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diplomacyJun 18, 2026

Inside the chaotic Iran talks that let Trump claim victory, but not yet peace

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Inside the chaotic Iran talks that let Trump claim victory, but not yet peace

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    Hours earlier, around when he was gathering for a birthday dinner with family inside the White House, Donald Trump had fired off a social media post announcing a deal to end the Iran War he’d started nearly four months earlier: “The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now c

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diplomacyUnverifiedUSIranRussiaChina
1 source

Iran stated on Tuesday that the Strait of Hormuz "will not be opened" until U.S. commitments, such as lifting sanctions and releasing frozen assets, are fulfilled, while President Trump asserted that the strait remains open and operational under a continued U.

S. naval blockade. Independent reporting from CNN indicates that despite competing official claims, evidence suggests the United States maintains significant control over the waterway via naval patrols.

Location: Strait of Hormuz
diplomacyUnverifiedIranProxy
1 source

Kpler data indicates that transits through the Strait of Hormuz decreased to six vessels on Tuesday, well below the recent daily average, amid conflicting official statements regarding the waterway's status; U.S. President Donald Trump asserted the strait is open and no negotiations with Iran are ongoing, while Iranian authorities have claimed it remains shut.

Consequently, major Chinese shipping firms report keeping tankers out of the region since late July, raising concerns about disruptions to global oil and LNG supplies, though the full extent of these logistical impacts remains under assessment.

Location: Iran
diplomacyUnverifiedUSIranProxy
1 source

Shipping data indicates a reduction in vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb amid security concerns, with Chinese shipping firms reportedly halting operations in these waters since late July. While US President Donald Trump stated the strait was open and denied ongoing talks with Iran, Iranian authorities maintain that it remains blocked to shipping.

Location: Strait of Hormuz
diplomacyUnverifiedUSIran
1 source

Iran's top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said on Tuesday that Strait of Hormuz will not be opened until the US meets Tehran's demands, including lifting a naval blockade. "I want to state clearly that the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened until the American commitments stipulated in the memorandum of understanding...

are implemented," Ghalibaf said in a speech broadcast on state TV. He listed the removal of the blockade, the lifting of oil sanctions and unfreezing of Iran's assets abroad among the demands. 'Tehran, Muscat Pact will help' Qatar, meanwhile,said that an agreement between Iran and Oman would make it easier to resume negotiations to end the war.

"An agreement over the Strait of Hormuz would make it much easier for us to resume the talks between the US and Iran," Qatari foreign ministry spokesman Majed Al Ansari told reporters. (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel) He listed the removal of the blockade, the lifting of oil sanctions and unfreezing of Iran's assets abroad among the demands.

'Tehran, Muscat Pact will help' Qatar, meanwhile,said that an agreement between Iran and Oman would make it easier to resume negotiations to end the war. "An agreement over the Strait of Hormuz would make it much easier for us to resume the talks between the US and Iran," Qatari foreign ministry spokesman Majed Al Ansari told reporters.

Location: Tehran