 2018 and freed in a U.S.-Iran prisoner exchange in September 2023, told Fox News Digital that he views the latest appointments as evidence of Tehran's continued dependence on longtime loyalists.

"They keep rotating the same old people, most of whom are fairly inept but are loyal to the Khamenei father and son," Tahbaz told Fox News Digital. The reshuffle spans Iran's conventional military, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, its naval arm, the Basij paramilitary force and the country's highest national-security council.

Iran's state-run IRNA reported Aug. 10 that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei appointed Ali Abdollahi chief of staff of the Armed Forces, Kioumars Heydari his deputy, Ahmad Vahidi commander of the IRGC, Mostafa Izadi deputy IRGC commander, Ali Ozmaei commander of the IRGC Navy and Hossein Taeb head of the Basij.

The previous day, former IRGC commander Mohsen Rezaei, 71, was named secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and Khamenei's representative on the powerful body. Reuters reported Aug. 10 that the SNSC coordinates Iran's security and foreign policy and that Rezaei replaced Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr, who had been appointed secretary in late March following the death of his predecessor, Ali Larijani.

The appointments do not establish that Iran has run out of younger or less familiar commanders. But the reliance on longtime military and security figures has fueled assessments that wartime losses have narrowed the regime's pool of officials it regards as sufficiently experienced and politically trustworthy.

Erfan Fard wrote for the Middle East Forum on Aug. 15 that Khamenei was not promoting a new generation but turning to veterans of the revolution, the Iran-Iraq War, intelligence operations and domestic repression, arguing that an architecture based on "institutional memory, loyalty, and coercive power" was taking shape.

The Foundation for Defense of Democracies argued in an Aug. 12 policy brief that the reshuffle looked "less like renewal than a game of musical chairs among regime veterans." The appointments also formalized the position of Ahmad Vahidi, a veteran hardliner who had already emerged near the center of wartime decision-making.

Vahidi was a major player in shaping Tehran's wartime policy and had risen through the IRGC's early intelligence and external-operations apparatus before later serving as defense and interior minister. As interior minister, Vahidi oversaw police units involved in the crackdown on the 2022 protests.

IRNA confirmed Aug. 10 that Khamenei promoted Vahidi to major general and formally appointed him commander-in-chief of the IRGC. WHO IS AHMAD VAHIDI? IRAN’S NEW IRGC CHIEF TIED TO GLOBAL ATTACKS AND ‘DEATH TO AMERICA’ IDEOLOGY Hossein Taeb: The intelligence veteran returns to the Basij to build a ‘20-million-strong Basij force.

’ One of the most closely watched appointments is Hossein Taeb, the cleric and veteran security official tapped to lead the Basij, the IRGC's volunteer paramilitary force that has repeatedly been used against domestic dissent. The National reported that the Basij has been used to suppress internal dissent, while The Times reported Aug.

12 that the force is embedded in neighborhoods, universities, workplaces, factories, ministries and mosques and has played a central role in suppressing successive uprisings. For Tahbaz, Taeb's return is personal. Tahbaz was detained in 2018, while Taeb was leading the IRGC Intelligence Organization.

"Ta’eb is extremely close to Mojtaba Khamenei but was very unceremoniously fired from his former position as head of the IRGC Intelligence Organization," Tahbaz told Fox News Digital. "He was personally responsible for my and my colleagues' arrests and detentions.

He lives and breathes conspiracy theories." The Times reported Aug. 12 that Taeb and Mojtaba Khamenei's relationship dates back more than four decades and that both served in the Habib Battalion during the Iran-Iraq War. The newspaper also reported that IRGC intelligence arrested environmentalists and dual nationals during Taeb's tenure.

Taeb previously commanded the Basij before moving into IRGC intelligence. The Times reported that months after the disputed 2009 election, the Guards' intelligence division was elevated into an independent organization with Taeb as its first chief. Taeb's earlier leadership of the Basij also drew U.

S. sanctions. In a Sept. 29, 2010 Treasury Department fact sheet, the U.S. government said that while Taeb commanded the Basij during the June 2009 election, forces under his command participated in "beatings, murder, and arbitrary arrests and detentions of peaceful protestors.

" According to IRNA, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf congratulated Taeb on his appointment as head of the Basij Organization, saying his tenure could mark a new chapter for the volunteer force. Ghalibaf said the Basij now needs a more comprehensive and forward-looking approach and argued that Taeb’s appointment by the supreme leader could help advance what he described as one of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini’s longstanding goals: building a 20-million-strong Basij force.

UN WATCHDOG SLAMS POTENTIAL ELECTION OF IRAN TO PANEL WITH HUMAN RIGHTS SWAY: 'LUNATICS RUNNING THE ASYLUM' Mohsen Rezaei: Back at the center after four decades Few appointments better illustrate the return of Iran's old guard than Mohsen Rezaei, who was named secretary of the Supreme National Security Council.

Reuters reported Aug. 10 that Rezaei joined the IRGC shortly after the 1979 revolution, became its commander in 1981 at age 27 and led the force for 16 years, including through most of the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War. He later served as secretary of Iran's Expediency Discernment Council for more than two decades and as vice president for economic affairs from 2021 to 2023 under President Ebrahim Raisi.

Now, at 71, he is secretary of the SNSC and Khamenei's representative on the body. Beni Sabti, an Iran expert at Israel's Institute for National Security Studies, argued that bringing back longtime figures such as Rezaei reflects weakness rather than renewal.

"This is, again, another evidence that they don't have anyone else," Sabti told Fox News Digital. "So they have to bring him out again from the desk and put him somewhere. These are the guys that they have." Rezaei and Vahidi were also among six people for whom INTERPOL authorized Red Notices requested by Argentina in 2007 in connection with the investigation into the 1994 bombing of the AMIA Jewish community center in Buenos Aires.

INTERPOL said in November 2007 that its General Assembly upheld the publication of notices for six individuals, including Ahmad Vahidi and Mohsen Rezaei, after Iran challenged Argentina's requests. Sabti argued that Rezaei's re-emergence is particularly telling because Tehran's decision-making circle has become less ideologically diverse.

"Today, there is only one opinion, and this is the main problem," Sabti said. "This is why you think that there is unity and the system is stronger. No, it's not stronger. Actually, it's weaker also because of that." TRADE VESSEL STRUCK BY PROJECTILE IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ AMID US-IRAN TALKS Ali Abdollahi: A wartime commander takes the top military job Ali Abdollahi was elevated to chief of staff of Iran's Armed Forces, putting him at the top of the country's military command structure.

IRNA confirmed the appointment Aug. 10. Abdollahi had previously commanded the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, Iran's joint operational command responsible for coordinating its armed forces in wartime, according to Iran International on Aug. 10.

His appointment also comes amid an effort to integrate the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters more closely with the Armed Forces General Staff. Le Monde reported Aug. 11 that Abdollahi's task includes completing that integration in an effort to further centralize command and coordination.

Fard argued in his Aug. 15 Middle East Forum analysis that Abdollahi's elevation exemplifies Tehran's reliance on longstanding revolutionary-security figures rather than a generational break. FREED AMERICAN REVEALS BRUTAL IRAN PRISON ORDEAL, WARNS HOSTAGES FACE GREATER DANGER Kioumars Heydari: The regular army moves closer to the center Former Army Ground Forces commander Kioumars Heydari was appointed deputy chief of staff of the Armed Forces, bringing a senior officer from Iran's conventional military into the new command structure.

The National reported that Heydari formerly commanded the Army Ground Forces and has held senior positions in Iran's regular army, known as the Artesh. IRNA independently confirmed his appointment. His inclusion also demonstrates that the reshuffle is not limited to the IRGC.

Fard argued in the Middle East Forum that Heydari's previous public rhetoric surrounding protest suppression indicates that Tehran has increasingly integrated the regular army into its domestic-security posture. Mostafa Izadi: Another veteran rises inside the IRGC Mostafa Izadi was appointed Vahidi's deputy, putting another longtime commander near the top of the IRGC hierarchy.

IRNA confirmed Izadi's appointment Aug. 10, while The National described him Aug. 11 as a veteran commander who has held a number of senior positions in Iran's military and security establishment. Iran International reported that Izadi previously commanded the Cyber and New Threats Headquarters within the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters.

IRAN HARDLINER BEHIND US DEAL WARNS TEHRAN WON’T HONOR AGREEMENT IF TRUMP FAILS TO DELIVER Ali Ozmaei: A new commander at one of Iran's most sensitive fronts Rear Adm. Ali Ozmaei was appointed commander of the IRGC Navy, putting him in charge of a force central to Iran's military posture in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.

The National reported Aug. 11 that Ozmaei replaced Alireza Tangsiri, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike in March, and that the IRGC Navy is responsible for Iran's military operations in the Gulf and around the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian state media also highlighted Ozmaei's longstanding maritime experience.

IRNA reported Aug. 11 that Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf praised Ozmaei's years in maritime defense and his familiarity with the current conflict and the Strait of Hormuz. The appointment came one day before Rezaei said the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed unless the United States changed its behavior and accepted Iran's conditions.

Reuters reported that Rezaei said Washington would have to end the war and unfreeze Iranian funds overseas, with other conditions relayed through mediators. Taken together, the seven personnel changes show Tehran moving to fill and reshuffle critical military and security posts after significant wartime losses.

What remains an assessment rather than an established fact is whether the identities of those chosen reveal a deeper shortage of trusted successors. Sabti said the return of veteran figures reflected what he sees as a shrinking bench of trusted officials and a less diverse decision-making circle.

Tahbaz offered a less academic version of that assessment. CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP "They keep rotating the same old people," he said.

Location: Tehran